Besiktas Istanbul vs FC Lugano Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
by Ian John | in Europa League Predictions
No Europa League Playoff first-leg tie was as exciting as Lugano vs Besiktas. The two met at the Stockhorn Arena last week and shared six goals in a fabulous 3-3 draw. Will the Bianconeri manage to land a win in the away leg, or will Kara Kartallar, under Giovanni Van Bronckhorst, win the match? Let’s take a look at what our prediction makes of this encounter!
Besiktas won’t be overly-confident heading into this tie. Their last game at home to FC Lugano ended in defeat in the Conference League last season. However, a 3-3 draw in Switzerland is a good result and means that Van Bronckhorst’s team will start this second-leg as the favourites to progress into the draw for the league stage later this week.
However, Mattia Croci-Torti will be hoping his FC Lugano team can cause another upset with a second away win in a year against their Turkish opponents. However, they have already faced a Turkish team in Europe, losing both legs in a 6-4 aggregate defeat to Fenerbahce in the Champions League qualifiers.
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The Best Betting Odds for Besiktas Istanbul v FC Lugano Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.02 | 21 | 41 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.5 | 6 |
|
|
1.02 | 21 | 46 |
|
|
1.02 | 21 | 46 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.6 | 6.75 |
|
|
1.41 | 4.84 | 7.3 |
|
|
1.01 | 16.25 | 100 |
|
|
1.42 | 4.78 | 7.1 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.7 | 6.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Besiktas Istanbul and FC Lugano?
Our prediction for the Besiktas Istanbul vs FC Lugano match is: Besiktas to win and Over 2.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/08/2024 between Besiktas Istanbul and FC Lugano in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.69% for a win of Besiktas Istanbul against FC Lugano with odds of 1.48 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Besiktas Istanbul vs FC Lugano is 22.37% with odds of 21 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.94% chance ⭐ for a win of FC Lugano vs Besiktas Istanbul with odds of 100 at Stake.
Besiktas Istanbul - FC Lugano Prediction and Best Odds:
| Besiktas Istanbul FC Lugano Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas Istanbul wins | 51.69% | 1.48 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.01% | 1.85 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 66.67% | 1.95 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Besiktas Istanbul | 22.79% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
Besiktas Istanbul vs FC Lugano Form
Besiktas Istanbul and FC Lugano Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Aug 2024 - Europa League
18 Aug 2024 - Super Lig
11 Aug 2024 - Super Lig
3 Aug 2024 - Super Cup
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Aug 2024 - Europa League
18 Aug 2024 - Schweizer Cup
15 Aug 2024 - Europa League
11 Aug 2024 - Super League
8 Aug 2024 - Europa League
3 Aug 2024 - Super League
Besiktas Istanbul against FC Lugano : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Aug 2024 - Europa League
14 Dec 2023 - Conference League
5 Oct 2023 - Conference League
Besiktas Istanbul - FC Lugano: Form Analysis
Besiktas come into this game in excellent form. They have lost just one of their last ten games in the Europa League, they are unbeaten in four games this season, winning three and have scored 14 goals in their four competitive games thus far.
They have reached the quarterfinals of the Europa League on two occasions, in 2002/03, when they lost 3-1 on aggregate to Lazio and again in 2016/17, when after a 3-3 draw with Lyon on aggregate, they lost 7-6 on penalties in Istanbul.
Goals have not been an issue for the Turkish side. Ciro Immobile, Gedson Fernandes, Rafa Silva have all netted more than once this season.
FC Lugano made a great start to the Swiss domestic season, winning their first three games. However, they lost 3-2 at home to Luzern in their most recent league match. In Europe, though, things have been tougher. They lost both legs to Fenerbahce in the Champions League to drop into the Europa League.
There, they earned a 1-0 win away to Partizan Belgrade, before drawing 2-2 at home in the second leg. This was followed by the 3-3 draw with Besiktas at home in the first leg of this tie.
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Besiktas Istanbul against FC Lugano Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Besiktas Istanbul & FC Lugano Squad Analysis
Besiktas boss Gio Van Bronckhorst has no suspension worries for this second-leg tie at home to Lugano. That said, Daniel Amartey, Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain, Abdullah Aydin and Oguzhan Akgun are all ineligible for the game after not being named in their Europa League squad.
The manager is expected to stick with the same or a very similar line-up to that which started the first game in Switzerland last week. This means Ciro Immobile will lead the line in attack, assisted by Gedson Fernandes, Milot Rashica, and Rafa from deeper-lying roles.
Ex-West Ham left-back Arthur Masuaku will provide quality down the left, with Emirhan Topcu and Gabriel Paulista set to anchor the defence as the two centre-backs.
Lugano boss Mattia Croci-Torti may be of a similar mind to his opposing manager for the second leg, especially after his team won in this stadium against the same opponents in the Europa Conference League last season.
That means an attack-minded 4-3-3 system will be employed with Ignacio Aliseda and Renato Steffen likely to flank the central attacker Shkelquim Vladi.
Besiktas Istanbul - FC Lugano Key Points
- The first leg between the two last week finished as a 3-3 draw.
- Three of Lugano's five most recent games have seen both teams score.
- Both teams have scored in three of Besiktas last five games.
- The three previous games between the two teams has seen one win apiece and one draw.
- The three games between the teams have seen 13 goals scored.
- Besiktas have won four of their last five games, drawing the other.
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Our Besiktas Istanbul vs FC Lugano Prediction
Our prediction for the Besiktas vs. FC Lugano Europa League Playoff second leg is: Besiktas to win and Over 2.5 Goals.
After an enthralling first leg between these two teams, the second leg seems to favor the home side. Besiktas are unbeaten this season in the four games they have played, winning three and that includes all their home fixtures so far. FC Lugano showed that they can find the net against the Turkish side in the first leg, but it is a big ask to claim the win in Turkey.
Besiktas Istanbul vs FC Lugano - Other Interesting Predictions
Ciro Immobile (Besiktas) to score at any time.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Besiktas Istanbul FC Lugano
| Besiktas Istanbul vs FC Lugano | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Besiktas Istanbul wins | 1.4 | 1.02 | -27.1% |
| Draw | 4.5 | 21 | +366.7% |
| FC Lugano wins | 8 | 41 | +412.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Besiktas Istanbul is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 27.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 71.4% and is now 98.0% (26.6%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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