England - League One
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by Ian John in League One Predictions
Can Birmingham City maintain their push for the League One title this weekend when they take on Exeter City at St. Andrews? Chris Davies’ Blues are unbeaten at home this season, but Gary Caldwell’s Grecians came into this game after a fine 3-1 win over Oxford United in the FA Cup last weekend. What will our prediction be for this exciting match between two attack-minded teams?
Birmingham City seem to hold all the advantages in this game. They are currently top of the League One table with 53 points from 23 games. Their opponents, Exeter, lie 15th in the table, with 31 points from 24 games.
Unbeaten in their eleven home games at St. Andrews, Birmingham City come into this game on the back of an excellent run of form. They have won nine of their last eleven. That includes wins in their previous three games: away to Wigan in the League (3-0), at home to Lincoln in the FA Cup (2-1), and a 2-1 away win at Swindon in the Football League Trophy.
Exeter comes into this game after seeing their midweek game against Mansfield postponed. They had lost their previous two League One matches by a 2-1 scoreline, away to Wycombe and then at home to Bolton. However, they beat Oxford 3-1 in the FA Cup Third Round last weekend.
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The Best Betting Odds for Birmingham v Exeter City Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.42 | 4.2 | 7 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.5 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.36 | 5 | 8 |
|
|
1.37 | 5 | 8.1 |
|
|
1.37 | 5 | 8.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Birmingham and Exeter City?
Our prediction for the Birmingham vs Exeter City match is: Half-Time - Birmingham, Full-Time - Birmingham.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/01/2025 between Birmingham and Exeter City in League One :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 68.75% for a win of Birmingham against Exeter City with odds of 1.44 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Birmingham vs Exeter City is 17.26% with odds of 5.4 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 13.98% chance ⭐ for a win of Exeter City vs Birmingham with odds of 9.5 at Betfair.
Birmingham - Exeter City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Birmingham Exeter City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham wins | 68.75% | 1.44 at Betfred |
| Under 2.5 | 50.83% | 2.15 at William Hill |
| Both Team To Score | 47.92% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Birmingham/Birmingham | 34.62% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
Birmingham vs Exeter City Form
Birmingham and Exeter City's standings in the League One
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
89 | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 39 |
|
16
|
48 | 39 | 13 | 9 | 17 | -12 |
Birmingham and Exeter City Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2025 - EFL Trophy
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2025 - League One
1 Jan 2025 - League One
29 Dec 2024 - League One
26 Dec 2024 - League One
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
29 Dec 2024 - League One
26 Dec 2024 - League One
14 Dec 2024 - League One
4 Dec 2024 - League One
9 Nov 2024 - League One
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2025 - EFL Trophy
4 Jan 2025 - League One
1 Jan 2025 - League One
23 Dec 2024 - League One
10 Dec 2024 - EFL Trophy
7 Dec 2024 - League One
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2025 - League One
1 Jan 2025 - League One
29 Dec 2024 - League One
26 Dec 2024 - League One
21 Dec 2024 - League One
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2025 - League One
29 Dec 2024 - League One
26 Dec 2024 - League One
14 Dec 2024 - League One
10 Dec 2024 - EFL Trophy
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2025 - League One
21 Dec 2024 - League One
7 Dec 2024 - League One
23 Nov 2024 - League One
29 Oct 2024 - EFL Trophy
26 Oct 2024 - League One
Birmingham vs Exeter City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Dec 2024 - EFL Trophy
26 Nov 2024 - League One
Players list
R. Allsop
DefenderB. Davies
E. Laird
A. Cochrane
C. Klarer
MidfielderT. Gardner-Hickman
M. Leonard
L. Harris
L. Dykes
ForwardA. Yokoyama
K. Bielik
J. Whitworth
DefenderJ. Fitzwater
J. Aitchison
E. Francis
J. McMillan
I. Niskanen
MidfielderJ. Magennis
R. Woods
P. Jones
J. Colwill
C. Watts
Substitutes
B. Peacock-Farrell
DefenderA. Sampsted
G. Hanley
MidfielderA. Yokoyama
K. Bielik
L. Dykes
L. Jutkiewicz
S. MacDonald
DefenderC. Diabate
MidfielderJ. Colwill
P. Jones
I. Niskanen
J. Magennis
J. Aitchison
Most goals and assists
Birmingham
Exeter City
J. Stansfield
(17 Goals)
M. Alli
(10 Goals)
Birmingham - Exeter City Key Points
- Birmingham City have not lost at home this season (W8, D3).
- Exeter City have lost four of their last five away from home, failing to score in three of those games.
- Birmingham have led at half-time in six of their last nine games.
- Exeter's last four away defeats have come against teams in the top seven (Huddersfield, Wrexham, Stockport and Wycombe).
- Birmingham City were 2-0 winners when the teams met at St. James' Park earlier in the season.
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Our Birmingham vs Exeter City Prediction
Our prediction for the Birmingham City vs. Exeter City League One match is: Half-Time - Birmingham, Full-Time - Birmingham.
All the data in this fixture strongly suggests a comfortable win for the home side. However, given Birmingham's tendency to score goals in both halves and Exeter's lack of production in front of goal in many of their recent away games, backing the Blues to be leading at both half-time and full-time in this match is a better value bet than backing them for the win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Birmingham Exeter City
| Birmingham vs Exeter City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham wins | 1.33 | 1.42 | +6.8% |
| Draw | 5 | 4.2 | -16.0% |
| Exeter City wins | 9 | 7 | -22.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Birmingham is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 75.2% and is now 70.4% (-4.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Birmingham vs. Exeter City game!
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Try your luck on this year's League One! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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