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Bologna vs Lille Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Kennedy Kechula in Champions League Predictions
Bologna’s debut in the Champions League has shown promise and nothing more from the opening four Match Days of the competition. The Italians are set for a tough test on Match Day 5 when French side LOSC Lille visit for a Wednesday game. As the two sides prepare for their first ever meeting, let’s have a look at the numbers defining the match before offering our predictions.
Hosts I Rossoblu are set to play their third match at home in the Champions League. In their opening four matches overall, Bologna haven't managed a win, losing each of the last three. They are also still searching for their first goal.
Meanwhile, Les Dogues are flying high, both in terms of results and their prospects for this game. With seven points picked up, they have the upper hand here. This is Lille's second match against an Italian team this season. Earlier, they drew with Juventus in a Match Day 4 encounter, coming off back-to-back wins.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bologna v Lille Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.35 | 3.2 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.1 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.23 | 3.21 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.23 | 3.21 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.15 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.33 | 3.25 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.19 | 3.38 |
|
|
2.34 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.2 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.1 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.2 | 3.47 |
|
|
2.38 | 3 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.32 | 3.15 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.25 | 3 | 3.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bologna and Lille?
Our prediction for the Bologna vs Lille match is: Lille to win and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/11/2024 between Bologna and Lille in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 23.46% for a win of Bologna against Lille with odds of 2.45 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bologna vs Lille is 43.8% with odds of 3.25 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.75% chance ⭐ for a win of Lille vs Bologna with odds of 3.47 at Vbet.
Bologna - Lille Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bologna Lille Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 43.8% | 3.25 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 68.43% | 2.18 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 35.71% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 24.59% | 5.3 at Vbet |
Bologna vs Lille Form
Bologna and Lille's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
|
33
|
2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -6 |
Bologna and Lille Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Nov 2024 - Serie A
10 Nov 2024 - Serie A
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Serie A
29 Oct 2024 - Serie A
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Serie A
6 Oct 2024 - Serie A
28 Sep 2024 - Serie A
18 Sep 2024 - Champions League
31 Aug 2024 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Nov 2024 - Serie A
10 Nov 2024 - Serie A
29 Oct 2024 - Serie A
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
19 Oct 2024 - Serie A
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
1 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
1 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
5 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
21 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
18 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
28 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
Bologna - Lille: Form Analysis
Ahead of Bologna’s fifth match in the Champions League, the biggest headlines have been on their goal attempts. The Italian side has taken 48 shots across the first four rounds. That’s an average of 12 per game yet they haven't scored a goal.
Vincenzo Italiano’s men have managed just one point so far, coming from the Match Day 1 0-0 draw with Shakhtar Donetsk and they risk being dumped out early.
Bologna went on to lose 2-0 at Liverpool, Aston Villa and 1-0 at home to Monaco and are now 31st, four points below the playoff slots. It doesn’t leave a great impression that Bologna are coming from a 3-0 loss to Lazio in Serie A ahead of this game.
Tommaso Pobega was sent off in the first half of that game and Bologna capitulated in the second, conceding all three goals.
Lille are unbeaten in 11 matches, winning six times.
Lille are doing well and heading into their second game against an Italian team in November; they are unbeaten in 11 matches. The last time the French side tasted defeat was on Match Day 1, away to Sporting, who beat them 2-0.
Among the teams they’ve beaten in this streak are the Madrid rivals Atletico and holders Real Madrid, and their confidence is at a high. Bruno Genesio has settled in well after a shaky period earlier in the campaign and his style has picked well.
The visitors start this round of matches just two points off the top-eight. They are coming from a 1-0 win over Rennes in Ligue 1. Edon Zhegrova scored the only goal in the first half, his first goal since a prolific run in September.
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Bologna against Lille Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
O. El Azzouzi
N. Cambiaghi
M. Aebischer
S. Umtiti
T. Santos
MidfielderN. Bentaleb
E. Mbappe
A. Gomes
Bologna & Lille Squad Analysis
After playing the better part of their Sunday game with 10 men, fatigue showed in Bologna's loss to Lazio. A majority of these same players will be needed to turn up against Lille.
There will be extra attention on their lead striker Riccardo Orsolini as Bologna search for the first goal(s) in Europe. Orsolini had scored in four straight league matches before the Lazio loss.
He will hope to rediscover this form and give Bologna the much-needed goals in Europe. The hosts will still be without Nicolo Cambiaghi and Oussama El Azzouzi.
They have lately been joined in the treatment room by Swiss duo Michel Aebischer and Dan Ndoye. Goalkeeper Lukasz Skorupski may, however, return after missing the Lazio game with illness.
Lille have had 16 changes to their lineups in four league stage matches!
How Lille have performed so far in the Champions League has been the talk of town. A key to that has been Bruno Genesio’s courage to change personnel to reflect his needs.
Only goalkeeper Lucas Chevalier, defender Alexsandro Ribeiro and midfielder Benjamin Andre have started all four matches in the league phase.
Even if there will be changes here, we totally expect that Jonathan David will start here. The Canadian has been a major outlet for goals starting from the qualification stage, and up to this phase he has six goals.
Ngal’ayel Mukau will be available for selection though Ethan Mbappe, Samuel Umtiti, Andre Gomes, Nabil Bentaleb and Tiago Santos are all injured.
Most goals and assists
Bologna
Lille
R. Orsolini
(6 Goals)
J. David
(15 Goals)
S. Castro
(3 Assists)
, 
J. Miranda
(3 Assists)
O. Sahraoui
(3 Assists)
, 
M. Fernandez
(3 Assists)
Bologna - Lille Key Points
- In 12 home matches, Bologna have two wins only.
- Bologna are coming from two losses in three matches.
- Both teams scored in three of Lille’s last four matches.
- Bologna lost their last three Champions League matches.
- In eight of Lille’s last 10 Champions League away matches both teams scored.
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Our Bologna vs Lille Prediction
Bologna may have failed to score so far in the Champions League but that isn’t down to bluntness in attack. Indeed, they’ve made more goal attempts (on target or otherwise) than many teams in the competition. It seems like it is just a matter of time before they get it right.
With Lille not particularly the best defensively, we feel in the third home game Bologna could finally get that elusive goal. However, Lille remain a class above their hosts and we are backing the French side to carry the day. Our main prediction for Bologna v Lille is for Lille to win and both teams to score.
Bologna vs Lille - Other Interesting Predictions
Jonathan David to score
Whenever Lille are on target, it is highly likely that Jonathan David gets his name on the score sheet. It has been the case in Lille’s last three Champions League matches, after recovering from the 2-0 defeat to Sporting Lisbon.
In the Champions League, starting from qualification rounds, the Canadian has six goals. He has already scored against an Italian team and we are backing him here too.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bologna Lille
| Bologna vs Lille | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna wins | 2.3 | 2.35 | +2.2% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.2 | -3.0% |
| Lille wins | 3.25 | 3.3 | +1.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 30.3% and is now 31.3% (0.9%)
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Bologna vs Lille match : Frequently asked questions
The Bologna v Lille match will be played on Wednesday 27 November.
The Bologna v Lille match will be played at the Stadio Renato Dall’Ara in Bologna.
The Bologna v Lille match will be aired on Sky and Amazon Prime for viewers in Italy while those in France can get the game on Canal+. On Sportytrader, the updates will be available via the UEFA Champions League live scores page.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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