England - League One
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by Ian John in League One Predictions
League One leaders Birmingham City put their superb and unbeaten home record on the line on Saturday as they host Barnsley. The Tykes come into this game on the back of an inconsistent run of form, in sharp contrast to the Blues' excellent form, which has seen them lose just once since November 2024. Check out our match prediction for this key game below.
Chris Davies’ Birmingham City have been the outstanding team in League One this season. They lead the division by eleven points (89 from 38 games), with two games in hand on second-placed Wrexham. Just three more wins from their final eight games will see them secure top spot and promotion. Barnsley sit eleventh in the table, their poor recent form dropping them out of playoff contention. The Tykes have amassed 54 points from their 40 games.
City warmed up for this game with a 4-1 home win over Shrewsbury Town last weekend and then travelled south to face Bristol Rovers in midweek, emerging with a 2-1 win. They have now won four of their last five games, drawing the other.
Barnsley’s recent poor form continued this past week with the Tykes drawing 1-1 away to Wigan last weekend, but then losing 2-1 at home to Exeter in midweek. That result all but extinguished any lingering hopes of the playoffs this season. They have not won any of their last six League One games.
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The Best Betting Odds for Birmingham v Barnsley Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.3 | 5.25 | 8 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.5 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.55 | 3 | 7 |
|
|
1.32 | 5.4 | 9.1 |
|
|
1.32 | 5.4 | 9.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Birmingham and Barnsley?
Our prediction for the Birmingham vs Barnsley match is: Birmingham City to win and Over 2.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/04/2025 between Birmingham and Barnsley in League One :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 73.92% for a win of Birmingham against Barnsley with odds of 1.55 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Birmingham vs Barnsley is 12.26% with odds of 5.5 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 13.82% chance ⭐ for a win of Barnsley vs Birmingham with odds of 10 at Vbet.
Birmingham - Barnsley Prediction and Best Odds:
| Birmingham Barnsley Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham wins | 73.92% | 1.55 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.56% | 1.92 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 66.67% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Birmingham/Birmingham | 36.13% | 1.95 at Betsson |
Birmingham vs Barnsley Form
Birmingham and Barnsley's standings in the League One
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
102 | 43 | 31 | 9 | 3 | 46 |
|
12
|
58 | 44 | 16 | 10 | 18 | -5 |
Birmingham and Barnsley Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Apr 2025 - League One
29 Mar 2025 - League One
15 Mar 2025 - League One
11 Mar 2025 - League One
8 Mar 2025 - League One
4 Mar 2025 - League One
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - League One
11 Mar 2025 - League One
8 Mar 2025 - League One
1 Mar 2025 - League One
25 Feb 2025 - League One
18 Feb 2025 - EFL Trophy
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Apr 2025 - League One
15 Mar 2025 - League One
4 Mar 2025 - League One
22 Feb 2025 - League One
4 Feb 2025 - EFL Trophy
28 Jan 2025 - League One
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Apr 2025 - League One
29 Mar 2025 - League One
22 Mar 2025 - League One
15 Mar 2025 - League One
8 Mar 2025 - League One
4 Mar 2025 - League One
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Apr 2025 - League One
22 Mar 2025 - League One
8 Mar 2025 - League One
1 Mar 2025 - League One
15 Feb 2025 - League One
1 Feb 2025 - League One
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - League One
15 Mar 2025 - League One
4 Mar 2025 - League One
25 Feb 2025 - League One
22 Feb 2025 - League One
8 Feb 2025 - League One
Birmingham vs Barnsley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
7 Dec 2024 - League One
Players list
R. Allsop
DefenderE. Laird
B. Davies
A. Cochrane
C. Klarer
MidfielderW. Willumsson
S. Paik
T. Iwata
K. Anderson
K. Dowell
ForwardJ. Stansfield
K. Flavell
DefenderC. O'Keeffe
M. Roberts
M. Durand de Gevigney
C. McCarthy
MidfielderJ. Russell
L. Connell
A. Phillips
ForwardM. Watters
S. Humphrys
D. Keillor-Dunn
Substitutes
B. Peacock-Farrell
DefenderA. Sampsted
G. Hanley
MidfielderM. Leonard
L. Harris
ForwardA. May
L. Jutkiewicz
A. Hayton
DefenderD. Lembikisa
C. Barratt
MidfielderF. Jalo
K. Nwakali
J. Lewis
J. Bland
Most goals and assists
Birmingham
Barnsley
J. Stansfield
(19 Goals)
D. Keillor-Dunn
(16 Goals)
A. Phillips
(1 Assists)
Birmingham - Barnsley Key Points
- Birmingham City are unbeaten at home this season, winning 17 of 20 games, drawing three.
- Barnsley have lost five of their last eight away from home (W2, D1).
- Birmingham have won their last nine home games, scoring 18 goals, conceding just three.
- Despite a poor away record, Barnsley have only failed to score in one of their last eleven away games.
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Our Birmingham vs Barnsley Prediction
Our prediction for the Birmingham City vs. Barnsley League One match is: Birmingham City to win and Over 2.5 Goals.
While backing Birmingham City to win at home is hardly a surprise, given their outstanding home record this season, teaming that bet with another market makes sense for this game with Barnsley. The Tykes away record isn't great, but they do tend to score goals on the road, netting 15 in their last eleven away games. As such, Birmingham may need to score at least two to win this game and that makes the Over 2.5 Goals option appealing.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Birmingham Barnsley
| Birmingham vs Barnsley | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham wins | 1.4 | 1.3 | -7.1% |
| Draw | 4.25 | 5.25 | +23.5% |
| Barnsley wins | 7 | 8 | +14.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Birmingham is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 71.4% and is now 76.9% (5.5%)
Get up to £30 to bet on the Birmingham vs. Barnsley game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Birmingham and Barnsley when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on League One!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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