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Birmingham vs Barnsley Prediction & Betting Tips - League One

England - League One

Birmingham
05/04/2025 10:00
Barnsley

Prediction :

 

Birmingham City to win and Over 2.5 Goals

 
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 by Ian John in League One Predictions

League One leaders Birmingham City put their superb and unbeaten home record on the line on Saturday as they host Barnsley. The Tykes come into this game on the back of an inconsistent run of form, in sharp contrast to the Blues' excellent form, which has seen them lose just once since November 2024. Check out our match prediction for this key game below.

Chris Davies’ Birmingham City have been the outstanding team in League One this season. They lead the division by eleven points (89 from 38 games), with two games in hand on second-placed Wrexham. Just three more wins from their final eight games will see them secure top spot and promotion. Barnsley sit eleventh in the table, their poor recent form dropping them out of playoff contention. The Tykes have amassed 54 points from their 40 games.

City warmed up for this game with a 4-1 home win over Shrewsbury Town last weekend and then travelled south to face Bristol Rovers in midweek, emerging with a 2-1 win. They have now won four of their last five games, drawing the other.

Barnsley’s recent poor form continued this past week with the Tykes drawing 1-1 away to Wigan last weekend, but then losing 2-1 at home to Exeter in midweek. That result all but extinguished any lingering hopes of the playoffs this season. They have not won any of their last six League One games.

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The Best Betting Odds for Birmingham v Barnsley Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.33 5 7.5
Betfred
1.33 5 9
Ladbrokes
1.6 3 6
1xbet
1.37 4.95 8.4
22bet
1.37 4.95 8.4
Check all Birmingham vs Barnsley odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Birmingham and Barnsley?

Our prediction for the Birmingham vs Barnsley match is: Birmingham City to win and Over 2.5 Goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/04/2025 between Birmingham and Barnsley in League One :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 73.67% for a win of Birmingham against Barnsley with odds of 1.6 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Birmingham vs Barnsley is 12.31% with odds of 5 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 14.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Barnsley vs Birmingham with odds of 9.3 at Vbet.

Birmingham vs Barnsley Form

Birmingham and Barnsley's standings in the League One

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Birmingham
Birmingham
89 38 27 8 3 39
11
Barnsley
Barnsley
54 40 15 9 16 -3

Birmingham and Barnsley Last Matches

Birmingham
Birmingham Last matches
L W W D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

1 Apr 2025 - League One

Bristol Rovers
1 :  2
Birmingham

29 Mar 2025 - League One

Birmingham
4 :  1
Shrewsbury Town

15 Mar 2025 - League One

Northampton Town
1 :  1
Birmingham

11 Mar 2025 - League One

Birmingham
2 :  1
Stevenage

8 Mar 2025 - League One

Birmingham
1 :  0
Lincoln City

4 Mar 2025 - League One

Bolton
3 :  1
Birmingham
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Mar 2025 - League One

Birmingham
4 :  1
Shrewsbury Town

11 Mar 2025 - League One

Birmingham
2 :  1
Stevenage

8 Mar 2025 - League One

Birmingham
1 :  0
Lincoln City

1 Mar 2025 - League One

Birmingham
1 :  0
Wycombe Wanderers

25 Feb 2025 - League One

Birmingham
2 :  0
Leyton Orient London

18 Feb 2025 - EFL Trophy

Birmingham
2 :  1
Bradford City FC
W W D L D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

1 Apr 2025 - League One

Bristol Rovers
1 :  2
Birmingham

15 Mar 2025 - League One

Northampton Town
1 :  1
Birmingham

4 Mar 2025 - League One

Bolton
3 :  1
Birmingham

22 Feb 2025 - League One

Reading
0 :  0
Birmingham

4 Feb 2025 - EFL Trophy

Stevenage
0 :  1
Birmingham

28 Jan 2025 - League One

Huddersfield Town
0 :  1
Birmingham
Barnsley
Barnsley Last matches
L L L D D L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Apr 2025 - League One

Barnsley
1 :  2
Exeter City

29 Mar 2025 - League One

Wigan
1 :  1
Barnsley

22 Mar 2025 - League One

Barnsley
1 :  1
Cambridge United

15 Mar 2025 - League One

Mansfield Town
2 :  1
Barnsley

8 Mar 2025 - League One

Barnsley
0 :  3
Blackpool

4 Mar 2025 - League One

Charlton Athletic
1 :  0
Barnsley
D L W L D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

1 Apr 2025 - League One

Barnsley
1 :  2
Exeter City

22 Mar 2025 - League One

Barnsley
1 :  1
Cambridge United

8 Mar 2025 - League One

Barnsley
0 :  3
Blackpool

1 Mar 2025 - League One

Barnsley
4 :  3
Lincoln City

15 Feb 2025 - League One

Barnsley
1 :  2
Huddersfield Town

1 Feb 2025 - League One

Barnsley
0 :  0
Burton Albion
L W W L L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Mar 2025 - League One

Wigan
1 :  1
Barnsley

15 Mar 2025 - League One

Mansfield Town
2 :  1
Barnsley

4 Mar 2025 - League One

Charlton Athletic
1 :  0
Barnsley

25 Feb 2025 - League One

Northampton Town
1 :  2
Barnsley

22 Feb 2025 - League One

Rotherham
0 :  1
Barnsley

8 Feb 2025 - League One

Stockport County FC
2 :  1
Barnsley

Birmingham vs Barnsley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

7 Dec 2024 - League One

Barnsley
1 :  2
Birmingham
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Birmingham
CD Huachipato Barnsley
Top Goalscorer
England J. Stansfield (17 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England D. Keillor-Dunn (14 Goals)
Best assists
Best assists
England A. Phillips (1 Assists)

Birmingham - Barnsley Key Points

  1. Birmingham City are unbeaten at home this season, winning 17 of 20 games, drawing three.
  2. Barnsley have lost five of their last eight away from home (W2, D1).
  3. Birmingham have won their last nine home games, scoring 18 goals, conceding just three.
  4. Despite a poor away record, Barnsley have only failed to score in one of their last eleven away games.
Up to $150 to bet on Birmingham - Barnsley! 

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Our Birmingham vs Barnsley Prediction

Our prediction for the Birmingham City vs. Barnsley League One match is: Birmingham City to win and Over 2.5 Goals.

While backing Birmingham City to win at home is hardly a surprise, given their outstanding home record this season, teaming that bet with another market makes sense for this game with Barnsley. The Tykes away record isn't great, but they do tend to score goals on the road, netting 15 in their last eleven away games. As such, Birmingham may need to score at least two to win this game and that makes the Over 2.5 Goals option appealing.

Prediction :

 

Birmingham City to win and Over 2.5 Goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Birmingham vs Barnsley Prediction
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