Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina
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Boca Juniors vs CA River Plate (ARG) Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Profesional Argentina
by Joseph King in Football Predictions
Another edition of the Superclásico is set for Saturday as Boca Juniors host River Plate for matchday 15 of the Argentine Primera Division. Let’s get into the key match statistics and offer a prediction for this showdown between Xeneize and Los Millonarios.
It’s been a disappointing second phase of the 2024 campaign for both giants of Argentine football. Boca Juniors are down in 10th place with 21 points by way of five wins and six draws from 14 matches. Their rivals come into this derby with an identical record, but River’s superior goal differential has them sitting just above Boca in ninth place.
Both Buenos Aires clubs find themselves trailing leaders Velez by nine points with roughly half of the second phase fixtures remaining. With an important three points on the line, will either side be able to claim them or will these two eternal rivals end up in a stalemate?
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The Best Betting Odds for Boca Juniors v CA River Plate (ARG) Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.75 | 2.75 | 3 |
|
|
2.37 | 2.8 | 2.87 |
|
|
2.54 | 2.84 | 3.29 |
|
|
2.54 | 2.84 | 3.29 |
|
|
2.45 | 2.85 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.5 | 2.93 | 3.22 |
|
|
2.5 | 2.93 | 3.22 |
|
|
2.44 | 2.9 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.54 | 2.83 | 3.26 |
|
|
2.44 | 2.9 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.6 | 2.75 | 3 |
|
|
2.5 | 2.9 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.4 | 2.88 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.55 | 2.92 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.45 | 3 | 3 |
|
|
2.7 | 2.81 | 3.08 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Boca Juniors and CA River Plate (ARG)?
Our prediction for the Boca Juniors vs CA River Plate (ARG) match is: Boca Juniors to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/09/2024 between Boca Juniors and CA River Plate (ARG) in Liga Profesional Argentina :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.42% for a win of Boca Juniors against CA River Plate (ARG) with odds of 2.75 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Boca Juniors vs CA River Plate (ARG) is 42.01% with odds of 3 at William Hill.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.56% chance ⭐ for a win of CA River Plate (ARG) vs Boca Juniors with odds of 3.3 at Stake.
Boca Juniors - CA River Plate (ARG) Prediction and Best Odds:
| Boca Juniors CA River Plate (ARG) Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 42.01% | 3 at William Hill |
| Under 2.5 | 62.38% | 2.01 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 59.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 24.21% | 4.2 at Betsson |
Boca Juniors vs CA River Plate (ARG) Form
Boca Juniors and CA River Plate (ARG)'s standings in the Liga Profesional Argentina
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
43 | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 17 |
|
6
|
42 | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
Boca Juniors and CA River Plate (ARG) Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
7 Sep 2024 - Copa Argentina
31 Aug 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
26 Aug 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
22 Aug 2024 - Copa Sudamericana
18 Aug 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sep 2024 - Copa Argentina
31 Aug 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
18 Aug 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
15 Aug 2024 - Copa Sudamericana
4 Aug 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
31 Jul 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
26 Aug 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
22 Aug 2024 - Copa Sudamericana
10 Aug 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
28 Jul 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
21 Jul 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sep 2024 - Copa Libertadores
13 Sep 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
1 Sep 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
25 Aug 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
21 Aug 2024 - Copa Libertadores
17 Aug 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sep 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
25 Aug 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
21 Aug 2024 - Copa Libertadores
10 Aug 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
28 Jul 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
21 Jul 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sep 2024 - Copa Libertadores
1 Sep 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
17 Aug 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
14 Aug 2024 - Copa Libertadores
4 Aug 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
24 Jul 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
Boca Juniors vs CA River Plate (ARG) Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Apr 2024 - Copa De La Superliga
25 Feb 2024 - Copa De La Superliga
1 Oct 2023 - Copa De La Superliga
7 May 2023 - Liga Profesional Argentina
11 Sep 2022 - Liga Profesional Argentina
20 Mar 2022 - Copa De La Superliga
Boca Juniors - CA River Plate (ARG): Form Analysis
Boca Juniors come into this fixture off the back of a 2-1 away defeat to Racing Club last weekend. The loss snapped a previous nine-match unbeaten run for Boca Juniors in the Argentine top flight. However, five of those nine matches resulted in draws as the hosts have struggled with converting the full three points.
Where they have not struggled has been on their home pitch. Boca Juniors come into this Superclásico riding a 21-match home unbeaten run as they have turned La Bombonera into a fortress.
In those 21 games, Boca have walked away the victor on 16 occasions.
River Plate face a big challenge if they are to put an end to their rivals streak. They come into this match off the back of a 1-1 away draw with Colo-Colo in the Copa Libertadores quarter-final first leg.
The visitors welcomed Marcelo Gallardo back to the club in the beginning of August after a year and a half hiatus.
Gallardo has overseen eight matches in charge so far and River Plate are yet to lose under the 48-year-old. However, they have only managed three wins during that stretch with the other five ending in draws.
Away form has been worrying for River Plate who are yet to record a victory in their six Primera Division road matches.
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Boca Juniors against CA River Plate (ARG) Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Boca Juniors & CA River Plate (ARG) Squad Analysis
Boca Juniors manager Diego Martinez sees four of his players on the injury report ahead of this fixture. The most notable absence for the Blue and Gold is Edinson Cavani who is still recovering from a muscle injury which has kept him out for five matches.
Additionally, the hosts could be without experienced defender Gary Medel and they are still a few weeks away from getting back winger Brian Aguirre. Defender Lucas Blondel is still a few months away from a return after suffering a cruciate ligament tear.
River Plate walked away from their tough midweek clash against Colo-Colo with three injuries.
The result was Matias Kranevitter, Maximiliano Meza and Fabricio Bustos all suffering varying degrees of knocks. The decision for Gallardo now is whether or not he will risk the players with the return leg against Colo-Colo on the horizon.
In addition to those three concerns, Pity Martinez is still a long term injury and is about a month away from a return after an ACL injury. Finally, Rodrigo Aliendro is still suffering from a shoulder injury which has seen him miss four matches.
Most goals and assists
Boca Juniors
CA River Plate (ARG)
M. Gimenez
(11 Goals)
M. Borja
(17 Goals)
L. Blanco
(4 Assists)
C. Echeverri
(4 Assists)
,
N. Fernandez
(4 Assists)
,
F. Mastantuono
(4 Assists)
,
G. Martinez
(4 Assists)
Boca Juniors - CA River Plate (ARG) Key Points
- Boca Juniors haven’t lost at home since November of 2023.
- During that time, the hosts are unbeaten in 21 matches, winning 16.
- River Plate have a Copa Libertadores return leg three days after this match which could divert their focus.
- Boca Juniors won the most recent meeting between these two sides by a score of 3-2.
- River have managed only a single win from their last 10 away matches across all competitions.
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Our Boca Juniors vs CA River Plate (ARG) Prediction
Boca will be the better rested of the two sides after River Plate’s midweek away trip to Chile for the Copa Libertadores quarter-finals. They come into this derby boasting an extremely impressive run at home which could ultimately see them emerge victorious here.
The visitors' progress in the Copa Libertadores could wind up playing a significant role in this match. It’s fair to say that River Plate’s full focus will be shifted to that competition as they have a great chance at lifting the cup. As a result, their league performance could suffer. Our Boca Juniors vs River Plate prediction: Boca Juniors to win.
Boca Juniors vs CA River Plate (ARG) - Other Interesting Predictions
Under 2.5 goals
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Boca Juniors CA River Plate (ARG)
| Boca Juniors vs CA River Plate (ARG) | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors wins | 2.25 | 2.75 | +22.2% |
| Draw | 2.9 | 2.75 | -5.2% |
| CA River Plate (ARG) wins | 3.7 | 3 | -18.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 34.5% and is now 36.4% (1.9%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
Boca Juniors vs CA River Plate (ARG) match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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