Benfica Lisbon vs Moreirense Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal

Prediction published on 28/02/2020, 12:56  by Steve Ashfield | Modified on 28/02/2020 at 15:47 in Liga Portugal Predictions

Fresh from a Europa League exit that felt like the product of their own mistakes, Benfica take to the pitch for Liga Nos action on Monday when they host Moreirense at the Estadio Da Luz. Top of the table by one point, Benfica know that a slip-up will be pounced upon by Porto, who kick off earlier that night. Tenth in the standings, Moreirense are a midtable outfit free from relegation concerns (11 points away) and unlikely to make Europe (13 points away). In general, their record against Benfica is abysmal. However, they did score a shock 3-1 win here last season, which makes us think. is there value in a bet on the visitors? The season's stats are somewhat offputting, Benfica winning nine of their 11 home matches; Moreirense failing to win 10 of their last 11 away matches. 

Yet it is impossible to ignore the form of both teams, particularly the cracks across the face of the home side. Benfica were sloppy in that aforementioned UEL 3-3 draw against Shakhtar Donetsk, by surrendering a two-goal lead they ceded control of a game they had in their hands. It was typical of the fragile side that has been wearing Benfica shirts in recent weeks. The Eagles have only picked up one victory from their last six fixtures, losing three times. Moreirense, unbeaten in four matches, have an opportunity to capitalise on their vulnerability. You do too. Benfica are always a very low price at home, meaning the visitors have value. Backing Moreirense to win with a plus-two headstart is a tasty bet that we recommend.