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Benin vs Nigeria Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Daniel Ngulu in AFCON Predictions
Two months after facing off in the 2025 African Cup of Nations (AFCON) qualifiers, Benin and Nigeria are set for their return leg match. This time Benin plays host, in Abidjan, looking to slow down Nigeria, while they enhance their own chances of securing qualification. In this preview we will take a look at the stats and numbers ahead of the game then offer our prediction.
Benin will go into this game placed second in Group C with six points. With a win here and hoping Rwanda fails to beat Libya in the other game, Benin will secure their place at Morocco 2025. Nigeria can also secure their spot at the AFCON finals this week.
The Super Eagles only need to win here as they march into this game topping the group on 10 points. The last time Benin hosted this West African derby, they beat Nigeria 2-1 in Abidjan. Nigeria will be looking to avoid another defeat at the same venue.
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The Best Betting Odds for Benin v Nigeria Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5 | 2.37 | 2 |
|
|
6.43 | 3.72 | 1.56 |
|
|
6.43 | 3.72 | 1.56 |
|
|
5.75 | 3.4 | 1.66 |
|
|
5.2 | 3.5 | 1.66 |
|
|
6.43 | 3.72 | 1.56 |
|
|
6.2 | 3.7 | 1.54 |
|
|
5.2 | 3.19 | 1.84 |
|
|
4.5 | 3.1 | 1.8 |
|
|
5.5 | 3.6 | 1.53 |
|
|
4.4 | 3.25 | 1.67 |
|
|
4.5 | 3.25 | 1.85 |
|
|
6 | 3.5 | 1.53 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Benin and Nigeria?
Our prediction for the Benin vs Nigeria match is: Both teams to score and Nigeria to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/11/2024 between Benin and Nigeria in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.65% for a win of Benin against Nigeria with odds of 6.43 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Benin vs Nigeria is 22.42% with odds of 3.72 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.93% chance ⭐ for a win of Nigeria vs Benin with odds of 2 at Ladbrokes.
Benin - Nigeria Prediction and Best Odds:
| Benin Nigeria Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Nigeria wins | 40.93% | 2 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 53.98% | 2.01 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 39.58% | 2.33 at Unibet |
| Half-time : Benin / Full-time : Nigeria | 14.86% | 36 at Vbet |
Benin vs Nigeria Form
Benin and Nigeria's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
|
2
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Benin and Nigeria Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
7 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
17 Jun 2023 - AFCON
22 Mar 2023 - AFCON
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
7 Sep 2024 - AFCON
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
18 Nov 2023 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
7 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
7 Sep 2024 - AFCON
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
11 Feb 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
22 Jan 2024 - AFCON
18 Jan 2024 - AFCON
8 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
Benin vs Nigeria Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
27 Mar 2021 - AFCON
Benin - Nigeria: Form Analysis
Benin are on the cusp of making a return to the AFCON finals after missing the last two editions. They come into this game on six points after the opening four matches. They would have sealed qualification in their last match had they not lost 2-1 to Rwanda.
Now they have another opportunity but against a much tougher opponent. Playing this home game away from home will not help either. Until their last meeting with Nigeria, this match elicited all the emotions of a derby. The three matches before that ended with tight, one-goal margins before Nigeria thrashed them 3-0.
With a win here, Nigeria will qualify for the AFCON finals for the 21st time.
Nigeria will be looking to seal a double against Benin here, which will also confirm their place in the AFCON finals. With three wins in the last four meetings between these teams, Nigeria will definitely come here as clear favorites.
They are seeking a 21st appearance at AFCON finals, where they’ll want to go all the way for their fourth continental title. In this encounter, they will be expecting calmer times, having had a troubled trip to Libya in the last international break.
After being stuck in a remote Libyan airport for half a day, Nigeria refused to play and were later awarded a 3-0 win. They now have 10 points from four matches.
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Missing players
C. Hountondji
T. Moffi
Benin & Nigeria Squad Analysis
Despite their lesser profile, Benin will be charged up, confident that they can claim three points here. At least that is what coach Gernot Rohr will impress on his charges as he leads them against his former employers.
The last time Benin beat Nigeria, they did it as hosts with goals from Jodel Dossou and Steve Mounie. Those two are in the team for this match and will once again be expected to lead the attack. In Benin’s last five matches, Mounie scored three goals.
Another player coming here in top form is Andreas Hountondji, who scored in Benin’s last two matches.
An Osimhen-Lookman forward line for Nigeria seems likely as they seek qualification.
Benin will not like the news from Nigeria camp that Victor Osimhen is fit and back after missing the last international break. Osimhen and Atalanta forward Ademola Lookman were on target in the 3-0 home win against Benin.
As the two are expected starters, the hosts know this will be a tough outing. It will be even tougher for Benin, as in case those two fail to perform, Victor Boniface, Moses Simon and Samuel Chukwueze will be waiting on the wings.
Most goals and assists
Benin
Nigeria
W. Troost-Ekong
(3 Goals)
,
A. Lookman
(3 Goals)
A. Lookman
(1 Assists)
,
V. Osimhen
(1 Assists)
,
C. Bassey
(1 Assists)
,
M. Simon
(1 Assists)
Benin - Nigeria Key Points
- Nigeria are unbeaten in seven AFCON qualifiers.
- Benin failed to score only once in the last five matches.
- Benin kept one clean sheet in five AFCON qualification matches.
- Nigeria have beaten Benin three times in the last four meetings.
- In two of these nations’ last four meetings, both teams scored.
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Our Benin vs Nigeria Prediction
This is a derby and much as Nigeria are the more fancied side, Benin will feel they can pull a shock. The last time Benin hosted this fixture, they came from behind to win. However, Nigeria got their measure of revenge the last time the nations faced off.
While we expect this see-saw to continue, betting on this game looks great on the goals market. Based on that, and backing Nigeria, our prediction for Benin v Nigeria is for both teams to score and Nigeria to win.
Benin vs Nigeria - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
This fixture has been a tight one in the two nations’ recent meetings. Save for the most recent clash between them, the matches were settled by a one-goal margin, yet none ended in a draw. As we anticipate the same here, our second prediction is for the game to have over 2.5 goals.
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
Benin vs Nigeria match : Frequently asked questions
The Benin v Nigeria match will be played on Thursday, November 14.
The Benin v Nigeria match will be played at the Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny in Abidjan.
The Benin v Nigeria match will be live on the FIFA+ App, accessible on the FIFA website. The match updates will also be available on SportyTrader’s AFCON livescores page.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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