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Europe - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
21/01/2025 14:00
Barcelona

Prediction :

 

Over 3.5

 
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Benfica Lisbon vs Barcelona Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League

 by Kennedy Kechula | in Champions League Predictions

Two former European champions will clash this Tuesday when the UEFA Champions League returns. Benfica are set to host Barcelona in the penultimate stage of the league phase. The Portuguese giants are three points below the top eight and will be gunning for a win to help get there. Barcelona, meanwhile, start the week placed second in the standings, three points behind Liverpool. We have the preview for this match and a prediction ready.

Benfica are 15th in the standings, with 10 points. They will look to their recent run to lift them here, coming from their third win in four matches. Barcelona have had troubled times in La Liga but are doing well in cup competitions, one of which they have already won.

In a bid to restore lost glory in Europe, Barca will be trying to mount a serious challenge for this title. It is still early days but their five wins in six matches should point to the ambition. Who will claim the bragging rights here as these two meet for the 10th time?

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The Best Betting Odds for Benfica Lisbon v Barcelona Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3.4 4.1 1.95
Betfred
3.4 4 1.95
Ladbrokes
3.3 2.8 2.2
1xbet
3.55 4.2 2
22bet
3.55 4.2 2
Betobet
3.4 4.1 1.95
Betwinner
3.4 4.1 1.94
LSbet
3.4 4.1 1.94
Stake
3.45 4.2 1.96
Melbet
3.4 4.1 1.94
Tonybet
3.45 4.2 1.96
Vbet
3.47 4.3 1.95
Betway
3.3 4.2 1.91
Unibet
3.3 4.25 1.94
Betfair
3.4 4 2
Betsson
3.45 4.2 1.98
William Hill
3.3 3.9 1.95
Check all Benfica Lisbon vs Barcelona odds
Up to $200 to bet on Benfica Lisbon - Barcelona! 

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What is the prediction for the football match between Benfica Lisbon and Barcelona?

Our prediction for the Benfica Lisbon vs Barcelona match is: over 3.5.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/01/2025 between Benfica Lisbon and Barcelona in Champions League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.83% for a win of Benfica Lisbon against Barcelona with odds of 3.55 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Benfica Lisbon vs Barcelona is 26.43% with odds of 4.3 at Vbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 37.74% chance ⭐ for a win of Barcelona vs Benfica Lisbon with odds of 2.2 at Ladbrokes.

Benfica Lisbon vs Barcelona Form

Benfica Lisbon and Barcelona's standings in the Champions League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Barcelona
Barcelona
15 6 5 0 1 14
15
Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
10 6 3 1 2 3

Benfica Lisbon and Barcelona Last Matches

Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon Last matches
L L W D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

17 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
4 :  0
Famalicao

14 Jan 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Farense
1 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

11 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

8 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  0
SC Braga

4 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  2
SC Braga

29 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  0
Benfica Lisbon
W D W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

17 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
4 :  0
Famalicao

8 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  0
SC Braga

4 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  2
SC Braga

23 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  0
Estoril

11 Dec 2024 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
0 :  0
Bologna

7 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  0
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
W W D L D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

14 Jan 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Farense
1 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

11 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

29 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  0
Benfica Lisbon

15 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal

AVS Futebol SAD
1 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

1 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

27 Nov 2024 - Champions League

Monaco
2 :  3
Benfica Lisbon
Barcelona
Barcelona Last matches
L W W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

18 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Getafe
1 :  1
Barcelona

15 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey

Barcelona
5 :  1
Betis

12 Jan 2025 - Super Cup

Real Madrid
2 :  5
Barcelona

8 Jan 2025 - Super Cup

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  2
Barcelona

4 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey

UD Barbastro
0 :  4
Barcelona

21 Dec 2024 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

15 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey

Barcelona
5 :  1
Betis

21 Dec 2024 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid

15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga

Barcelona
0 :  1
Leganés

30 Nov 2024 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  2
Las Palmas

26 Nov 2024 - Champions League

Barcelona
3 :  0
Brest

3 Nov 2024 - LaLiga

Barcelona
3 :  1
Espanyol
D W W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

18 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Getafe
1 :  1
Barcelona

12 Jan 2025 - Super Cup

Real Madrid
2 :  5
Barcelona

8 Jan 2025 - Super Cup

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  2
Barcelona

4 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey

UD Barbastro
0 :  4
Barcelona

11 Dec 2024 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  3
Barcelona

7 Dec 2024 - LaLiga

Betis
2 :  2
Barcelona

Benfica Lisbon vs Barcelona Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Benfica Lisbon

50 %

Draw

50 %

Barcelona

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.5
Total goals
0%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
0
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

23 Nov 2021 - Champions League

Barcelona
0 :  0
Benfica Lisbon

29 Sep 2021 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  0
Barcelona
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Benfica Lisbon - Barcelona: Form Analysis

After successfully trading through three cup games, Benfica returned to league action with a resounding win. They are coming off a 4-0 victory against Famalicao, adding to a run that should be enough to build their confidence.

A number of their meetings with Barcelona have been dull affairs but not when Benfica are hosting. Five goals were scored the last two times Benfica played at home in this match.

A lack of consistency will be another concern with Benfica having won just once in four matches.

Barca have three wins while Benfica have two in the nine meetings between them.

Barcelona have also lacked consistency and it is costing them a lot, especially in the La Liga race. After seeming comfortable on top at one point, Barca are now third, trailing the league leaders by seven points.

It looks more promising for them in the Champions League. The visitors will feel inspired coming to this game, though their most recent 1-1 draw wasn’t the result they needed.

While it stretched their unbeaten run to five, it left a dent in their league title hopes. In the Champions League, they scored three or more in their five straight wins, keeping two clean sheets.

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Benfica Lisbon vs Barcelona last Lineups

Benfica Lisbon

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
A. Trubin
44
T. Araujo
30
N. Otamendi
4
A. Silva
3
A. Fernandez
18
L. Barreiro
61
Florentino
17
K. Akturkoglu
10
O. Kokcu
21
A. Schjelderup
14
V. Pavlidis
9
R. Lewandowski
11
Raphinha
6
Gavi
19
L. Yamal
8
Pedri
17
M. Casado
3
A. Balde
2
P. Cubarsi
4
R. Araujo
23
J. Kounde
13
I. Pena

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Barcelona

Benfica Lisbon & Barcelona Squad Analysis

Benfica have a number of injuries ahead of the Barcelona game but they’ll be hoping veteran Angel di Maria is able to feature here. The Argentine is listed as a major doubt and his absence, having had 20 goal involvements this season will be a huge blow.

The confirmed absentees at Benfica are Renato Sanches and Tiago Gouveia. With Kerem Akturkoglu also available, the hosts will be sure to attack here. Kerem has seven assists and 10 goals this season.

Dani Olmo and Angel di Maria are major doubts for this game.

Barcelona, on their part, could miss Dani Olmo for this match. The Spain international picked up a muscular problem in their last match.

His injury should be short term but he may have to spend time in the infirmary with the longer-term unavailable players. These include goalkeeper Marc-Andre ter Stegen, Marc Bernal and Inigo Martinez.

Lamine Yamal has been doing well in recent matches and will be a sure starter here.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Benfica Lisbon
CD Huachipato Barcelona
Top Goalscorer
Argentina A. Di Maria (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Poland R. Lewandowski (23 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina A. Di Maria (7 Assists)
Best assists
Spain L. Yamal (11 Assists)

Benfica Lisbon and Barcelona Stats in Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
Barcelona
Barcelona
50%
Victories
83%
17%
Draw
0%
33%
Defeats
17%
2.83
Total goals per match
4.67
1.67
Goals scored per match
3.5
1.17
Goals conceded per match
1.17
67%
Over 2.5
100%
33%
Under 2.5
0%
50%
BTTS
67%
33%
No goals conceded
33%

Benfica Lisbon - Barcelona Key Points

  1. Benfica scored three or more in three of four matches.
  2. Benfica’s last two matches produced a total of eight goals.
  3. 20 goals were scored in Barcelona’s last five away matches.
  4. Barcelona netted at least four times in three of their last five matches.
  5. Three times in Benfica’s five Champions League matches, over 3.5 goals were scored.
Up to $200 to bet on Benfica Lisbon - Barcelona! 

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Our Benfica Lisbon vs Barcelona Prediction

Benfica taking on Barcelona will for sure be one of the toughest games to call. While Barcelona are struggling in La Liga, you can count on them to turn up in Europe. The one area they have been doing well in this season is attack.

With their forwards available, there will definitely be a lot of focus on the striking. This could compromise their defending and Benfica will aim to take advantage. Benfica themselves are good going forward, making this an interesting game on the goals market. Betting on that, our prediction for Benfica v Barcelona is over 3.5.

Prediction :

 

Over 3.5

 
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$200 offered for betting!

Benfica Lisbon vs Barcelona - Other Interesting Predictions

Both teams to score.

Odds 1.44

These two sides are prolific scorers and have a number of big players in their ranks. They rarely go a game without finding the back of the net and we expect the same here. While they are great in attack, the two sides have struggled to keep clean sheets.

Barcelona had none in three matches while Benfica kept one in five matches. Our second prediction for this match is for both teams to score.

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bet365 welcome offer

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Try your luck on this year's Champions League! You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

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Benfica Lisbon vs Barcelona match : Frequently asked questions

The Benfica v Barcelona match will be played at the Estadio do Sport e Benfica in Lisbon.

The Benfica v Barcelona match will be played on Tuesday 21 January.

The Benfica v Barcelona match will be televised on Sport TV and DAZN in Portugal. In case you are following it from Spain, Telefonica will carry the game. SportyTrader's UEFA Champions League Livescore portal will also have the match updates.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Benfica Lisbon vs Barcelona Prediction
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