England - League One
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Bolton vs Birmingham Prediction & Betting Tips - League One
by Sridhar in League One Predictions
Bolton Wanderers face a crucial test in their playoff chase as they take on League One runaway leaders Birmingham City at the Toughsheet Community Stadium in matchday 35. This match on Tuesday comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals between the seventh-placed Wanderers and the Blues.
Bolton's 54 points from 33 matches place them two points outside the top six, while Birmingham have 76 points from 32 matches and are 12 points ahead with a game in hand.
A 0-0 draw away at Wrexham saw Bolton's three-game winning streak end at the weekend. Their recent record still is very impressive, with five wins from their last seven league games carrying their push for a playoff spot.
Their home form seems to have taken a turn for the good as three wins on the trot in the league give them confidence. That would be needed to dent Birmingham's confident run of 18 unbeaten games (W14, D4) after a 1-0 win at home against Wycombe.
That result is a big boost to their already strong title credentials and almost hands them the advantage. Away form still needs a bit of push, as the Blues were held to a draw in three of their last five league trips.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bolton v Birmingham Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.75 | 3.3 | 2 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.4 | 2 |
|
|
3.7 | 2.45 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.72 | 3.5 | 2.01 |
|
|
3.72 | 3.5 | 2.01 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.35 | 2 |
|
|
3.68 | 3.48 | 2.02 |
|
|
3.68 | 3.48 | 2.02 |
|
|
3.55 | 3.45 | 2.04 |
|
|
3.68 | 3.48 | 2.02 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.35 | 2.01 |
|
|
3.7 | 3.3 | 2 |
|
|
3.67 | 3.33 | 2.01 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.4 | 1.95 |
|
|
3.8 | 3.45 | 1.89 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bolton and Birmingham?
Our prediction for the Bolton vs Birmingham match is: under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/03/2025 between Bolton and Birmingham in League One :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.73% for a win of Bolton against Birmingham with odds of 3.8 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bolton vs Birmingham is 22.15% with odds of 3.5 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 46.12% chance ⭐ for a win of Birmingham vs Bolton with odds of 2.3 at Ladbrokes.
Bolton vs Birmingham Form
Bolton and Birmingham's standings in the League One
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
76 | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 35 |
|
7
|
54 | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 3 |
Bolton and Birmingham Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - League One
22 Feb 2025 - League One
15 Feb 2025 - League One
11 Feb 2025 - EFL Trophy
8 Feb 2025 - League One
1 Feb 2025 - League One
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - League One
8 Feb 2025 - League One
28 Jan 2025 - League One
21 Jan 2025 - League One
18 Jan 2025 - League One
29 Dec 2024 - League One
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - League One
15 Feb 2025 - League One
11 Feb 2025 - EFL Trophy
1 Feb 2025 - League One
25 Jan 2025 - League One
14 Jan 2025 - EFL Trophy
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - League One
25 Feb 2025 - League One
22 Feb 2025 - League One
18 Feb 2025 - EFL Trophy
15 Feb 2025 - League One
11 Feb 2025 - League One
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - League One
25 Feb 2025 - League One
18 Feb 2025 - EFL Trophy
15 Feb 2025 - League One
11 Feb 2025 - League One
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - League One
4 Feb 2025 - EFL Trophy
28 Jan 2025 - League One
23 Jan 2025 - League One
14 Jan 2025 - EFL Trophy
4 Jan 2025 - League One
Bolton vs Birmingham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Oct 2024 - League One
22 Aug 2018 - Championship
Most goals and assists
Bolton
Birmingham
A. Collins
(9 Goals)
, 
J. McAtee
(9 Goals)
J. Stansfield
(16 Goals)
J. McAtee
(2 Assists)
Bolton - Birmingham Key Points
- In 12 of their last 15 League One matches, Birmingham saw under 2.5 goals scored.
- Away from home, five of Birmingham’s last six League one matches have all see fewer than three goals scored.
- Bolton’s last nine matches against Birmingham have all seen two or fewer goals scored, including a 2-0 reverse fixture loss.
- Birmingham have kept a clean sheet in four of their last six away league games.
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Our Bolton vs Birmingham Prediction
Birmingham City continue to march toward the League One title, with their win over Wycombe last weekend further solidifying their dominance. Their defensive solidity has been a key factor all season, and having already beaten Bolton 2-0 in the reverse fixture, they'll be confident of another strong result. Bolton, however, are fighting to break into the top six, and their impressive home form (three straight league wins) gives them hope. Breaking down Birmingham's rock-solid defense won't be easy, and that's why our Bolton vs Birmingham prediction is under 2.5 goals.
Get up to £30 to bet on the Bolton vs. Birmingham game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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