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Bolivia vs Ecuador Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
by Joseph King in World Cup Predictions
The CONMEBOL 2026 World Cup qualifying sees 10th-place Bolivia hosting ninth-place Ecuador for the third of 18 matchdays. Bolivia haven't qualified for the World Cup since 1994 and have experienced a rough start to the new qualifying campaign. La Verde are searching for their first points of the campaign following losses to Brazil and Argentina in their first two matches. They find themselves in an early hole after losing 5-1 to Brazil in the opener and 3-0 at home to Argentina in their most recent appearance. They wouldn't have been expected to get anything from the first two matches against two of the top three ranked teams in the FIFA men’s rankings. Additionally, Bolivia are only one point behind seventh-place Peru. The expanded format of the World Cup means six teams automatically qualify from CONMEBOL and seventh-place advances to a playoff. Bolivia have now lost their last three in a row and have managed only one win in their last 13 fixtures.
Ecuador are also seeking their first points of the qualifying campaign despite already having a win on the board. La Tri have to cope with a three point deduction in 2026 World Cup qualifying after falsifying documents for a player in the previous World Cup qualifying campaign. They kicked things off with a 1-0 loss away to Argentina before getting back to even with a 2-1 home win over Uruguay in their most recent outing. Ecuador have a talented team at their disposal with the likes of Moises Caicedo, Enner Valencia and Pervis Estupiñan. They’ll have high hopes for this qualifying campaign despite the points deduction to kick things off. Ecuador will be expecting to get the three points here even though La Paz is a historically very difficult place to play. The visitors come into this matchup having won four of their last five overall after the team ripped off three straight friendly wins in the first half of 2023.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bolivia v Ecuador Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.25 | 3.5 | 1.7 |
|
|
5.1 | 3.45 | 1.65 |
|
|
5.31 | 3.54 | 1.72 |
|
|
5.31 | 3.54 | 1.72 |
|
|
3.87 | 3.48 | 1.95 |
|
|
3.87 | 3.48 | 1.95 |
|
|
5.2 | 3.2 | 1.71 |
|
|
3.95 | 3.52 | 1.92 |
|
|
5.34 | 3.75 | 1.65 |
|
|
5.6 | 3.63 | 1.72 |
|
|
5.25 | 3.4 | 1.7 |
|
|
5.3 | 3.6 | 1.7 |
|
|
5.5 | 3.6 | 1.72 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bolivia and Ecuador?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/10/2023 between Bolivia and Ecuador in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.11% for a win of Bolivia against Ecuador with odds of 5.6 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bolivia vs Ecuador is 15.52% with odds of 3.75 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 57.37% chance ⭐ for a win of Ecuador vs Bolivia with odds of 1.95 at Betwinner.
Bolivia - Ecuador Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bolivia Ecuador Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ecuador wins | 57.37% | 1.95 at Betwinner |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.39% | 2.4 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 42.71% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Ecuador | 20.42% | 4.8 at Unibet |
Bolivia vs Ecuador Form
Bolivia and Ecuador's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
19 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
|
7
|
13 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -14 |
Bolivia and Ecuador Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sep 2023 - World Cup
8 Sep 2023 - World Cup
20 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
17 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2023 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sep 2023 - World Cup
20 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
29 Mar 2022 - World Cup
1 Feb 2022 - World Cup
16 Nov 2021 - World Cup
14 Oct 2021 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sep 2023 - World Cup
17 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2023 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2022 - World Cup
28 Jan 2022 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sep 2023 - World Cup
7 Sep 2023 - World Cup
20 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
17 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2023 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2023 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sep 2023 - World Cup
17 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
29 Nov 2022 - World Cup
23 Sep 2022 - International Friendlies
2 Jun 2022 - International Friendlies
29 Mar 2022 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sep 2023 - World Cup
20 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2023 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2023 - International Friendlies
25 Nov 2022 - World Cup
20 Nov 2022 - World Cup
Bolivia vs Ecuador Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
7 Oct 2021 - World Cup
12 Nov 2020 - World Cup
10 Sep 2019 - International Friendlies
Players list
G. Viscarra
DefenderJ. Sagredo
L. Haquin
B. Miranda
C. Roca
MidfielderR. Ramallo
B. Cespedes
H. Cuellar
R. Vaca
H. Vaca
ForwardM. Moreno
M. Ramirez
DefenderF. Torres
P. Hincapie
B. Caicedo
W. Pacho
MidfielderK. Rodriguez
J. Ortiz
C. Gruezo
M. Caicedo
ForwardA. Preciado
E. Valencia
Substitutes
C. Lampe
B. Uraezana
DefenderJ. Sagredo
J. Quinteros
MidfielderR. Vaca
B. Cespedes
H. Vaca
J. Chura
G. Villamil
ForwardB. Miranda
L. Chavez
R. Ramallo
A. Dominguez
H. Galindez
DefenderL. Realpe
L. Segovia
B. Caicedo
A. Preciado
J. Sornoza
C. Gruezo
A. Franco
A. Mena
ForwardJ. Julio
K. Rodriguez
Most goals and assists
Bolivia
Ecuador
M. Terceros
(4 Goals)
E. Valencia
(3 Goals)
Bolivia - Ecuador Key Points
- There have been over 2.5 goals in five of Ecuador’s last seven games.
- Bolivia have seen over 2.5 goals in their last three consecutive matches.
- In the previous World Cup qualifying campaign, Bolivia home matches averaged 3.44 goals per game.
- Ecuador have scored in eight of their last nine fixtures dating back to the 2022 World Cup.
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Our Bolivia vs Ecuador Prediction
Bolivia are usually much more competitive when playing in La Paz and should be up for this one. However, they aren’t playing great at the moment having lost 11 of their last 13 fixtures across all competitions. We still expect them to get on the scoresheet with their home field advantage but they will likely struggle to keep Ecuador off the board. The visitors have been consistently finding the net for a while now. That shouldn’t change much against a Bolivia side that has conceded 10 goals in their last three appearances. Our Bolivia vs Ecuador prediction is for over 2.5 goals.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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