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Benfica Lisbon vs Barcelona Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Kennedy Kechula in Champions League Predictions
For the second time this season, Barcelona and Benfica will be facing off in the Champions League. This time they clash in the round of 16, with Benfica hosting the first leg match at Estadio da Luz on Wednesday 5th March. We have the preview and two predictions for the match.
On matchday seven of the league phase, these two sides played to a nine-goal thriller in Lisbon. Barcelona scored three times in the final 12 minutes of the match they were losing 4-2. After turning it around to win 5-4, the Spanish giants will be aware of the hostile reception awaiting them in Lisbon.
They will be prepared for it, as their recent run, which has them top of La Liga, has instilled a lot of confidence. Benfica have only lost once since that defeat to Barcelona and an eight-game unbeaten streak will serve as a perfect preparation for this encounter. The winner of this tie will proceed to the quarter-finals to face either Borussia Dortmund or Lille.
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The Best Betting Odds for Benfica Lisbon v Barcelona Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.9 | 4 | 1.83 |
|
|
4 | 4.2 | 1.83 |
|
|
3.4 | 2.87 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.81 | 4.35 | 1.89 |
|
|
3.81 | 4.35 | 1.89 |
|
|
3.7 | 4.2 | 1.82 |
|
|
3.68 | 4.26 | 1.83 |
|
|
3.68 | 4.26 | 1.83 |
|
|
3.75 | 4.2 | 1.86 |
|
|
3.68 | 4.26 | 1.83 |
|
|
3.85 | 4.3 | 1.84 |
|
|
3.55 | 4.3 | 1.9 |
|
|
3.7 | 4.2 | 1.85 |
|
|
3.76 | 4.2 | 1.88 |
|
|
3.6 | 4.2 | 1.83 |
|
|
3.75 | 4.1 | 1.83 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Benfica Lisbon and Barcelona?
Our prediction for the Benfica Lisbon vs Barcelona match is: Barcelona wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/03/2025 between Benfica Lisbon and Barcelona in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.66% for a win of Benfica Lisbon against Barcelona with odds of 4 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Benfica Lisbon vs Barcelona is 19.78% with odds of 4.35 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 46.56% chance ⭐ for a win of Barcelona vs Benfica Lisbon with odds of 2.1 at Ladbrokes.
Benfica Lisbon vs Barcelona Form
Benfica Lisbon and Barcelona Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Feb 2025 - Taca de Portugal
22 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Feb 2025 - Champions League
15 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
12 Feb 2025 - Champions League
8 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Feb 2025 - Taca de Portugal
22 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Feb 2025 - Champions League
8 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
17 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
12 Feb 2025 - Champions League
2 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
14 Jan 2025 - Taca de Portugal
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
25 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
17 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
9 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
6 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
25 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
17 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
2 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
26 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
9 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
6 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
12 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
Benfica Lisbon vs Barcelona Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
23 Nov 2021 - Champions League
29 Sep 2021 - Champions League
Benfica Lisbon - Barcelona: Form Analysis
Benfica will feel they have a point to prove when they welcome Barcelona for this match. The Portuguese giants capitulated late on in their league stage meeting with Barcelona, losing 5-4 at home.
They almost crumbled again under pressure at home to Monaco in the knockout round play-offs. That match ended 3-3 after late drama once again.
With an eight-game unbeaten run coming here, the hosts will be confident of addressing mistakes of the past while maintaining their scoring form.
Coming into this match, Benfica claimed a narrow 1-0 win over Sporting Braga. They've, however, failed to win any of their last four home matches in the Champions League.
Barcelona have six wins in the last seven matches.
Barcelona didn’t have to play the knockout round play-offs as they finished second in the league phase, two points behind Liverpool. In their impressive run, they won six of their eight matches at that stage and are on a good run still.
The Spanish side is coming off a 4-0 win over Real Sociedad. That marked the third time in the last five matches that they scored four goals. It was an improvement defensively after earlier playing to a 4-4 draw with Atletico Madrid.
Three clean sheets in their last four matches prepares Barca well for this game against a very attacking side. Barcelona’s win over Sociedad was their 15th unbeaten outing and they won 12 times in that period.
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Benfica Lisbon & Barcelona Squad Analysis
Greek forward Vangelis Pavlidis has been Benfica’s go-to person for goals this season. He is struggling to hit the numbers he achieved for AZ last season but is still delivering for the Portuguese giants.
Across all competitions, Pavlidis has scored 18 times this season and provided eight assists. From 24 shots in the Champions League, Pavlidis scored seven goals of the 17 shots on target.
Three of his goals in Europe came in the 5-4 loss at home to Barcelona. He will be looking to add to his numbers against the Spaniards.
Robert Lewandowski has scored nine Champions League goals this season.
Robert Lewandowski will be a central figure in this game. That is not just because he has four goals in the last five matches, but also for his impressive record against Benfica.
The Polish forward has scored in five straight matches against Benfica. In their very last meeting at the league phase, he scored twice. His form against Benfica aside, Lewandowski is having the time of his life.
The forward has played 12 matches in 2025 and scored 11 times. This is already his most prolific season with Barcelona, scoring 34 already, which makes him the highest scorer in the top five European leagues.
Most goals and assists
Benfica Lisbon
Barcelona
V. Pavlidis
(17 Goals)
R. Lewandowski
(30 Goals)
V. Pavlidis
(8 Assists)
L. Yamal
(13 Assists)
Benfica Lisbon and Barcelona Stats in Champions League
Benfica Lisbon - Barcelona Key Points
- Benfica managed just a win in their seven meetings with Barcelona.
- In their last 12 away matches Barcelona are unbeaten, winning nine.
- Barcelona won four times in their last five Champions League matches.
- Benfica failed to win in their last four home matches in the Champions League.
- In their last three away Champions League matches, Barcelona posted straight wins.
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Our Benfica Lisbon vs Barcelona Prediction
Our prediction for Benfica v Barcelona is that Barcelona wins the match. While Benfica are doing fine coming into this game, facing Barcelona in the Spaniards’ current form will be a real test. In recent home matches in the Champions League, Benfica have struggled a bit.
They come into this game winless in four home games in Europe. Barcelona will be aware of such struggles and hope to add to their recent impressive away form. The Spanish giants have also not lost a lot to Benfica in their previous meetings.
Benfica Lisbon vs Barcelona - Other Interesting Predictions
over 3.5 goals.
Barcelona were the highest scorers in the league phase, netting 28 goals. With an average of 3.5 goals a game this season in the Champions League, they face another high scoring side in the competition.
The two sides met in the league phase, a match that had nine goals scored. We could be in line for another high-scoring game and our second prediction here is for over 3.5 goals.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Benfica Lisbon vs. Barcelona game!
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Benfica Lisbon vs Barcelona match : Frequently asked questions
The Benfica v Barcelona match will be played at the Estadio da Luz in Lisbon.
The Benfica v Barcelona match will be played on Wednesday 5th March.
The Benfica v Barcelona match will be aired live on Sport TV and DAZN for audiences in Portugal. In Spain, it will be aired on Telefonica. You can also follow the match updates on Sportytrader’s UEFA Champions League livescores.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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