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England - League One

Bolton
18 May 2024 11:15
Oxford United

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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Bolton vs Oxford United Prediction & Betting Tips - League One

 by Ian John in League One Predictions

On Saturday afternoon, Bolton Wanderers will take on Oxford United in the League One Playoff Final at Wembley. A place in the Championship awaits the winner, while another season in League One is in store for the loser. Bolton starts the game as the clear favourites, finishing third in the table, pushing Derby County and Portsmouth hard for an automatic promotion spot. They also have beaten Oxford United 5-0 once this season at the Toughsheet Community Stadium. Oxford finished ten points adrift of their opponents in fifth place in the table, but in a playoff final, everything starts equal, and the U's have a chance to play in the Championship for the first time since 1998/99.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bolton v Oxford United Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
201 29 1.01
Ladbrokes
1.91 3.6 3.8
Betwinner
1.92 3.53 3.94
Tonybet
1.89 3.55 3.85
Check all Bolton vs Oxford United odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bolton and Oxford United?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/05/2024 between Bolton and Oxford United in League One :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.9% for a win of Bolton against Oxford United with odds of 201 at Bet365.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bolton vs Oxford United is 33.6% with odds of 29 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 26.5% chance ⭐ for a win of Oxford United vs Bolton with odds of 3.94 at Betwinner.

Bolton - Oxford United Prediction and Best Odds:

Bolton Oxford United Prediction Probability Odds
Bolton wins 39.9% 201 at Bet365
Over 2.5 goals 54.14% 1.91 at Betwinner
Both Team To Score 50%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bolton 15.24% 5 at Bet365

Bolton vs Oxford United Form

Bolton and Oxford United Last Matches

Bolton
Bolton Last matches
D D W D W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

7 May 2024 - League One

Bolton
2 :  3
Barnsley

3 May 2024 - League One

Barnsley
1 :  3
Bolton

27 Apr 2024 - League One

Peterborough
3 :  3
Bolton

20 Apr 2024 - League One

Bolton
2 :  0
Port Vale

16 Apr 2024 - League One

Bolton
2 :  2
Shrewsbury Town

13 Apr 2024 - League One

Bolton
1 :  1
Portsmouth
W W D D W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

7 May 2024 - League One

Bolton
2 :  3
Barnsley

20 Apr 2024 - League One

Bolton
2 :  0
Port Vale

16 Apr 2024 - League One

Bolton
2 :  2
Shrewsbury Town

13 Apr 2024 - League One

Bolton
1 :  1
Portsmouth

1 Apr 2024 - League One

Bolton
5 :  2
Reading

12 Mar 2024 - League One

Bolton
5 :  0
Oxford United
D L D W D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

3 May 2024 - League One

Barnsley
1 :  3
Bolton

27 Apr 2024 - League One

Peterborough
3 :  3
Bolton

6 Apr 2024 - League One

Bristol Rovers
0 :  2
Bolton

29 Mar 2024 - League One

Stevenage
0 :  0
Bolton

16 Mar 2024 - League One

Derby County
1 :  0
Bolton

9 Mar 2024 - League One

Exeter City
2 :  2
Bolton
Oxford United
Oxford United Last matches
W L D W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 May 2024 - League One

Peterborough
1 :  1
Oxford United

4 May 2024 - League One

Oxford United
1 :  0
Peterborough

27 Apr 2024 - League One

Exeter City
1 :  2
Oxford United

19 Apr 2024 - League One

Oxford United
1 :  1
Stevenage

16 Apr 2024 - League One

Oxford United
0 :  1
Lincoln City

13 Apr 2024 - League One

Oxford United
5 :  0
Peterborough
W W W L D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 May 2024 - League One

Oxford United
1 :  0
Peterborough

19 Apr 2024 - League One

Oxford United
1 :  1
Stevenage

16 Apr 2024 - League One

Oxford United
0 :  1
Lincoln City

13 Apr 2024 - League One

Oxford United
5 :  0
Peterborough

1 Apr 2024 - League One

Oxford United
4 :  0
Fleetwood Town

9 Mar 2024 - League One

Oxford United
2 :  1
Cheltenham Town
L W D W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 May 2024 - League One

Peterborough
1 :  1
Oxford United

27 Apr 2024 - League One

Exeter City
1 :  2
Oxford United

6 Apr 2024 - League One

Burton Albion
0 :  4
Oxford United

29 Mar 2024 - League One

Shrewsbury Town
1 :  1
Oxford United

16 Mar 2024 - League One

Port Vale
0 :  2
Oxford United

12 Mar 2024 - League One

Bolton
5 :  0
Oxford United

Bolton vs Oxford United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Bolton

50 %

Draw

50 %

Oxford United

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
0%
BTTS
2.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
0
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

12 Mar 2024 - League One

Bolton
5 :  0
Oxford United

28 Nov 2023 - League One

Oxford United
0 :  0
Bolton
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Bolton - Oxford United: Form Analysis

Bolton survived a scare in their Playoff Semi-Final tie with Barnsley. The Trotters earned an impressive 3-1 win away at Oakwell in the first leg to seemingly set up a comfortable second leg at home. They then led 2-1 at halftime to lead 5-2 on aggregate, but two second-half goals for Barnsley put the home side under huge pressure. They did hang on to win 5-4 on aggregate to claim their place in the final but suffered their first defeat in nine games in the process, winning four and drawing four of the eight games before that loss. Bolton rattled in 86 goals in the regular season but conceded 51. They have been beaten just twice in their last 14 games in League One and the Playoffs, winning six and drawing six in that time.

Oxford United came into the playoff final after four games unbeaten and had just one defeat in ten games. The U's came through their playoff semi-final with Peterborough United, winning a tight first leg 1-0 at the Kassam Stadium. They then secured a 1-1 draw in the second leg at the Weston Homes Stadium, with Callum Brannagan scoring a crucial penalty just before halftime to pull Oxford level on the night and 2-1 ahead on aggregate. A battling second-half display then secured the 2-1 aggregate victory. Des Buckingham's team won six of their last ten games, drawing three others and losing only to Lincoln City in that run. Oxford were also amongst the highest scorers in League One this season, scoring 79 goals, conceding 56. 

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Players list

Bolton
Bolton
Goalkeeper

N. Baxter

Defender

J. Dacres-Cogley

V. Adeboyejo

G. Jones

R. Santos

E. Toal

Midfielder

G. Thomason

K. Dempsey

J. Iredale

Forward

C. Jerome

A. Collins

Oxford United
Oxford United
Goalkeeper

J. Cumming

Defender

E. Moore

G. Leigh

S. Long

C. Brown

Midfielder

J. McEachran

O. Dale

T. Goodhram

J. Murphy

M. McGuane

Forward

M. Harris

Substitutes

Bolton
Bolton
Goalkeeper

J. Coleman

Defender

W. Forrester

J. Iredale

J. Sheehan

Midfielder

K. Dempsey

E. Maghoma

A. Morley

Forward

V. Adeboyejo

N. Ogbeta

C. Jerome

D. Charles

Oxford United
Oxford United
Goalkeeper

S. Eastwood

Defender

G. Leigh

J. Bennett

F. Stevens

Midfielder

M. McGuane

C. Brannagan

M. Browne

J. McEachran

R. Rodrigues

Forward

B. Bodin

Bolton & Oxford United Squad Analysis

Bolton manager Ian Evatt will have the luxury of picking from an almost full-strength squad for the playoff final with Oxford. The only absentee will be defender George Johnston, who has missed the entire season through injury and will not return to action until next season at the earliest. The Trotters will be well-backed at Wembley, selling over 30,000 tickets to the final in the ten days from their playoff semi-final victory. Dion Charles is Bolton's main attacking threat, scoring 20 goals in 42 games in all competitions this season. Winger Aaron Collins is another to watch, having netted eight goals in just 19 appearances for the Trotters this campaign.

Oxford United head coach Des Buckingham faces a significant uncertainty ahead of the game with Bolton. Mark Harris, who has been a prolific scorer with 15 goals in League One this season (19 in all competitions), sustained an injury in their semi-final victory over Peterborough United. His participation in the final remains in question, adding an element of intrigue to the game. More positive is the news that Will Goodwin is fit again for the U's. Midfielder Cameron Brannagan has been a hugely consistent performer for Oxford United for seven years now and will be a key man if Oxford wins the game and gains promotion to the Championship.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Bolton
CD Huachipato Oxford United
Top Goalscorer
Northern Ireland D. Charles (17 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Wales M. Harris (15 Goals)

Bolton - Oxford United Key Points

  1. Over 2.5 Goals have been scored in five of Bolton's last eight games and in all of their last three matches.
  2. Four of Oxford United's last eight games have seen Over 2.5 Goals scored.
  3. Bolton has scored at least two goals in seven of their last eight matches, including their playoff semi-final ties against Barnsley.
  4. Oxford United scored in nine of their last ten games.
  5. This season, the two games between the teams saw a 0-0 draw at the Kassam Stadium in Oxford, but Wanderers ran out 5-0 winners at the Toughsheet Community Stadium in Bolton back in March.
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Our Bolton vs Oxford United Prediction

Based on both teams' recent form, including their last few league games and their performances in the playoffs, the data indicates that both teams have been scoring goals but have also been conceding. Predicting the outcome of the Playoff Finals is always tricky, so our prediction for the Bolton Wanderers vs. Oxford United Playoff Final is that there will be over 2.5 goals scored in the game.

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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Bolton vs Oxford United - Other Interesting Predictions

Match Result - Draw and Both Teams to Score

Odds 4.75
Having already stated that there is every likelihood of goals being scored in this game, our second prediction refines that a little. Playoff Finals tend to be close and dramatic games and this clash between Bolton and Oxford looks no different. A game akin to the 0-0 draw between the two in Oxford, though with more goals, is more likely. So much so that our second Bolton v Oxford prediction here is for both teams to score and the game to finish as a draw at full-time. Thus meaning extra time and possibly even penalties deciding the winner.
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Bolton vs Oxford United match : Frequently asked questions

The 2024 League One Playoff Final between Bolton Wanderers and Oxford United will take place on the 18th May 2024, kick-off 4.15pm UK Time. The game will be played at Wembley Stadium.

Bolton Wanderers and Oxford United have only met 29 times in their history ahead of the League One Playoff Final.

Out of those 29 games, Bolton have won 12, Oxford have won eight with nine matches between the two finishing as draws.

Bolton have the upper-hand in the most recent games between the two, losing just one of the last eight, winning five and drawing two. 

The two games between the two this season saw them draw 0-0 at the Kassam Stadium in November, before Bolton thrashed Oxford 5-0 at the Toughsheet Community Stadium back in March.

The League One Playoff Final between Bolton and Oxford will be shown live in the UK on Sky Sports.

Additionally, if you don't have a subscription or just want real-time statistics, text commentary and data updates from the game, check out Sportytrader's League One Live page!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Bolton vs Oxford United Prediction
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