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Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
by Devesh Jaganath in Bundesliga Predictions
Matchday 12 in the Bundesliga brings us a blockbuster matchup, as Borussia Dortmund prepare to face Bayern Munich at Signal Iduna Park on Saturday evening. Die Schwarzgelben are in fifth place in the league standings, while Die Roten are leading the pack after 11 matches. Check out our match prediction below.
This is the most contested fixture in the history of the Bundesliga (136th meeting). Bayern have not lost to any other German side more than this opponent in this competition (33), while they have also been the side who have beaten BVB the most over the same period (67).
The last time these familiar foes met, Dortmund emerged with a 2-0 victory at this venue, avenging the 4-0 hammering they were handed on their home patch in the reverse fixture last season. However, the hosts are the clear underdogs in this match, with the visitors still unbeaten after the first 11 matches of the 2024-25 league campaign. Let’s take a look at some more interesting stats.
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The Best Betting Odds for Borussia Dortmund v Bayern Munich Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.75 | 4.1 | 1.67 |
|
|
4 | 3 | 1.91 |
|
|
4.58 | 4.58 | 1.73 |
|
|
4.58 | 4.58 | 1.73 |
|
|
4.6 | 4.2 | 1.66 |
|
|
4.7 | 4.5 | 1.66 |
|
|
4.36 | 4.46 | 1.67 |
|
|
4.6 | 4.3 | 1.69 |
|
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4.5 | 4.3 | 1.68 |
|
|
4.5 | 4.2 | 1.73 |
|
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4.5 | 4.2 | 1.72 |
|
|
4.33 | 4.2 | 1.7 |
|
|
4.7 | 4.5 | 1.69 |
|
|
4.33 | 4.33 | 1.67 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich?
Our prediction for the Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich match is: Over 3.5!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/11/2024 between Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.09% for a win of Borussia Dortmund against Bayern Munich with odds of 4.75 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich is 11.59% with odds of 4.58 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.32% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund with odds of 1.91 at Ladbrokes.
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Form
Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
29 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 29 |
|
5
|
19 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
23 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
9 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2024 - DFB Pokal
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
18 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
27 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
9 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2024 - DFB Pokal
26 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
5 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
22 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
9 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Oct 2024 - DFB Pokal
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
22 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
19 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
28 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Oct 2024 - DFB Pokal
27 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
6 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
4 Nov 2023 - Bundesliga
1 Apr 2023 - Bundesliga
8 Oct 2022 - Bundesliga
23 Apr 2022 - Bundesliga
4 Dec 2021 - Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich: Form Analysis
Borussia Dortmund have struggled for consistency this season. After going unbeaten in their first three matches of the campaign, they have failed to win two in a row since (W4 D0 L4).
Die Schwarzgelben’s last match ended in a 4-0 home win against Freiburg, and that result extended their excellent home record to eight consecutive top-flight victories.
Notably, BVB also scored 27 goals over that period, including two or more goals in each of those matches.
Dortmund have the best home record in the league, while Bayern have the best way record!
Indeed, the Bavarians have taken a total of 16 points from their six matches on the road this term, only dropping points in a 3-3 draw with Eintracht Frankfurt before the October international break.
Die Roten have scored a league-high 23 goals in their six away games, including three or more in five of those matches, while they also maintained three clean sheets in that time.
Interestingly, with 29 points, Vincent Kompany has tied the league record for the most points earned by a manager in his first 11 games in charge, joining Pep Guardiola and Klaus Toppmoller.
Bayern are the only team in the top flight that are still unbeaten this season.
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Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
N. Sule
ForwardK. Adeyemi
S. Ulreich
DefenderH. Ito
MidfielderA. Pavlovic
J. Palhinha
Borussia Dortmund & Bayern Munich Squad Analysis
Nuri Sahin will have to make do without the services of Emre Can for one more match, with the German international set to serve the final game of this three-match ban this week.
Karim Adeyemi has missed the last 10 matches with a hamstring strain and is ruled out, while Niklas Sule and Kjell Watjen are flagged as doubts owing to an ankle and muscle injury respectively.
Harry Kane has scored nine goals in Bayern Munich’s last five league games!
Kompany also has a few notable absentees for this match, particularly in midfield, with both Aleksandar Pavlovic (broken collarbone) and Joao Palhinha (muscle) currently sidelined through injury.
Hiroki Ito is ruled out for the remainder of this year with a broken ankle and Josip Stanisic is still on the road to recovery from a torn lateral knee ligament.
Finally, Sven Ulreich has been granted special leave, meaning Daniel Peretz will provide backup for Manuel Neuer between the sticks.
Most goals and assists
Borussia Dortmund
Bayern Munich
H. Kane
(20 Goals)
P. Gross
(5 Assists)
H. Kane
(9 Assists)
Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich Stats in Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich Key Points
- Borussia Dortmund have scored two or more goals in every home league game this season.
- Borussia Dortmund have only kept one clean sheet in their last five home games.
- Bayern Munich have scored three or more goals in five of their six away games this season.
- Bayern Munich have scored three or more goals in each of their last six league matches (home or away).
- Over 3.5 goals were scored in five of the last six matches between these sides.
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Our Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Prediction
What we have here is the side with the best home record this season taking on the team with the best away record, and given how these two have gone about their business, this should be a very entertaining fixture.
Additionally, matches between these familiar foes have delivered plenty of goals in recent times, and with two in-form attacks on display here, it would not come as a surprise if we were treated to another goal-fest in this one. Our Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich prediction: Over 3.5!
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich - Other Interesting Predictions
Harry Kane to score anytime
Harry Kane has scored 14 goals in just 11 league matches this season. Additionally, the England skipper has netted 20 times across all competitions in 2024-25, averaging a goal every 72 minutes.
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Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich match : Frequently asked questions
The Bundesliga match between Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich will be played on November 30 at 17:30 GMT.
The Bundesliga match between Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich will take place at Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund.
The Bundesliga match between Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich will be broadcast on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the Bundesliga Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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