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Benfica Lisbon vs Barcelona Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Kennedy Kechula in Champions League Predictions
Two former European champions will clash this Tuesday when the UEFA Champions League returns. Benfica are set to host Barcelona in the penultimate stage of the league phase. The Portuguese giants are three points below the top eight and will be gunning for a win to help get there. Barcelona, meanwhile, start the week placed second in the standings, three points behind Liverpool. We have the preview for this match and a prediction ready.
Benfica are 15th in the standings, with 10 points. They will look to their recent run to lift them here, coming from their third win in four matches. Barcelona have had troubled times in La Liga but are doing well in cup competitions, one of which they have already won.
In a bid to restore lost glory in Europe, Barca will be trying to mount a serious challenge for this title. It is still early days but their five wins in six matches should point to the ambition. Who will claim the bragging rights here as these two meet for the 10th time?
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The Best Betting Odds for Benfica Lisbon v Barcelona Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.2 | 3.75 | 2.1 |
|
|
3 | 4 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.1 | 2.75 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.37 | 3.83 | 2.11 |
|
|
3.37 | 3.83 | 2.11 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.9 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.04 | 4.06 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.04 | 4.06 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.9 | 2.17 |
|
|
3.1 | 4.06 | 2.06 |
|
|
3.2 | 4 | 2.14 |
|
|
3 | 3.9 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.27 | 3.87 | 2.13 |
|
|
3 | 3.75 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.75 | 2 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.7 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.85 | 2.15 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Benfica Lisbon and Barcelona?
Our prediction for the Benfica Lisbon vs Barcelona match is: over 3.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/01/2025 between Benfica Lisbon and Barcelona in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.08% for a win of Benfica Lisbon against Barcelona with odds of 3.5 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Benfica Lisbon vs Barcelona is 26.53% with odds of 4.06 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.39% chance ⭐ for a win of Barcelona vs Benfica Lisbon with odds of 2.3 at Ladbrokes.
Benfica Lisbon - Barcelona Prediction and Best Odds:
| Benfica Lisbon Barcelona Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Barcelona wins | 37.39% | 2.3 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.05% | 1.49 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 39.58% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Barcelona/Barcelona | 13.52% | 3.4 at Betfair |
Benfica Lisbon vs Barcelona Form
Benfica Lisbon and Barcelona's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
19 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 |
|
16
|
13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Benfica Lisbon and Barcelona Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
14 Jan 2025 - Taca de Portugal
11 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup
8 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
7 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2025 - Taca de Portugal
11 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup
29 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
15 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
1 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
15 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
12 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
8 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
21 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
21 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
30 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
3 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
12 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
8 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
7 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
Benfica Lisbon vs Barcelona Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Nov 2021 - Champions League
29 Sep 2021 - Champions League
Benfica Lisbon - Barcelona: Form Analysis
After successfully wading through three cup games, Benfica returned to league action with a resounding win. They are coming off a 4-0 victory against Famalicao, adding to a run that should be enough to build their confidence.
A number of their meetings with Barcelona have been dull affairs but not when Benfica are hosting. Five goals were scored the last two times Benfica played at home in this fixture.
A lack of consistency will be another concern with Benfica having won just once in four matches.
Barca have three wins while Benfica have two in the nine meetings between them.
Barcelona have also lacked consistency and it is costing them a lot, especially in the La Liga race. After seeming comfortable on top at one point, Barca are now third, trailing the league leaders by seven points.
It looks more promising for them in the Champions League. The visitors will feel inspired coming to this game, though their most recent 1-1 draw wasn’t the result they needed.
While it stretched their unbeaten run to five, it left a dent in their league title hopes. In the Champions League, they scored three or more in their five straight wins, keeping two clean sheets.
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Benfica Lisbon against Barcelona Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Benfica Lisbon & Barcelona Squad Analysis
Benfica have a number of injuries ahead of the Barcelona game but they’ll be hoping veteran Angel di Maria is able to feature here. The Argentine is listed as a major doubt and his absence, having had 20 goal involvements this season will be a huge blow.
The confirmed absentees at Benfica are Renato Sanches and Tiago Gouveia.
With Kerem Akturkoglu available, the hosts will be sure to attack here. Kerem has seven assists and 10 goals this season.
Dani Olmo and Angel di Maria are major doubts for this game.
Barcelona, on their part, could miss Dani Olmo for this match. The Spain international picked up a muscular problem in their last match.
His injury should be short term but he may have to spend time in the infirmary with the longer-term unavailable players. These include goalkeeper Marc-Andre ter Stegen, Marc Bernal and Inigo Martinez.
Lamine Yamal has been doing well in recent matches and will be a sure starter here.
Most goals and assists
Benfica Lisbon
Barcelona
V. Pavlidis
(17 Goals)
R. Lewandowski
(29 Goals)
V. Pavlidis
(8 Assists)
L. Yamal
(13 Assists)
Benfica Lisbon - Barcelona Key Points
- Benfica scored three or more in three of four matches.
- Benfica’s last two matches produced a total of eight goals.
- 20 goals were scored in Barcelona’s last five away matches.
- Barcelona netted at least four times in three of their last five matches.
- Three times in Benfica’s five Champions League matches, over 3.5 goals were scored.
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Our Benfica Lisbon vs Barcelona Prediction
Benfica taking on Barcelona will for sure be one of the toughest games to call. While Barcelona are struggling in La Liga, you can count on them to turn up in Europe. The one area they have been doing well in this season is attack.
With their forwards available, there will definitely be a lot of focus on the striking. This could compromise their defending and Benfica will aim to take advantage. Benfica themselves are good going forward, making this an interesting game on the goals market. Betting on that, our prediction for Benfica v Barcelona is over 3.5.
Benfica Lisbon vs Barcelona - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score.
These two sides are prolific scorers and have a number of big players in their ranks. They rarely go a game without finding the back of the net and we expect the same here. While they are great in attack, the two sides have struggled to keep clean sheets.
Barcelona had none in three matches while Benfica kept one in five matches. Our second prediction for this match is for both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Benfica Lisbon Barcelona
| Benfica Lisbon vs Barcelona | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 3.6 | 3.2 | -11.1% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 3.75 | +1.4% |
| Barcelona wins | 1.91 | 2.1 | +9.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Barcelona is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 9.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.4% and is now 47.6% (-4.7%)
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Benfica Lisbon vs Barcelona match : Frequently asked questions
The Benfica v Barcelona match will be played at the Estadio do Sport e Benfica in Lisbon.
The Benfica v Barcelona match will be played on Tuesday 21 January.
The Benfica v Barcelona match will be televised on Sport TV and DAZN in Portugal. In case you are following it from Spain, Telefonica will carry the game. SportyTrader's UEFA Champions League Livescore portal will also have the match updates.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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