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Europe - Europa League

Benfica Lisbon

11 Apr 2024 15:00

Marseille

Prediction :

Benfica Lisbon wins the match

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Benfica Lisbon vs Marseille Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League

Prediction published on 11/04/2024, 14:00 by Joseph King | Modified on 11/04/2024 at 14:05 in Europa League Predictions

Benfica hosts Marseille at the Estadio da Luz in Lisbon for the first leg of the Europa League quarter-final. The winner of this tie will face either tournament favorites Liverpool or Italian side Atalanta in the semi-finals. Benfica are twice finalists of this competition in 2012/13 and 2013/14 both failed to capture the trophy on both occasions. Marseille famously captured the Champions League trophy in 1992/93 but have never managed to win the Europa League. They’ve finished as runners-up on three occasions, with the most recent coming in the 2017/18 campaign.

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The Best Betting Odds for Benfica Lisbon v Marseille Match

1	X	2
1.01	23	501
1.73	3.75	4.6
2.05	2.6	4
1.87	3.3	3.2
1.07	9	101
1.07	9	101
1.73	3.86	4.6
1.73	3.86	4.6
1.89	3.75	4.1
1.83	3.86	4.06
1.82	3.8	4.4
1.86	3.92	4.3
1	29	401
1.83	3.7	4.4
1.25	5	15
2.05	3.75	3.55
1.08	7.5	56

Check all Benfica Lisbon vs Marseille odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Benfica Lisbon and Marseille?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/04/2024 between Benfica Lisbon and Marseille in Europa League :

The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.26% for a win of Benfica Lisbon against Marseille with odds of 2.05 at Ladbrokes.
The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Benfica Lisbon vs Marseille is 30.22% with odds of 29 at Betway.
Our prediction model gives a 14.52% chance ⭐ for a win of Marseille vs Benfica Lisbon with odds of 501 at Bet365.

Benfica Lisbon - Marseille Prediction and Best Odds:

Benfica Lisbon Marseille Prediction	Probability	Odds
Benfica Lisbon wins	55.26%	2.05 at Ladbrokes
Over 2.5 goals	58.83%	2.26 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score	64.58%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Benfica Lisbon	30.17%	5.4 at Unibet

Benfica Lisbon vs Marseille Form

Benfica Lisbon and Marseille Last Matches

Benfica Lisbon Last matches

All Home Away

W W W W D L

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals

50% BTTS

1.5 Goals scored

0.83 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

6 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon

2 : 1

Benfica Lisbon

2 Apr 2024 - Taca de Portugal

Benfica Lisbon

2 : 2

Sporting Lisbon

29 Mar 2024 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon

1 : 0

Chaves

17 Mar 2024 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon

0 : 1

Benfica Lisbon

14 Mar 2024 - Europa League

Rangers

0 : 1

Benfica Lisbon

10 Mar 2024 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon

3 : 1

Estoril

W W D W W D

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals

67% BTTS

3 Goals scored

1 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

2 Apr 2024 - Taca de Portugal

Benfica Lisbon

2 : 2

Sporting Lisbon

29 Mar 2024 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon

1 : 0

Chaves

10 Mar 2024 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon

3 : 1

Estoril

7 Mar 2024 - Europa League

Benfica Lisbon

2 : 2

Rangers

25 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon

4 : 0

Portimonense

18 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon

6 : 1

FC Vizela

D L L W W L

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals

33% BTTS

0.67 Goals scored

1.5 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

6 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon

2 : 1

Benfica Lisbon

17 Mar 2024 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon

0 : 1

Benfica Lisbon

14 Mar 2024 - Europa League

Rangers

0 : 1

Benfica Lisbon

3 Mar 2024 - Liga Portugal

Porto

5 : 0

Benfica Lisbon

29 Feb 2024 - Taca de Portugal

Sporting Lisbon

2 : 1

Benfica Lisbon

22 Feb 2024 - Europa League

Toulouse

0 : 0

Benfica Lisbon

Marseille Last matches

All Home Away

W W L L L L

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals

33% BTTS

1.33 Goals scored

1.67 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

5 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

Lille

3 : 1

Marseille

31 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille

0 : 2

PSG

17 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Rennes

2 : 0

Marseille

14 Mar 2024 - Europa League

Villarreal

3 : 1

Marseille

10 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille

2 : 0

Nantes

7 Mar 2024 - Europa League

Marseille

4 : 0

Villarreal

D W W W W L

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals

50% BTTS

2.33 Goals scored

0.83 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

31 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille

0 : 2

PSG

10 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille

2 : 0

Nantes

7 Mar 2024 - Europa League

Marseille

4 : 0

Villarreal

25 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille

4 : 1

Montpellier Hsc

22 Feb 2024 - Europa League

Marseille

3 : 1

Shakhtar Donetsk

9 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille

1 : 1

Metz

D L W L L L

Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.5 Goals scored

2 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

5 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

Lille

3 : 1

Marseille

17 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Rennes

2 : 0

Marseille

14 Mar 2024 - Europa League

Villarreal

3 : 1

Marseille

2 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Clermont

1 : 5

Marseille

18 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1

Brest

1 : 0

Marseille

15 Feb 2024 - Europa League

Shakhtar Donetsk

2 : 2

Marseille

Benfica Lisbon vs Marseille Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

25 Jul 2021 - Clubs Friendlies

Benfica Lisbon

1 : 1

Marseille

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Benfica Lisbon - Marseille: Form Analysis

Benfica will be looking to respond strongly in Europe after likely seeing their hopes of retaining the Liga Portugal trophy evaporate on the weekend. The Eagles fell to a devastating 2-1 away defeat to league leaders Sporting which saw them concede the winner in the 92nd minute. This leaves Roger Schmidt’s side four points behind their Lisbon rivals but with their opponents also holding a game-in-hand advantage. The loss also snapped Benfica’s previous six-game unbeaten run. They’ll certainly benefit from a return to the Esadio da Luz where they have posted an impressive 12-2-0 record domestically and a 1-1-0 record in the Europa League so far. After finishing third in their Champions League group, Benfica overcame Toulouse and then Rangers to advance to this stage of the competition.

Marseille have experienced a difficult season in Ligue 1. They currently sit eighth with a 10-point gap between themselves and Lille for a spot in next season’s Europa League. Les Phocéens have also experienced the turmoil of having a midseason manager swap after Gannaro Gattuso was replaced by Jean-Louis Gasset. The former Ivory Coach boss experienced a strong start but has since seen his OM side lose its last four games in a row. Their most recent outing resulted in a 3-1 away defeat to Lille, the fourth consecutive time that Marseille has conceded two or more goals. Marseille finished second in their Europa League group and defeated Shakhtar and Villarreal to advance to the final eight.

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Benfica Lisbon against Marseille Lineups: Starting 11

Benfica Lisbon

Formation : 4 - 2 - 1 - 3

A. Trubin

A. Bah

A. Silva

N. Otamendi

F. Aursnes

J. Neves

F. Luis

R. Silva

A. Di Maria

C. Tengstedt

D. Neres

P. Aubameyang

F. Moumbagna

A. Harit

G. Kondogbia

J. Veretout

Luis Henrique

Q. Merlin

S. Gigot

L. Balerdi

C. Mbemba

P. Lopez

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Marseille

Benfica Lisbon & Marseille Squad Analysis

Benfica manager Roger Schmidt doesn’t have any injuries or suspensions to worry about in his team and will have his full squad available for selection. The key players to watch will be striker Rafa, who has contributed 19 goals and 14 assists across 47 matches, as well as Angel Di Maria who is still playing at a high level with 15 goals and 13 assists in 42 matches.

On the other side, Gasset will have to deal with a few injuries to his squad and will be without five players for the trip to Lisbon. Among these names are Valentin Rongier, Amir Murillo, Bilal Nadir, Jean Onana and Jonathan Clauss. Gasset will also be unable to call upon Ulisses Garcia and Pape Gueye, who are ineligible to play in this competition. The danger-man for OM will undoubtedly be Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang who has netted nine goals in nine Europa League appearances so far this campaign.

Most goals and assists

Benfica Lisbon

Marseille

Top Goalscorer

R. Silva (18 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

P. Aubameyang (27 Goals)

Best assists

A. Di Maria (13 Assists)

Best assists

P. Aubameyang (11 Assists)

Benfica Lisbon - Marseille Key Points

Marseille have conceded 10 goals in their last four games (2.5 allowed per game).
Benfica are unbeaten at home in the Primeira Liga + Europa League this season.
The hosts are unbeaten in their last 19 at home after 90 minutes, winning 13 and drawing six.
Marseille are 3-6-10 away from home in Ligue 1 + Europa League this season.
The visitors have lost their last three matches in a row.

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Our Benfica Lisbon vs Marseille Prediction

Much of Marseille's struggles this season have stemmed from their terrible form when playing away from the Stade Velodrome. Unfortunately for the visitors, we see that trend continuing on Thursday. Benfica have been excellent on their home pitch this season and catch a Marseille team that is going through a difficult stretch with four straight losses. Back the hosts to take full advantage and grab a first leg aggregate loss before heading back to the French south coast. Our Benfica vs Marseille prediction is for Benfica to win the match.

Prediction :

Benfica Lisbon wins the match

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Benfica Lisbon vs Marseille - Other Interesting Predictions

Over 2.5 goals

Odds 1.73

Benfica have seen a pattern of high-scoring European matches this season with five of their last seven in the UEL/UCL going over the 2.5 goals total. Marseille have seen a similar trend with five of their last six in the Europa League going over the 2.5 goals mark.

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Benfica Lisbon vs Marseille match : Frequently asked questions

Benfica and Marseille will contest the first leg of the UEFA Europa League quarter-final at the Estadio da Luz in the Portuguese capital of Lisbon.

The Europa League quarter-final first leg match between Benfica and Marseille kicks off at 8:00 PM UK time on Thursday, April 11th.

The referee for this match will be Michael Oliver of England. The 39-year-old has overseen 28 matches this season, handing out 118 yellow cards (4.21 per match) and three red cards. Oliver has also pointed to the spot for six penalties in those 28 matches.

Those in the UK can catch the Benfica vs Marseille match by heading over to TNT Sports 5. If you're unable to watch the match on TV, you can follow the action with match updates and live statistics by heading over to SportyTrader's Europa League Livescore page.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.