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Bologna vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Devesh Jaganath in Champions League Predictions
The penultimate matchday in the League Phase of the Champions League will see Bologna play host to Borussia Dortmund in a do-or-die clash at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. I Rossoblu have two points and must win this match to keep their qualification hopes alive, while a victory for BVB will guarantee them a spot in the knockout phase of the competition. To the match prediction!
These two have never previously met in European competition - the last time Bologna faced German opposition was in the 1970-71 Cup Winners’ Cup against Vorwarts Berlin. Dortmund, on the other hand, are unbeaten in their last three games against Italian teams in the Champions League (W1 D2 L0). Their last such match was versus AC Milan in November 2023.
With 10 points separating these sides in the table, it’s unsurprising to see the visitors installed as the clear favourites in this match. Let’s take a look at a few important stats to consider in this one.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bologna v Borussia Dortmund Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.4 | 3.5 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.5 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.6 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.43 | 3.75 | 2.16 |
|
|
3.43 | 3.75 | 2.16 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.5 | 2 |
|
|
3.32 | 3.64 | 2.09 |
|
|
3.32 | 3.64 | 2.09 |
|
|
3.45 | 3.6 | 2.12 |
|
|
3.32 | 3.64 | 2.09 |
|
|
3.45 | 3.6 | 2.12 |
|
|
3.47 | 3.68 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.5 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.55 | 3.7 | 2 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.6 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.45 | 3.75 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.6 | 2.05 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bologna and Borussia Dortmund?
Our prediction for the Bologna vs Borussia Dortmund match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/01/2025 between Bologna and Borussia Dortmund in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.31% for a win of Bologna against Borussia Dortmund with odds of 3.6 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bologna vs Borussia Dortmund is 20.24% with odds of 3.75 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.45% chance ⭐ for a win of Borussia Dortmund vs Bologna with odds of 2.16 at 1xbet.
Bologna vs Borussia Dortmund Form
Bologna and Borussia Dortmund's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
12 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
|
33
|
2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -6 |
Bologna and Borussia Dortmund Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2025 - Serie A
15 Jan 2025 - Serie A
12 Jan 2025 - Serie A
30 Dec 2024 - Serie A
21 Dec 2024 - Serie A
15 Dec 2024 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2025 - Serie A
12 Jan 2025 - Serie A
30 Dec 2024 - Serie A
15 Dec 2024 - Serie A
3 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
30 Nov 2024 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jan 2025 - Serie A
21 Dec 2024 - Serie A
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
7 Dec 2024 - Serie A
24 Nov 2024 - Serie A
10 Nov 2024 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
15 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
30 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
23 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
7 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
9 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
Bologna vs Borussia Dortmund Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
30 Jul 2021 - Clubs Friendlies
Bologna - Borussia Dortmund: Form Analysis
Bologna have largely struggled to reach the dizzying heights they enjoyed last season. They are seventh in the Serie A after 20 games and on the verge of elimination in this competition.
I Rossoblu come into this match off the back of a 3-1 victory over Monza at the weekend, but that result followed three matches without victory either side of the New Year.
While the hosts have scored two or more goals in four of their last five home games, they have lost two of three in this competition (D1), and also failed to find the back of the net in two of those matches.
Bologna have only scored one goal in this season’s Champions League after six games!
Meanwhile, Borussia Dortmund have also been poor in their domestic league campaign and fell to 10th in the standings after losing to Eintracht Frankfurt over the weekend - their third loss in succession.
However, BVB have been much better in this competition, winning four of their six games. The two defeats they conceded were against La Liga powerhouses Real Madrid and Barcelona.
The visitors have also been very good in attack in the Champions League, with their 18-goal tally being the second-best in the competition. They have scored two or more in each of their three away games in Europe this season.
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Bologna vs Borussia Dortmund last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Missing players
N. Cambiaghi
M. Aebischer
N. Sule
Bologna & Borussia Dortmund Squad Analysis
Michel Aebischer and Oussama El Azzouzi have both been sidelined since the middle of October due to injury, but reports suggest the pair are close to returning though they are unlikely to feature in midweek.
Bologna forward Nicolo Cambiaghi underwent cruciate ligament surgery in the opening weeks of the season and is only slated to return to training with the squad by the start of March.
Serhou Guirassy is the joint second-highest scorer in the Champions League with six goals!
The visitors will have to make do without the services of left-back Ramy Bensebaini, who was shown his third yellow card of the League Phase and will have to serve a one-match suspension.
Niklas Sule is the only known injury absentee for BVB this week. The German international has now missed the last 13 games with a syndesmotic ligament tear and will only return to first-team action toward the back end of next month.
Most goals and assists
Bologna
Borussia Dortmund
R. Orsolini
(7 Goals)
S. Castro
(4 Assists)
P. Gross
(6 Assists)
Bologna and Borussia Dortmund Stats in Champions League
Bologna - Borussia Dortmund Key Points
- Seven of Bologna’s last 10 games across all competitions have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Bologna have scored two or more goals in each of their last five matches.
- Bologna have scored two or more goals in five of their last six home matches.
- Five of Borussia Dortmund’s six Champions League games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Borussia Dortmund have conceded two or more goals in each of their last three matches across all competitions.
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Our Bologna vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
Matches involving Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League this season have been goal-fests, with three of the last five ending with five or more goals, while only one has finished with fewer than three.
While Bologna were very poor in this competition last year, they have experienced a notable improvement in attack either side of the New Year, scoring two or more in each of their last five matches. Thus, we expect plenty of chances in this one. Our Bologna vs Borussia Dortmund prediction is over 2.5.
Bologna vs Borussia Dortmund - Other Interesting Predictions
Borussia Dortmund win the match
Borussia Dortmund have won four of their six Champions League games and scored two or more in all but one. Bologna have lost four of their six matches in this competition and failed to score in four matches.
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Bologna vs Borussia Dortmund match : Frequently asked questions
The Champions League match between Bologna and Borussia Dortmund will be played on January 21 at 20:00 GMT.
The Champions League match between Bologna and Borussia Dortmund will take place at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara in Bologna.
The Champions League match between Bologna and Borussia Dortmund will be broadcast on TNT Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the Champions League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Serdar Gozubuyuk will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Erwin Zeinstra, Patrick Inia and Jeroen Manschot as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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