England - League One
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Birmingham vs Stevenage Prediction & Betting Tips - League One
by Joseph King in League One Predictions
Runaway league leaders Birmingham play host to 12th-placed Stevenage for this rescheduled matchday 16 fixture in England’s League One. Will the Blues keep their title charge rolling along or will the Boro prove to be a speed bump? Check out our prediction and analysis of the match!
Birmingham bounced back from only their third defeat of the league season in matchday 35 with a 1-0 home win over Lincoln on Saturday. It was their third win from the last four outings and extended their lead over second-place Wycombe Wanderers to 11 points.
Birmingham have lost only twice all season at St. Andrew’s across all competitions, both of which were against Premier League opposition.
In League One, they’ve been utterly dominant on their home patch and are still unbeaten with a 15-3-0 record.
As for the visitors, they find themselves with an uphill task if they are to deal Birmingham their first home league defeat. Stevenage find themselves a hefty 12 points behind the promotion playoff positions with only 11 games left on their fixture list.
Their last appearance at the weekend saw Stevenage concede in the final 10 minutes and have to settle for a 1-1 home draw with Mansfield. They’re on a pretty good recent run with two wins, a draw and a defeat in their last four.
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The Best Betting Odds for Birmingham v Stevenage Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.48 | 3.8 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.5 | 4 | 7 |
|
|
1.53 | 4 | 6 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.1 | 7.02 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.1 | 7.02 |
|
|
1.48 | 3.9 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.1 | 7.02 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.1 | 7.02 |
|
|
1.51 | 4.1 | 6.6 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.1 | 7.02 |
|
|
1.5 | 3.95 | 6.4 |
|
|
1.48 | 3.98 | 7 |
|
|
1.48 | 4 | 6 |
|
|
1.53 | 3.9 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.47 | 3.9 | 7.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Birmingham and Stevenage?
Our prediction for the Birmingham vs Stevenage match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/03/2025 between Birmingham and Stevenage in League One :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 66.71% for a win of Birmingham against Stevenage with odds of 1.53 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Birmingham vs Stevenage is 8.56% with odds of 4.1 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.73% chance ⭐ for a win of Stevenage vs Birmingham with odds of 7.5 at William Hill.
Birmingham vs Stevenage Form
Birmingham and Stevenage's standings in the League One
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
79 | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 34 |
|
12
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | -2 |
Birmingham and Stevenage Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - League One
4 Mar 2025 - League One
1 Mar 2025 - League One
25 Feb 2025 - League One
22 Feb 2025 - League One
18 Feb 2025 - EFL Trophy
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - League One
1 Mar 2025 - League One
25 Feb 2025 - League One
18 Feb 2025 - EFL Trophy
15 Feb 2025 - League One
11 Feb 2025 - League One
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2025 - League One
22 Feb 2025 - League One
4 Feb 2025 - EFL Trophy
28 Jan 2025 - League One
23 Jan 2025 - League One
14 Jan 2025 - EFL Trophy
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - League One
4 Mar 2025 - League One
1 Mar 2025 - League One
22 Feb 2025 - League One
18 Feb 2025 - League One
15 Feb 2025 - League One
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - League One
1 Mar 2025 - League One
18 Feb 2025 - League One
15 Feb 2025 - League One
4 Feb 2025 - EFL Trophy
1 Feb 2025 - League One
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2025 - League One
22 Feb 2025 - League One
11 Feb 2025 - League One
8 Feb 2025 - League One
28 Jan 2025 - League One
25 Jan 2025 - League One
Birmingham vs Stevenage Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
4 Feb 2025 - EFL Trophy
Most goals and assists
Birmingham
Stevenage
J. Stansfield
(16 Goals)
D. Kemp
(9 Goals)
Birmingham - Stevenage Key Points
- Birmingham have seen under 2.5 goals scored in 13 of their 18 home outings in League One.
- There have been under 2.5 goals in four of Birmingham’s last five matches.
- Stevenage have seen under 2.5 goals in five of their last six games.
- The hosts have conceded only seven goals in their 18 home outings in the league.
- Stevenage have seen under 2.5 goals in 12 of their 16 League One away matches.
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Our Birmingham vs Stevenage Prediction
Birmingham have been locking teams down all season at St. Andrew’s, while Stevenage trend heavily towards the under when they play on the road. We’re expecting this one to be relatively low-scoring with the hosts likely able to keep their opponents off the score sheet.
Stevenage have failed to put the ball in the net in half of their away league matches. Despite this, the Boro have a solid defensive record as the visiting side and should be able to limit the damage to just a goal or two. Our Birmingham vs Stevenage prediction: under 2.5.Use £/€50 free bets for the Birmingham vs. Stevenage game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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