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Benfica Lisbon vs Bologna Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Joseph King in Champions League Predictions
14th-place Benfica take on 33rd-placed Bologna for the sixth of eight matchdays in the league phase of the UEFA Champions League. An important three points are on the line in Lisbon; will the Eagles or the Red and Blues prevail? Here’s our match prediction.
Benfica are having a solid Champions League campaign so far with three wins and two defeats for nine points. This has them trailing the top eight, and an automatic spot in the round of 16, by just a single point. The Portuguese outfit has also built up a five-point buffer for a spot in the top 24, although the goal at this point will undoubtedly be a spot in the coveted top eight.
As for Bologna, their first appearance in Europe’s top flight competition has not gone according to plan. They’ve managed just a single point in their five outings which has them ranked four spots above bottom-placed Young Boys. The Italians will need the full three points here if they are to keep any hope of qualifying as one of the knockout phase play-off teams.
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The Best Betting Odds for Benfica Lisbon v Bologna Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.4 | 5 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.36 | 4.8 | 8 |
|
|
1.41 | 5.13 | 8.02 |
|
|
1.41 | 5.13 | 8.02 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.9 | 8.25 |
|
|
1.43 | 4.46 | 7.7 |
|
|
1.43 | 4.46 | 7.7 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.9 | 7.25 |
|
|
1.39 | 4.66 | 8.4 |
|
|
1.4 | 5.2 | 8.2 |
|
|
1.36 | 4.6 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.39 | 4.95 | 8.7 |
|
|
1.38 | 4.5 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.9 | 8.4 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.5 | 8 |
|
|
1.35 | 4.9 | 8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Benfica Lisbon and Bologna?
Our prediction for the Benfica Lisbon vs Bologna match is: Benfica to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/12/2024 between Benfica Lisbon and Bologna in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 58.5% for a win of Benfica Lisbon against Bologna with odds of 1.43 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Benfica Lisbon vs Bologna is 16.09% with odds of 5.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.41% chance ⭐ for a win of Bologna vs Benfica Lisbon with odds of 8.7 at Betsson.
Benfica Lisbon - Bologna Prediction and Best Odds:
| Benfica Lisbon Bologna Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 58.5% | 1.43 at Betwinner |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.76% | 1.95 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 40.48% | 2.1 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Bologna / Full-time: Benfica Lisbon | 22.76% | 26 at Betsson |
Benfica Lisbon vs Bologna Form
Benfica Lisbon and Bologna's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
|
33
|
2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -6 |
Benfica Lisbon and Bologna Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
1 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
23 Nov 2024 - Taca de Portugal
10 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
23 Nov 2024 - Taca de Portugal
10 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
30 Oct 2024 - League Cup
27 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
19 Oct 2024 - Taca de Portugal
23 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2024 - Serie A
3 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
30 Nov 2024 - Serie A
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
24 Nov 2024 - Serie A
10 Nov 2024 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
30 Nov 2024 - Serie A
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Serie A
6 Oct 2024 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2024 - Serie A
24 Nov 2024 - Serie A
10 Nov 2024 - Serie A
29 Oct 2024 - Serie A
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
19 Oct 2024 - Serie A
Benfica Lisbon - Bologna: Form Analysis
Benfica will be looking to extend their winning streak to six matches across all competitions with the welcome of Bologna on Wednesday. They pulled off a thrilling comeback in their last Champions League appearance away to Monaco, scoring twice in the final six minutes of play to turn a 2-1 deficit into a 3-2 victory.
Since that result, the Eagles earned back-to-back clean sheet wins in the Liga Portugal, the most recent of which finished 1-0 at home against Vitoria.
Benfica have been excellent at the Estádio da Luz this season, winning 10 of 11 matches.
It’s been a tough campaign for Bologna so far following their excellent 2023/24 season. They managed just one win from their first 11 fixtures across all competitions and have only recently started to recover in the last 5-6 weeks.
The visitors are coming off a 2-2 away draw with Juventus on the weekend, although will be bitterly disappointed as they blew a two-goal lead with less than 30 minutes remaining.
Bologna had won two matches in a row prior to that, meaning they come into this contest riding a three-game unbeaten run and experiencing their best stretch of form of the season.
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Benfica Lisbon against Bologna Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Benfica Lisbon & Bologna Squad Analysis
Benfica manager Bruno Lage doesn’t have too many injury concerns to worry about ahead of this one. The only confirmed absence at this point is midfielder Renato Sanches, who is dealing with a muscle injury.
Winger Tiago Gouveia is reportedly back in training after being injured in August, and it’s a similar case for youngster Gianluca Prestianni.
Turkish international Kerem Aktürkoğlu is enjoying a strong start to his first season in Lisbon.
The 26-year-old wide forward is leading Benfica’s scoring charts with 10 goals in 16 appearances across all competitions, while also chipping in three assists.
For the visiting side, Bologna boss Vincenzo Italiano has a few more names to worry about than his counterpart.
The biggest concern for I Rossoblù is the status of their star player Riccardo Orsolini, who was forced off in the first half during the team’s Coppa Italia win over Monza. Early signs are that he’ll be out until the end of December 2024 or early January 2025.
In addition to Orsolini, the visitors will be without Nicolo Cambiaghi (ACL surgery), Michel Aebischer (abductor), Oussama El Azzouzi (surgery), and Charalampos Lykogiannis (muscle).
Most goals and assists
Benfica Lisbon
Bologna
K. Akturkoglu
(9 Goals)
R. Orsolini
(6 Goals)
A. Di Maria
(5 Assists)
S. Castro
(3 Assists)
Benfica Lisbon - Bologna Key Points
- Bolognia have failed to win in the 2024/25 Champions League and have lost four of their five matches.
- The visitors have scored only a single goal in their five UCL matches so far.
- Benfica have won their last five in a row and eight of their last nine overall.
- The hosts have scored 17 goals in their last five appearances while conceding just three.
- At home this season across all competitions, Benfica have a 10-0-1 record with 32 goals scored and nine conceded.
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Our Benfica Lisbon vs Bologna Prediction
Benfica are in fine form at the moment with eight wins from their last nine outings, with the only defeat during that time coming away to Bayern. They’ve also been dominant when playing on their home patch this campaign, winning 10 of 11 matches across all competitions.
While Bologna have seen an encouraging uptick in their form, this is looking like it’s going to be a tough spot for them. They’re playing two consecutive away matches on short rest and will be without their main attacking threat in Riccardo Orsolini. Our Benfica vs Bologna prediction: Benfica to win.
Benfica Lisbon vs Bologna - Other Interesting Predictions
Benfica -1 European handicap
Benfica have been among the goals this season and are having no trouble finding the net. They’ve won by a multiple-goal margin in three of their last five, in which time they scored a total of 17 goals while conceding just three.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Benfica Lisbon Bologna
| Benfica Lisbon vs Bologna | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 1.67 | 1.4 | -16.2% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 5 | +28.2% |
| Bologna wins | 4.75 | 7.5 | +57.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Benfica Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 16.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.9% and is now 71.4% (11.5%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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