Europe - Champions League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Champions League Predictions
Borussia Dortmund have a mountain to climb on Tuesday night when they play host to Barcelona at Signal Iduna Park in the second leg of their Champions League quarter-final tie. The winner of this tie between BVB and Blaugrana will move on to face either Bayern Munich or Inter Milan in the last four. Check out our match prediction below!
With that victory in Catalonia last week, Barcelona maintained their 100% win rate against German opposition in the Champions League this season. Prior to this campaign, the Spanish giants had lost five in a row to teams from the Bundesliga, scoring twice while conceding 19 during that period.
Dortmund, meanwhile, have never beaten this opponent in European competition, losing four and drawing two of their six previous encounters. Before last week’s defeat, they lost 3-2 to Barca in December during the League Phase of the competition. Let’s take a look at some other key stats at play in this one.
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The Best Betting Odds for Borussia Dortmund v Barcelona Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.6 | 4 | 1.9 |
|
|
3.6 | 4.33 | 1.83 |
|
|
3.4 | 2.87 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.75 | 4.1 | 1.82 |
|
|
4 | 4.2 | 1.88 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Borussia Dortmund and Barcelona?
Our prediction for the Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona match is: Barcelona team total over 1.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/04/2025 between Borussia Dortmund and Barcelona in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 16.65% for a win of Borussia Dortmund against Barcelona with odds of 4 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona is 20.36% with odds of 4.33 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 62.99% chance ⭐ for a win of Barcelona vs Borussia Dortmund with odds of 2.1 at Ladbrokes.
Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona Form
Borussia Dortmund and Barcelona Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
22 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
9 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
2 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
30 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
27 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
30 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
27 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
2 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
9 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
25 %
75 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Apr 2025 - Champions League
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
27 Nov 2019 - Champions League
17 Sep 2019 - Champions League
Borussia Dortmund - Barcelona: Form Analysis
To put into perspective the task that Borussia Dortmund face, consider this - in the 159 previous occasions where a team lost the first leg of a UCL knockout game by 4+ goals, only once has a team in that situation come back to progress.
Ironically, that team was Barcelona themselves against PSG back in 2017, and given BVB’s underwhelming and erratic form this season, it’s difficult to see them managing to pull this one back.
Notably, while the hosts only lost one home game in this competition this season, it was to the Catalans, who netted three times in the space of 30 minutes.
Barca could become the first team to beat Dortmund more than once in the same European campaign!
Meanwhile, Barcelona outperformed this opponent in almost every statistical category last week, including attempts on goal and on target, while they completed just four short of 200 more passes.
With last week’s victory, Blaugrana are now the out-and-out highest-scoring team in the Champions League this season with 36 goals, seven more than second-placed Bayern Munich.
While the visitors’ only defeat in this competition to date came on the road, they have won their last four away games and scored 14 goals in that period, though they did also concede eight.
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Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
N. Schlotterbeck
MidfielderM. Sabitzer
M. Ter Stegen
MidfielderM. Bernal
M. Casado
D. Olmo
Borussia Dortmund & Barcelona Squad Analysis
Dortmund were outplayed in midfield at Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys last week, but they will have Pascal Gross back in the engine room here, with the former Brighton man having now served his suspension.
However, midfielder Marcel Sabitzer and centre-back Nico Schlotterbeck will remain sidelined for the hosts, with the pair still undergoing rehabilitation for knee injuries.
Serhou Guirassy has been the main attacking threat for the Black and Yellow in the Champions League this season, netting 10 times to date, which is the third-most of any player in the competition.
Last week, Raphinha tied Messi’s club record for the most goal involvements in a single Champions League season (19)!
Indeed, the Brazilian was sensational on his home patch, picking up two assists and netting once, taking him to 12 goals in the competition - the most of any player in 2024-25.
After scoring either side of Raphinha and Lamine Yamal last week, Robert Lewandowski took his UCL goal tally to 11. The 36-year-old now has a staggering 40 goal involvements in all competitions this season.
Alejandro Balde sustained a hamstring injury over the weekend and will not feature this week.
Most goals and assists
Borussia Dortmund
Barcelona
R. Lewandowski
(36 Goals)
P. Gross
(11 Assists)
L. Yamal
(14 Assists)
Borussia Dortmund and Barcelona Stats in Champions League
Borussia Dortmund - Barcelona Key Points
- Barcelona have scored 36 goals in 11 Champions League games this season.
- Barcelona have scored two or more goals in nine of their last 10 Champions League matches.
- Barcelona have scored two or more goals in 11 of their last 15 away games across all competitions.
- Barcelona have scored two or more goals in each of their last three Champions League matches against this opponent.
- Borussia Dortmund have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last seven games across all competitions.
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Our Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona Prediction
While Barcelona have conceded 1.27 goals per match in the Champions League this season, their attack has been sensational and has outscored opponents in nine of their 10 games in this competition.
Combined Barca’s trio of Robert Lewandowski, Raphinha, and the young Lamine Yamal have scored an incredible 27 goals in this season’s tournament, and it would take a brave soul to back against them adding to that tally this week. Our Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona prediction is Barcelona team total over 1.5.
Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona - Other Interesting Predictions
Raphinha to score or assist anytime
Raphinha has been directly involved in 19 of Barcelona’s 36 goals in the Champions League this season, including having a hand in the team scoring in each of his last six matches in the competition.
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Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona match : Frequently asked questions
The Champions League match between Borussia Dortmund and Barcelona will be played on April 15 at 20:00 GMT.
The Champions League match between Borussia Dortmund and Barcelona will take place at Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund.
The Champions League match between Borussia Dortmund and Barcelona will be broadcast on TNT Sports in the UK. DAZN will broadcast the match for German viewers, while in Spain, the match will be shown on Telefonica.
Alternatively, you can stay up to date with every minute of the action using our Champions League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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