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Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Devesh Jaganath in Champions League Predictions
European giants will collide on Wednesday night at Signal Induna Park where Borussia Dortmund will be playing host to Barcelona in the UEFA Champions League. Both Blaugrana and BVB are locked level on 12 points apiece and are in third and fourth place respectively in the League Phase standings. Check out our match prediction below!
Barcelona have been the dominant force in this fixture in recent times, currently unbeaten in their last four matches against this opponent, including two wins and two draws. Across all competitions, this is the most that Borussia Dortmund have faced a single opponent in Europe and failed to earn a victory (4).
The visitors are the favourites in this match according to the bookmakers, but given the hosts' record in the competition, this could easily turn out to be a much closer encounter than the odds suggest. Let’s get into the key stats at play in this one.
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The Best Betting Odds for Borussia Dortmund v Barcelona Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.3 | 4.1 | 1.95 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.9 | 2 |
|
|
3.55 | 4.21 | 1.95 |
|
|
3.55 | 4.21 | 1.95 |
|
|
3.45 | 4 | 2 |
|
|
3.24 | 3.92 | 2.04 |
|
|
3.24 | 3.92 | 2.04 |
|
|
3.4 | 4.1 | 2.03 |
|
|
3.28 | 4.06 | 1.99 |
|
|
3.45 | 4.2 | 1.99 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.75 | 2 |
|
|
3.4 | 4.25 | 1.98 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.8 | 2 |
|
|
3.4 | 4 | 2.03 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.8 | 2 |
|
|
3.4 | 4.2 | 1.91 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Borussia Dortmund and Barcelona?
Our prediction for the Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona match is: over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/12/2024 between Borussia Dortmund and Barcelona in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.74% for a win of Borussia Dortmund against Barcelona with odds of 3.55 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona is 28.37% with odds of 4.25 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.9% chance ⭐ for a win of Barcelona vs Borussia Dortmund with odds of 2.04 at Betwinner.
Borussia Dortmund - Barcelona Prediction and Best Odds:
| Borussia Dortmund Barcelona Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 41.74% | 3.55 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73.36% | 1.66 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 64.58% | 1.4 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Borussia Dortmund | 16.98% | 9 at Unibet |
Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona Form
Borussia Dortmund and Barcelona's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
15 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 |
|
9
|
12 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
Borussia Dortmund and Barcelona Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
23 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
9 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
23 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
18 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
9 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2024 - DFB Pokal
26 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
30 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
23 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
10 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
3 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
20 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
23 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
10 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
26 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Nov 2019 - Champions League
17 Sep 2019 - Champions League
Borussia Dortmund - Barcelona: Form Analysis
Borussia Dortmund picked up their fourth win in the Champions League last time out, delivering a commanding second-half performance to beat Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 on the road.
That was the fourth time in their five games that BVB netted two or more goals in a match, with the only exception being their 1-0 victory over Sturm Graz on matchday three of the competition.
The hosts have also been in good goal-scoring form domestically this season, having netted in each of their last seven matches while only failing to do so once in their last 13 games.
BVB are unbeaten at home across all competitions this season (W8 D1 L0)!
Meanwhile, Barcelona suffered an early setback in this competition, losing their opening match to Monaco 2-1 on the road. However, since then, they have been flawless, rattling off four wins on the bounce.
Blaugrana beat Young Boys, Bayern Munich, Red Star Belgrade and Brest during the current win streak and scored three or more goals in each of those victories.
As a result, the La Liga outfit are currently the highest-scoring team in this season’s Champions League to date with 18 goals, though they have also allowed five at the other end.
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Borussia Dortmund against Barcelona Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
W. Anton
M. Ter Stegen
DefenderA. Christensen
MidfielderM. Bernal
ForwardA. Fati
Borussia Dortmund & Barcelona Squad Analysis
Nuri Sahin has a major defensive headache this week.
Niklas Sule and Waldemar Anton are both sidelined with injuries, meaning Nico Schlotterbeck is the only recognised centre-back at his disposal. That will likely force the Dortmund head coach to deploy Emre Can in central defence.
Maximilian Beier sustained an injury in the weekend’s draw against Borussia Monchengladbach and is also ruled out, while Julian Brandt and Karim Adeyemi are unlikely to feature owing to muscle issues.
Robert Lewandowski is the leading scorer in the Champions League with seven goals!
Hansi Flick also has his share of defensive absences, with Ronald Araujo and Andreas Christensen both ruled out for this match due to a hamstring and Achilles injury respectively.
First-choice goalkeeper Marc-Andre ter Stegen is likely to miss the majority of the season with a knee injury and he is joined in the treatment room by fellow long-term absentee Marc Bernal.
Ansu Fati has reportedly resumed first-team training after a month-long absence, but this match will likely have come too soon to see him return to the squad.
Most goals and assists
Borussia Dortmund
Barcelona
R. Lewandowski
(23 Goals)
P. Gross
(6 Assists)
L. Yamal
(11 Assists)
Borussia Dortmund - Barcelona Key Points
- Four of Borussia Dortmund’s five Champions League games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Borussia Dortmund have scored two or more goals in four of their five matches in this competition.
- All five of Barcelona’s Champions League games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Barcelona have scored three or more goals in each of their last four matches in this competition.
- Barcelona have scored two or more goals in eight of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
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Our Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona Prediction
Borussia Dortmund have been delivering solid performances in this competition, but one has to be concerned about the shape of their defence in this match, with two of their regular centre-backs currently sidelined.
That certainly does not bode well for their chances of keeping a clean sheet here, especially when considering that they are facing the highest-scoring team in the competition. This feels like a match where we could see a handful hitting the back of the net. Our Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona prediction is over 2.5 goals.
Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona - Other Interesting Predictions
Barcelona over 1.5
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Borussia Dortmund Barcelona
| Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 2.9 | 3.3 | +13.8% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 4.1 | +7.9% |
| Barcelona wins | 2.15 | 1.95 | -9.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Borussia Dortmund is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 13.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 34.5% and is now 30.3% (-4.2%)
Bet on the Borussia Dortmund vs. Barcelona game to gain a £50 welcome pack!
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Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona match : Frequently asked questions
The UEFA Champions League match between Borussia Dortmund and Barcelona will be played on December 11 at 20:00 GMT.
The UEFA Champions League match between Borussia Dortmund and Barcelona will take place at Signal Induna Park in Dortmund.
The UEFA Champions League match between Borussia Dortmund and Barcelona will be broadcast on TNT Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the UEFA Champions League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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