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Europe - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
16 Apr 2024 15:00
Atletico Madrid

Prediction :

Both Teams to Score - Yes

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Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League

 by Ian John | in Champions League Predictions

Borussia Dortmund host Atletico Madrid in their Champions League Quarterfinal Second Leg tie at Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund on Tuesday night (Kick off 8pm). Atletico take a 2-1 lead into the game after winning the first leg at the Wanda Metropolitano last Wednesday. Dortmund were crowned European champions back in 1997 while Atletico have come up just short on three occasions, the most recent being in 2016. The winner of this tie advances to the semi-finals where they will take on either Barcelona or PSG.

The Best Betting Odds for Borussia Dortmund v Atletico Madrid Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.01 41 301
Betfred
2.25 3.75 2.88
Ladbrokes
2.2 3.5 3.1
NetBet
2.17 3.5 3.05
1xbet
1 51 451
22bet
1 51 451
Betwinner
2.13 3.64 3.22
Stake
2.27 3.7 3.1
Melbet
2.25 3.56 3.06
Tonybet
2.24 3.7 3.1
Check all Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Borussia Dortmund and Atletico Madrid?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/04/2024 between Borussia Dortmund and Atletico Madrid in Champions League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.95% for a win of Borussia Dortmund against Atletico Madrid with odds of 2.27 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid is 5.32% with odds of 51 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 36.73% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund with odds of 451 at 1xbet.

Borussia Dortmund - Atletico Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:

Borussia Dortmund Atletico Madrid Prediction Probability Odds
Borussia Dortmund wins 57.95% 2.27 at Stake
Over 2.5 goals 56.78% 2.02 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 43.75%
Half-time / Full-time : Borussia Dortmund/Borussia Dortmund 26.24% 3.6 at Bet365

Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid Form

Borussia Dortmund and Atletico Madrid Last Matches

Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund Last matches
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

13 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
1 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

10 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

6 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
0 :  1
Stuttgart

30 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
0 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

17 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  1
Eintracht Frankfurt

13 Mar 2024 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  0
PSV Eindhoven
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

6 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
0 :  1
Stuttgart

17 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  1
Eintracht Frankfurt

13 Mar 2024 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  0
PSV Eindhoven

25 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  3
Hoffenheim

9 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  0
Freiburg

28 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  1
Bochum
D W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

13 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
1 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

10 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

30 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
0 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

9 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
1 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

2 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
0 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

20 Feb 2024 - Champions League

PSV Eindhoven
1 :  1
Borussia Dortmund
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid Last matches
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

13 Apr 2024 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  1
Girona

10 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

1 Apr 2024 - LaLiga

Villarreal
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid

17 Mar 2024 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
0 :  3
Barcelona

13 Mar 2024 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Inter Milan

9 Mar 2024 - LaLiga

Cádiz
2 :  0
Atletico Madrid
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

13 Apr 2024 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  1
Girona

10 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

17 Mar 2024 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
0 :  3
Barcelona

13 Mar 2024 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Inter Milan

3 Mar 2024 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Betis

17 Feb 2024 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
5 :  0
Las Palmas
L L D L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Apr 2024 - LaLiga

Villarreal
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid

9 Mar 2024 - LaLiga

Cádiz
2 :  0
Atletico Madrid

29 Feb 2024 - Copa del Rey

Athletic Bilbao
3 :  0
Atletico Madrid

24 Feb 2024 - LaLiga

Almería
2 :  2
Atletico Madrid

20 Feb 2024 - Champions League

Inter Milan
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid

11 Feb 2024 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Borussia Dortmund

33 %

Draw

0 %

Atletico Madrid

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
33%
BTTS
1.67
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

10 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

6 Nov 2018 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

24 Oct 2018 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
4 :  0
Atletico Madrid
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Borussia Dortmund - Atletico Madrid: Form Analysis

Dortmund have lost two of their last three at home in the Bundesliga, but have lost just four this season on their home patch. In contrast, they have lost just once away from home and won all their last four games in the Bundesliga on the road. That form is a little better at home in the Champions League where they have won two and drawn two out of their four home games in the competition this season. They have conceded 16 goals in their last nine Bundesliga home games, a stat which will certainly give Atletico fans real hope of scoring what could be a key goal in Germany.

Atletico's form at home has been stellar in La Liga with 14 wins, 1 draw and just one defeat in their 16 La Liga games, but away from home they have won just 5, drawn 3 and lost 7 La Liga games, including just one win in their last five away matches in Spain. Their away form isn't much better in the Champions League either. They have drawn two, won one and lost one of their four away games in the competition and they have not kept a clean sheet on the road in the tournament this year. Again, these stats will give hope to Dortmund fans who will view Atletico's away form as reason to believe their team could land the win.

Borussia Dortmund against Atletico Madrid Lineups: Starting 11

Borussia Dortmund

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
G. Kobel
26
J. Ryerson
15
M. Hummels
4
N. Schlotterbeck
22
I. Maatsen
20
M. Sabitzer
23
E. Can
27
K. Adeyemi
19
J. Brandt
10
J. Sancho
14
N. Fullkrug
7
A. Griezmann
19
A. Morata
5
R. De Paul
6
Koke
14
M. Llorente
3
C. Azpilicueta
22
M. Hermoso
2
J. Gimenez
20
A. Witsel
16
N. Molina
13
J. Oblak

Formation : 5 - 3 - 2

Atletico Madrid

Missing players

Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Defender

R. Bensebaini

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid

Borussia Dortmund & Atletico Madrid Squad Analysis

Borussia Dortmund will be missing two players for the second leg game with Atletico Madrid on Tuesday night. Left back Ramy Bensebaini and midfielder Abdoulaye Kamara are both ruled out through injury but other than that manager Edin Terzic has a pretty healthy squad to pick from. One key thing to note is that defenders Mats Hummels and Ian Maatsen, plus midfielder Emre Can are all just one booking away from missing the first leg of the semi-final, should the German side get that far. Marco Reus and Karim Adeyemi have been key men for Dortmund this season in the Champions League, both scoring twice for their team in the competition.

Diego Simeone will be without five players for the second leg in Germany this week. Winger Samuel Lino picked up a yellow card in the first leg which means he is suspended for the second leg, while Memphis Depay picked up a muscle injury which makes him a massive doubt for the game, with a return in early May most likely. Long term injury absentees Thomas Lemar, Mario Hermoso and Vitolo will also miss out. Antoine Griezmann has been Atletico's star man this season and the veteran Frenchman plays a key creative role for Atletico that is pivotal to their success. Defenders Jose Maria Gimenez and Stefan Savic, as well as midfielder Koke will all miss the semi final 1st leg if they pick up another booking in the second leg. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Borussia Dortmund
CD Huachipato Atletico Madrid
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands D. Malen (15 Goals)
Germany N. Fullkrug (15 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France A. Griezmann (22 Goals)
Best assists
Germany J. Brandt (14 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil S. Lino (8 Assists)
France A. Griezmann (8 Assists)

Borussia Dortmund - Atletico Madrid Key Points

  1. Both teams have scored in five of Dortmund's last eight Bundesliga games and also four of their last five Champions League games.
  2. Atletico have conceded in every away game in the Champions League this season, but they have also scored in three of the four away games in the competition too.
  3. Both teams have scored in 62% of Dortmund's games in the Bundesliga this season. For Atletico that figure is 52% in La Liga but 66% in the Champions League.
  4. Atletico Madrid's last seven games have seen them score 11 goals, conceding 10. Both teams have scored in five of those games.
  5. Dortmund have conceded in three of their last four home games in all competitions.

Our Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

After a tight first leg in Madrid, Dortmund and Atletico will face off again in Germany this week with the home side chasing down a one-goal deficit from the first leg. The stats are a little vague for this one. Dortmund's home form of late isn't great, but has been solid in Europe. Atletico's away form is poor compared to their home form, but in Europe has been ok too. What does come through is the likelihood of both teams scoring as they did in the first leg so our Borussia Dortmund v Atletico Madrid prediction is for both teams to find the net in the game.

Prediction :

Both Teams to Score - Yes

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Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid - Other Interesting Predictions

Atletico Madrid to Score First

Odds 2.05
We've already mentioned that the data suggests both teams finding the net in this game and given Dortmund's home form of late, it is a solid bet that they may not score the first goal in this game. Atletico are very experienced at hitting teams on the counter and so our second Borussia Dortmund v Atletico Madrid prediction is for the Spaniards to score the opening goal in the second leg.
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Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid match : Frequently asked questions

This week's Champions League quarterfinal second leg tie will be the sixth clash between the two teams in the Champions League. 

Previously, Atletico Madrid have won three of those matches (two at home, one away) and Dortmund have won two (one at home and one away). Dortmund though have outscored the Spanish side by seven goals to six over those previous five games. 

If you want to watch the game, then TNT Sport (formerly BT Sport) will be showing all four of the Champions League quarterfinals live, all kicking off at 8pm, two on Tuesday Night (including Dortmund v Atletico), and two on Wednesday Night.

Alternatively, if you don't have a subscription to the TNT service and want real-time data updates of the game, with text commentary, then check out the SportyTrader Livescore Page for the Champions League and you can follow all the action between Dortmund and Atletico this week.

Slovenia's Slavko Vincic will be the referee for the second leg Champions League quarterfinal tie between Borussia Dortmund and Atletico Madrid.

The Slovenian official has refereed four previous Champions League games this season, awarding 16 yellow cards but no red cards so far.

Tomaz Klancnik and Andraz Kovacic will be his assistant referees at Signal Iduna Park, with Matej Jug the fourth official. VAR will be Nejc Kajtazovic, with Rade Obrenovic his assistant. All officials are from Slovenia. 

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

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