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Germany - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
09/02/2024 14:30
Freiburg

Prediction :

 

Dortmund to win & both teams to score

 
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Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga

 by Daniel Ngulu in Bundesliga Predictions

Borussia Dortmund will have a chance to strengthen their chase for a top four spot when they host Freiburg next in the Bundesliga. Going into this encounter, Dortmund are placed fourth, three places ahead of Freiburg. Most importantly though, Dortmund are just a point ahead of fifth placed Leipzig and they’ll want to make this game count. They can’t afford another stumble, coming from a 0-0 draw with Heidenheim. With that result, they missed the chance to maintain a three-point gap in the top four race. While Dortmund will feel that was a negative result, they’ll hope to build on a six-game unbeaten league run, which has three draws and as many wins. It hasn’t been smooth at home in the league though, with Dortmund holding two wins in their last five matches there. Their last home game, however, ended in a 3-1 win over Bochum. Niclas Fullkrug has done well in their recent home league matches, scoring five goals in the last four games. Against Bochum, he grabbed a hat trick, two goals coming from the penalty spot. Having beaten Freiburg four straight times ahead of this game, Dortmund will head here very confident. The only concern for Dortmund will be that they haven't managed a clean sheet in the last six meetings with Freiburg.

Freiburg, a team with the most porous defence in the top seven, faces one of the most potent attacks in the league. This seems like an uphill task for them on paper. They will however seek positivity in the fact that they have scored in each of the last six meetings with Dortmund. While they have a negative goal difference, their hopes for Europe remain alive. Freiburg, at 28 points, are just three below the top six. It won’t make things easier though, coming from two straight league defeats. In their last outing, Freiburg conceded early and had Maerlin Rohl sent off inside the opening 20 minutes against Stuttgart. By the first 10 minutes of that game, Freiburg were down 2-0. Lukas Kubler did pull one back before half time but they would concede again in the second half to lose 3-1. That was their second straight league defeat with that margin and the third in five that they conceded three goals. Freiburg have however failed to score in just one of their last five league matches, even though they kept only one clean sheet in that run. In nine away league matches, they have six losses.

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The Best Betting Odds for Borussia Dortmund v Freiburg Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.45 5 5.5
Ladbrokes
1.5 4.5 6
NetBet
1.43 5 6.2
1xbet
1.5 5.2 5.92
22bet
1.5 5.2 5.92
Betwinner
1.43 5.05 6.35
LSbet
1.43 5.05 6.35
Stake
1.47 5.2 6.2
Melbet
1.49 4.8 5.75
Tonybet
1.44 5.4 6.2
Vbet
1.5 5.1 6.3
Betway
1.48 4.75 5.75
Unibet
1.4 5.25 6.4
Betsson
1.48 5 6
William Hill
1.44 4.8 6.5
Check all Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Borussia Dortmund and Freiburg?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/02/2024 between Borussia Dortmund and Freiburg in Bundesliga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.19% for a win of Borussia Dortmund against Freiburg with odds of 1.5 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg is 27.12% with odds of 5.4 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 26.69% chance ⭐ for a win of Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund with odds of 6.5 at William Hill.

Borussia Dortmund - Freiburg Prediction and Best Odds:

Borussia Dortmund Freiburg Prediction Probability Odds
Borussia Dortmund wins 46.19% 1.5 at Ladbrokes
Over 2.5 goals 61.21% 1.73 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 72.92%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Borussia Dortmund 23.91% 4.8 at Unibet

Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg Form

Borussia Dortmund and Freiburg's standings in the Bundesliga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
63 34 18 9 7 25
10
Freiburg
Freiburg
42 34 11 9 14 -13

Borussia Dortmund and Freiburg Last Matches

Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund Last matches
D D W W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

2 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
0 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

28 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  1
Bochum

20 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga

Köln
0 :  4
Borussia Dortmund

13 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga

Darmstadt
0 :  3
Borussia Dortmund

19 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  1
1 Fsv Mainz 05

16 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
1 :  1
Borussia Dortmund
L D D D D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

28 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  1
Bochum

19 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  1
1 Fsv Mainz 05

13 Dec 2023 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  1
PSG

9 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  3
Leipzig

25 Nov 2023 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
4 :  2
Mönchengladbach

7 Nov 2023 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  0
Newcastle
D L D W W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

2 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
0 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

20 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga

Köln
0 :  4
Borussia Dortmund

13 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga

Darmstadt
0 :  3
Borussia Dortmund

16 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
1 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

6 Dec 2023 - DFB Pokal

Stuttgart
2 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

3 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
1 :  1
Borussia Dortmund
Freiburg
Freiburg Last matches
L W D W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

3 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  3
Stuttgart

27 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
3 :  1
Freiburg

20 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
3 :  2
Hoffenheim

13 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
0 :  0
Union Berlin

20 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
3 :  2
Freiburg

17 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  0
Köln
D W W D W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

3 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  3
Stuttgart

20 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
3 :  2
Hoffenheim

13 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
0 :  0
Union Berlin

17 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  0
Köln

30 Nov 2023 - Europa League

Freiburg
5 :  0
Olympiacos

25 Nov 2023 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  1
Darmstadt
W W L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

27 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
3 :  1
Freiburg

20 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
3 :  2
Freiburg

14 Dec 2023 - Europa League

West Ham
2 :  0
Freiburg

9 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
0 :  1
Freiburg

3 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
0 :  1
Freiburg

12 Nov 2023 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
3 :  1
Freiburg

Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Borussia Dortmund

67 %

Draw

0 %

Freiburg

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.67
Total goals
100%
BTTS
3.17
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

16 Sep 2023 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  4
Borussia Dortmund

4 Feb 2023 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
5 :  1
Freiburg

12 Aug 2022 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  3
Borussia Dortmund

14 Jan 2022 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
5 :  1
Freiburg

21 Aug 2021 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

6 Feb 2021 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  1
Borussia Dortmund
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Borussia Dortmund against Freiburg Lineups: Starting 11

Borussia Dortmund

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
G. Kobel
26
J. Ryerson
25
N. Sule
4
N. Schlotterbeck
22
I. Maatsen
11
M. Reus
20
M. Sabitzer
23
E. Can
43
J. Gittens
14
N. Fullkrug
21
D. Malen
9
L. Holer
32
V. Grifo
38
M. Gregoritsch
22
R. Sallai
27
N. Hofler
8
M. Eggestein
33
J. Makengo
5
M. Gulde
25
K. Sildillia
17
L. Kubler
1
N. Atubolu

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Freiburg

Missing players

Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Forward

J. Duranville

Freiburg
Freiburg
Defender

P. Lienhart

M. Ginter

Midfielder

D. Kyereh

M. Rohl

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Borussia Dortmund
CD Huachipato Freiburg
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands D. Malen (15 Goals)
Germany N. Fullkrug (15 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy V. Grifo (12 Goals) Austria M. Gregoritsch (12 Goals)
Best assists
Germany J. Brandt (14 Assists)
Best assists
Italy V. Grifo (10 Assists)

Borussia Dortmund - Freiburg Key Points

  1. Both sides scored in the last six meetings between Dortmund and Freiburg
  2. Dortmund have four straight wins against Freiburg ahead of this game
  3. Both sides scored in Dortmund’s last four home league games
  4. Both sides scored in four of Freiburg’s last five league games
  5. Dortmund have three wins in their last four league games
  6. Freiburg have three losses in five league matches
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Our Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg Prediction

There haven't been many clean sheets in the recent matches between these teams. The last six have had none, and coming here, they haven't kept many clean sheets either. In terms of recent form, Dortmund have the edge, just as they do in head to head stats. As such, our prediction for Borussia Dortmund v Freiburg is for Dortmund to win and both teams scoring.

Prediction :

 

Dortmund to win & both teams to score

 
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Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg Prediction
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