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Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Ian John | in Champions League Predictions
Borussia Dortmund host Atletico Madrid in their Champions League Quarterfinal Second Leg tie at Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund on Tuesday night (Kick off 8pm). Atletico take a 2-1 lead into the game after winning the first leg at the Wanda Metropolitano last Wednesday. Dortmund were crowned European champions back in 1997 while Atletico have come up just short on three occasions, the most recent being in 2016. The winner of this tie advances to the semi-finals where they will take on either Barcelona or PSG.Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Borussia Dortmund v Atletico Madrid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.01 | 41 | 301 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.75 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.17 | 3.5 | 3.05 |
|
|
1 | 51 | 451 |
|
|
1 | 51 | 451 |
|
|
2.13 | 3.64 | 3.22 |
|
|
2.13 | 3.64 | 3.22 |
|
|
2.27 | 3.7 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.56 | 3.06 |
|
|
2.24 | 3.7 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.7 | 3.1 |
|
|
1.3 | 4.6 | 12 |
|
|
2.22 | 3.7 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.5 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.23 | 3.85 | 3.19 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.25 | 2.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Borussia Dortmund and Atletico Madrid?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/04/2024 between Borussia Dortmund and Atletico Madrid in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.95% for a win of Borussia Dortmund against Atletico Madrid with odds of 3.5 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid is 5.32% with odds of 51 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.73% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund with odds of 451 at 1xbet.
Borussia Dortmund - Atletico Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Borussia Dortmund Atletico Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 57.95% | 3.5 at Betway |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.78% | 2.4 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score | 43.75% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Borussia Dortmund/Borussia Dortmund | 26.24% | 4.5 at Betsson |
Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid Form
Borussia Dortmund and Atletico Madrid Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
10 Apr 2024 - Champions League
6 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
13 Mar 2024 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
13 Mar 2024 - Champions League
25 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
9 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
28 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
10 Apr 2024 - Champions League
30 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
9 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
2 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
20 Feb 2024 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
10 Apr 2024 - Champions League
1 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
17 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
13 Mar 2024 - Champions League
9 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
10 Apr 2024 - Champions League
17 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
13 Mar 2024 - Champions League
3 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
17 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
9 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
29 Feb 2024 - Copa del Rey
24 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
20 Feb 2024 - Champions League
11 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Apr 2024 - Champions League
6 Nov 2018 - Champions League
24 Oct 2018 - Champions League
Borussia Dortmund - Atletico Madrid: Form Analysis
Dortmund have lost two of their last three at home in the Bundesliga, but have lost just four this season on their home patch. In contrast, they have lost just once away from home and won all their last four games in the Bundesliga on the road. That form is a little better at home in the Champions League where they have won two and drawn two out of their four home games in the competition this season. They have conceded 16 goals in their last nine Bundesliga home games, a stat which will certainly give Atletico fans real hope of scoring what could be a key goal in Germany.
Atletico's form at home has been stellar in La Liga with 14 wins, 1 draw and just one defeat in their 16 La Liga games, but away from home they have won just 5, drawn 3 and lost 7 La Liga games, including just one win in their last five away matches in Spain. Their away form isn't much better in the Champions League either. They have drawn two, won one and lost one of their four away games in the competition and they have not kept a clean sheet on the road in the tournament this year. Again, these stats will give hope to Dortmund fans who will view Atletico's away form as reason to believe their team could land the win.
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Borussia Dortmund against Atletico Madrid Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Missing players
R. Bensebaini
Borussia Dortmund & Atletico Madrid Squad Analysis
Borussia Dortmund will be missing two players for the second leg game with Atletico Madrid on Tuesday night. Left back Ramy Bensebaini and midfielder Abdoulaye Kamara are both ruled out through injury but other than that manager Edin Terzic has a pretty healthy squad to pick from. One key thing to note is that defenders Mats Hummels and Ian Maatsen, plus midfielder Emre Can are all just one booking away from missing the first leg of the semi-final, should the German side get that far. Marco Reus and Karim Adeyemi have been key men for Dortmund this season in the Champions League, both scoring twice for their team in the competition.
Diego Simeone will be without five players for the second leg in Germany this week. Winger Samuel Lino picked up a yellow card in the first leg which means he is suspended for the second leg, while Memphis Depay picked up a muscle injury which makes him a massive doubt for the game, with a return in early May most likely. Long term injury absentees Thomas Lemar, Mario Hermoso and Vitolo will also miss out. Antoine Griezmann has been Atletico's star man this season and the veteran Frenchman plays a key creative role for Atletico that is pivotal to their success. Defenders Jose Maria Gimenez and Stefan Savic, as well as midfielder Koke will all miss the semi final 1st leg if they pick up another booking in the second leg.
Most goals and assists
Borussia Dortmund
Atletico Madrid
D. Malen
(15 Goals)
, 
N. Fullkrug
(15 Goals)
A. Griezmann
(22 Goals)
J. Brandt
(14 Assists)
S. Lino
(8 Assists)
,
A. Griezmann
(8 Assists)
Borussia Dortmund - Atletico Madrid Key Points
- Both teams have scored in five of Dortmund's last eight Bundesliga games and also four of their last five Champions League games.
- Atletico have conceded in every away game in the Champions League this season, but they have also scored in three of the four away games in the competition too.
- Both teams have scored in 62% of Dortmund's games in the Bundesliga this season. For Atletico that figure is 52% in La Liga but 66% in the Champions League.
- Atletico Madrid's last seven games have seen them score 11 goals, conceding 10. Both teams have scored in five of those games.
- Dortmund have conceded in three of their last four home games in all competitions.
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Our Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid - Other Interesting Predictions
Atletico Madrid to Score First
Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid match : Frequently asked questions
This week's Champions League quarterfinal second leg tie will be the sixth clash between the two teams in the Champions League.
Previously, Atletico Madrid have won three of those matches (two at home, one away) and Dortmund have won two (one at home and one away). Dortmund though have outscored the Spanish side by seven goals to six over those previous five games.
If you want to watch the game, then TNT Sport (formerly BT Sport) will be showing all four of the Champions League quarterfinals live, all kicking off at 8pm, two on Tuesday Night (including Dortmund v Atletico), and two on Wednesday Night.
Alternatively, if you don't have a subscription to the TNT service and want real-time data updates of the game, with text commentary, then check out the SportyTrader Livescore Page for the Champions League and you can follow all the action between Dortmund and Atletico this week.
Slovenia's Slavko Vincic will be the referee for the second leg Champions League quarterfinal tie between Borussia Dortmund and Atletico Madrid.
The Slovenian official has refereed four previous Champions League games this season, awarding 16 yellow cards but no red cards so far.
Tomaz Klancnik and Andraz Kovacic will be his assistant referees at Signal Iduna Park, with Matej Jug the fourth official. VAR will be Nejc Kajtazovic, with Rade Obrenovic his assistant. All officials are from Slovenia.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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