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Borussia Dortmund vs Leipzig Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
by Kennedy Kechula in Bundesliga Predictions
Borussia Dortmund sitting seven points behind their next opponents, RB Leipzig, says all about their start to the Bundesliga campaign. It has been an indifferent run in the season for BVB, doing well at home but really struggling on the road. As they prepare to host Die Roten Bullen, Dortmund head into the weekend in seventh place on 13 points, five behind their hosts. In this preview, we'll take a look at the stats defining this match as well as offer our prediction.
Four away matches in Dortmund’s last five matches have left a dent on their confidence coming to this game. They have suffered defeats in those four matches, the most recent seeing their elimination from the DFB Pokal.
While Dortmund have a win and four defeats in their last five matches, it is the other way round for Leipzig. The visitors have a defeat and four wins in their last five matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Borussia Dortmund v Leipzig Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.1 | 3.9 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.75 | 2.87 |
|
|
2.29 | 3.95 | 3.08 |
|
|
2.29 | 3.95 | 3.08 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.8 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.11 | 3.82 | 3.16 |
|
|
2.11 | 3.82 | 3.16 |
|
|
2.24 | 3.85 | 3 |
|
|
2.21 | 3.8 | 2.97 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.8 | 3 |
|
|
2.13 | 3.85 | 3.41 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.75 | 3 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.95 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.9 | 3 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.75 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.7 | 3.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Borussia Dortmund and Leipzig?
Our prediction for the Borussia Dortmund vs Leipzig match is: Leipzig to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/11/2024 between Borussia Dortmund and Leipzig in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.56% for a win of Borussia Dortmund against Leipzig with odds of 2.29 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Borussia Dortmund vs Leipzig is 10.18% with odds of 3.95 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.26% chance ⭐ for a win of Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund with odds of 3.41 at Vbet.
Borussia Dortmund - Leipzig Prediction and Best Odds:
| Borussia Dortmund Leipzig Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 47.56% | 2.29 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.9% | 1.5 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 59.58% | 1.44 at William Hill |
| Half-time / Full-time : Borussia Dortmund/Borussia Dortmund | 18.61% | 3.5 at Betfair |
Borussia Dortmund vs Leipzig Form
Borussia Dortmund and Leipzig's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
21 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 10 |
|
7
|
16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Borussia Dortmund and Leipzig Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2024 - DFB Pokal
26 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
18 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
5 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
27 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
13 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2024 - DFB Pokal
26 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
5 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
22 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
18 Sep 2024 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2024 - DFB Pokal
26 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
19 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
6 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2024 - DFB Pokal
26 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
28 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
14 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
6 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
22 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
31 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
Borussia Dortmund vs Leipzig Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
9 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2023 - DFB Pokal
3 Mar 2023 - Bundesliga
10 Sep 2022 - Bundesliga
2 Apr 2022 - Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund - Leipzig: Form Analysis
Borussia Dortmund started the season well but went into a slump along the way. They come into this match straight from three consecutive defeats. Among those was a heavy one in the Champions League and the most recent caused their elimination from the DFB Pokal.
The hosts fell to an extra time goal to succumb to a 1-0 defeat at Wolfsburg on Tuesday in the cup. Looked at in another way, this could be a silver lining, giving Dortmund more time to prepare and focus on the Bundesliga.
All of Leipzig’s losses so far this season have come in Europe.
Apart from their struggles in Europe, this is unfolding as a good season for Leipzig. So far they’ve looked every inch like challengers for the title. If they are to keep that profile, these are the games they have to bank three points from.
Having already beaten the champions, Bayer Leverkusen, Leipzig will look at this as a manageable challenge. Their good run against Dortmund helps too, as they’ve won each of the last three meetings.
Leipzig also claimed two away wins in three of their meetings with Dortmund. In the run up to this match, Leipzig put up a dominant show to beat St. Pauli 4-2 in the DFB Pokal.
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Borussia Dortmund against Leipzig Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
N. Sule
MidfielderK. Watjen
ForwardK. Adeyemi
J. Duranville
D. Raum
MidfielderX. Schlager
ForwardX. Simons
Borussia Dortmund & Leipzig Squad Analysis
After spending seven seasons with Leipzig, Marcel Sabitzer will be among the players to watch when he takes on his former employers. We expect Sabitzer and Pascal Gross will be the men to man the midfield.
Serhou Guirassy has been a shining light for Dortmund and with four goals in six matches he will also be a marked man.
It isn’t all rosy at Dortmund; for this game they’ll be without key defender Niklas Sule. The German international is just one of the many unavailable for Dortmund. The list also includes Yan Couto and Gio Reyna.
Xavi Simons is ruled out of this game but Leipzig still have firepower in attack.
Xavi Simons, scorer of two league goals so far, will be out of this game. Leipzig will however be satisfied with their key forward Lois Openda’s availability.
The Belgian is their lead scorer at the moment and with Benjamin Sesko also available, we expect the Leipzig forward line to cause the hosts some problems. Both Sesko and Openda scored in the last game pitting these two sides.
Most goals and assists
Borussia Dortmund
Leipzig
B. Sesko
(7 Goals)
P. Gross
(4 Assists)
,
J. Brandt
(4 Assists)
B. Sesko
(3 Assists)
, 
L. Openda
(3 Assists)
Borussia Dortmund - Leipzig Key Points
- Borussia Dortmund have one win in five matches.
- Leipzig have one loss in their last five matches.
- Leipzig won four of their opening six away matches.
- In three straight meetings, Leipzig beat Dortmund.
- Dortmund lost twice in Leipzig’s last three visits.
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Our Borussia Dortmund vs Leipzig Prediction
Borussia Dortmund’s good home run is under threat as Leipzig come visiting. In two of the last three matches they played as hosts to Leipzig, Dortmund suffered defeats. Nuri Sahin’s side comes into this game on a poor run, having lost four times in the last five matches.
They will also be dragged back psychologically, having beaten Leipzig just once in seven previous meetings. Leipzig, on the other hand, are enjoying a good run domestically and will want to claim points against a top opponent. Our Borussia Dortmund v Leipzig prediction is for Leipzig to win.
Borussia Dortmund vs Leipzig - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
Leipzig’s last five matches yielded 14 goals while Borussia Dortmund’s last five produced 17 goals. These two sides are accustomed to high-scoring matches and their recent meetings have also seen multiple goals.
In their two meetings last season, a total of 10 goals were scored. Being a key game in the title race, we expect this game to have goals and our second prediction for the game is for over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Borussia Dortmund Leipzig
| Borussia Dortmund vs Leipzig | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 2.2 | 2.1 | -4.5% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 3.9 | +5.4% |
| Leipzig wins | 3.1 | 3.1 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Borussia Dortmund is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.5% and is now 47.6% (2.2%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
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A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
Borussia Dortmund vs Leipzig match : Frequently asked questions
The Borussia Dortmund v RB Leipzig match will be played on Saturday 2 November.
The Borussia Dortmund v RB Leipzig match will be staged at the Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund.
In the 18 meetings between the two sides, each won eight times. However, Leipzig have dominated recent matches, winning each of the last three.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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