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England - Championship

Birmingham
16 Mar 2024 11:00
Watford

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Birmingham vs Watford Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

 by Ian John in Championship Predictions

Both Birmingham City and Watford come into Saturday afternoon's game at St. Andrews (3pm Kick Off) in dire need of a win. The Blues have managed just two wins in their last ten games, both of them coming at home but their poor form of late, combined with improved form from the teams below them in the table, has seen them drop down to 21st in the table, just one point outside the relegation place. Only Sunderland and Rotherham have worse form than Birmingham over their last five league games and with manager Tony Mowbray still undergoing treatment and recuperating from an undisclosed ailment, the Blues badly need a result to ease the pressure on themselves at the foot of the table. 1-0 Defeats away to Millwall last weekend and then at home to Middlesbrough in the week have exacerbated their problems.

Watford parted ways with coach Valerien Ismael recently, with ex-Manchester United midfielder Tom Cleverley taking over as the interim assistant manager. Chairman Gino Pozzo is not known for his patience with managers and a run of just one win in their last ten sealed the Frenchman's fate. The Hornets playoff hopes have now all-but died on the back of this recent poor run as they lie 14th in the table on 45 points, 13 off Norwich City in 6th place in the table. Conceding goals has been Watfor'ds problem with 51 conceded so far this season. A managerial change can sometimes give a team a quick boost in form and the Hornets badly need this against another struggling Championship team on Saturday.

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The Best Betting Odds for Birmingham v Watford Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.45 3.25 3
Betfred
2.75 3.3 2.63
Ladbrokes
2.37 3.4 2.8
NetBet
2.27 3.2 2.7
1xbet
2.4 3.5 2.87
22bet
2.4 3.5 2.87
Betwinner
2.39 3.48 2.87
LSbet
2.39 3.48 2.87
Stake
2.41 3.35 2.9
Melbet
2.43 3.48 2.82
Tonybet
2.41 3.35 2.9
Vbet
2.44 3.41 3
Betway
2.3 3.2 3
Unibet
2.43 3.35 2.9
Betfair
2.45 3.4 2.88
Betsson
2.42 3.54 2.81
William Hill
2.7 3.25 2.55
Check all Birmingham vs Watford odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Birmingham and Watford?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/03/2024 between Birmingham and Watford in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.76% for a win of Birmingham against Watford with odds of 2.75 at Betfred.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Birmingham vs Watford is 24.1% with odds of 3.54 at Betsson.
  • Our prediction model gives a 35.14% chance ⭐ for a win of Watford vs Birmingham with odds of 3 at Bet365.

Birmingham - Watford Prediction and Best Odds:

Birmingham Watford Prediction Probability Odds
Birmingham wins 40.76% 2.75 at Betfred
Under 2.5 54.87% 2 at Betfair
Both Team To Score 47.92%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Birmingham 22.5% 6 at Bet365

Birmingham vs Watford Form

Birmingham and Watford's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
15
Watford
Watford
56 46 13 17 16 0
22
Birmingham
Birmingham
50 46 13 11 22 -15

Birmingham and Watford Last Matches

Birmingham
Birmingham Last matches
W L L D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 Mar 2024 - Championship

Birmingham
0 :  1
Middlesbrough

9 Mar 2024 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  0
Birmingham

5 Mar 2024 - Championship

Hull
1 :  1
Birmingham

2 Mar 2024 - Championship

Birmingham
3 :  4
Southampton

24 Feb 2024 - Championship

Ipswich Town
3 :  1
Birmingham

17 Feb 2024 - Championship

Birmingham
2 :  1
Sunderland
D W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

12 Mar 2024 - Championship

Birmingham
0 :  1
Middlesbrough

2 Mar 2024 - Championship

Birmingham
3 :  4
Southampton

17 Feb 2024 - Championship

Birmingham
2 :  1
Sunderland

13 Feb 2024 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  0
Blackburn

16 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Birmingham
2 :  1
Hull

13 Jan 2024 - Championship

Birmingham
2 :  2
Swansea
L L L L D L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Mar 2024 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  0
Birmingham

5 Mar 2024 - Championship

Hull
1 :  1
Birmingham

24 Feb 2024 - Championship

Ipswich Town
3 :  1
Birmingham

9 Feb 2024 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
2 :  0
Birmingham

3 Feb 2024 - Championship

West Brom
1 :  0
Birmingham

27 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Leicester
3 :  0
Birmingham
Watford
Watford Last matches
L W L L D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Mar 2024 - Championship

Watford
1 :  2
Coventry City

6 Mar 2024 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Swansea

2 Mar 2024 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  0
Watford

24 Feb 2024 - Championship

Watford
1 :  2
Huddersfield Town

17 Feb 2024 - Championship

Rotherham
0 :  1
Watford

13 Feb 2024 - Championship

Norwich
4 :  2
Watford
D L L L D L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Mar 2024 - Championship

Watford
1 :  2
Coventry City

6 Mar 2024 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Swansea

24 Feb 2024 - Championship

Watford
1 :  2
Huddersfield Town

10 Feb 2024 - Championship

Watford
1 :  2
Leicester

3 Feb 2024 - Championship

Watford
0 :  1
Cardiff

28 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Watford
1 :  1
Southampton
D D L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

2 Mar 2024 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  0
Watford

17 Feb 2024 - Championship

Rotherham
0 :  1
Watford

13 Feb 2024 - Championship

Norwich
4 :  2
Watford

6 Feb 2024 - FA Cup

Southampton
3 :  0
Watford

31 Jan 2024 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
0 :  0
Watford

20 Jan 2024 - Championship

Bristol City
1 :  1
Watford
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Birmingham against Watford Lineups: Starting 11

Birmingham

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

21
J. Ruddy
2
E. Laird
44
E. Aiwu
12
C. Drameh
3
L. Buchanan
34
I. Sunjic
13
P. Seung-Ho
11
K. Miyoshi
19
J. James
7
J. Bacuna
28
J. Stansfield
25
E. Dennis
11
I. Kone
18
Y. Asprilla
24
T. Dele-Bashiru
39
E. Kayembe
16
G. Chakvetadze
42
J. Morris
15
M. Pollock
5
R. Porteous
45
R. Andrews
1
D. Bachmann

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Watford

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Birmingham
CD Huachipato Watford
Top Goalscorer
England J. Stansfield (12 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Denmark M. Rajovic (10 Goals)
Best assists
Japan K. Miyoshi (6 Assists)
England A. Pritchard (6 Assists)
Best assists
Colombia Y. Asprilla (5 Assists)

Birmingham - Watford Key Points

  1. Birmingham City have not won any of their last five games, losing four, drawing just one. They've lost both their last two home games but still have the 13th best home record in the Championship.
  2. Watford have won just one of their last ten games, but that did come away from home where their form is better (one win, two draws and two defeats in their last 5). The Hornets still have the 9th best away record in the Championship.
  3. Six of Birmingham City's last nine games have seen under 2.5 goals scored, including all their last three matches.
  4. Just one of Watford's last five away games in the Championship has seen over 2.5 goals scored (a 4-2 defeat away to Norwich).
  5. Birmingham gave won just one and drawn one of the last 11 matches against Watford, losing the other nine. The Hornets were the winners when the two teams met earlier in the season, running out 2-0 winners at Vicarage Road.
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Our Birmingham vs Watford Prediction

Given the recent form of both Birmingham City and Watford, I am not confident of picking a winner from either of the two teams. Birmingham's home form is generally ok, but Watford's away form is also solid but both have been struggling of late. Defensively, both teams are not conceding too many goals but they are not scoring too many either. As such, our Birmingham City vs Watford prediction is a simple one - for Under 2.5 Goals to be scored in the game. 

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Birmingham vs Watford Prediction
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