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Benfica Lisbon vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Devesh Jaganath in Champions League Predictions
Benfica and Atletico Madrid will put their perfect Champions League records on the line when they lock horns in Lisbon on matchday two this Wednesday evening. As Aguias are currently in 11th place in the League Phase standings, while Los Colchoneros are right behind them in 12th after the first round of the competition. Check out our match prediction below!
This match will be just the third time these two sides will meet, with both previous encounters coming in the 2015-16 group stage of the Champions League. Those matches saw both teams earn a win apiece, both on the road, while they somewhat surprisingly lost their matches at home.
As far as the odds go, Atleti are currently showing up as the favourites, albeit not by a big margin, suggesting that this could be a fairly even contest. Let’s crunch the key numbers and try to find a good angle to approach this round-two matchup.
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The Best Betting Odds for Benfica Lisbon v Atletico Madrid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.63 | 3.4 | 2.63 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.3 | 2.37 |
|
|
2.86 | 3.49 | 2.54 |
|
|
2.86 | 3.49 | 2.54 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.3 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.68 | 3.26 | 2.67 |
|
|
2.68 | 3.26 | 2.67 |
|
|
3 | 3.45 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.95 | 3.5 | 2.33 |
|
|
3.05 | 3.45 | 2.37 |
|
|
2.63 | 3.3 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.78 | 3.35 | 2.65 |
|
|
2.62 | 3.25 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.77 | 3.35 | 2.74 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.2 | 2.6 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.35 | 2.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Benfica Lisbon and Atletico Madrid?
Our prediction for the Benfica Lisbon vs Atletico Madrid match is: Both teams to score!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/10/2024 between Benfica Lisbon and Atletico Madrid in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.99% for a win of Benfica Lisbon against Atletico Madrid with odds of 3.1 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Benfica Lisbon vs Atletico Madrid is 21.21% with odds of 3.5 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.8% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico Madrid vs Benfica Lisbon with odds of 2.75 at Betfair.
Benfica Lisbon - Atletico Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Benfica Lisbon Atletico Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 39.8% | 2.75 at Betfair |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.28% | 1.94 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score | 52.38% | |
| Half-time : Benfica Lisbon / Full-time : Atletico Madrid | 15.03% | 34 at Betsson |
Benfica Lisbon vs Atletico Madrid Form
Benfica Lisbon and Atletico Madrid's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
12 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
|
15
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Benfica Lisbon and Atletico Madrid Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
23 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
14 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
30 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
24 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
14 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
24 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
17 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
2 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
30 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
11 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
17 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
5 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
26 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
22 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
15 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
31 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
15 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
28 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
25 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
11 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
22 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
31 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
19 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Benfica Lisbon - Atletico Madrid: Form Analysis
After stumbling out the blocks with a defeat to Famalicao in their first match of the season, Benfica quickly corrected and have built up solid momentum coming into this fixture.
Os Encarnados put in a commanding performance last weekend to thrash Gil Vicente 5-1 at home, extending their current win streak to four in a row, while they are unbeaten in seven across all competitions.
The Primeira Liga outfit kicked off their Champions League campaign with a 2-1 win over Red Star Belgrade on the road. They now return to Lisbon where they have been flawless this term, winning all four matches they’ve contested to date.
However, Benfica have won only one of their last 10 home matches against Spanish opposition in European competition (W1 D4 L5)!
Meanwhile, Atletico Madrid enter matchday two of the Champions League off the back of a 1-1 draw at home to cross-town rivals Real Madrid over the weekend.
That result kept their unbeaten record across all competitions this season intact, with five wins and four draws, including a 2-1 win over Leipzig in the first round of the Champions League a fortnight ago.
Los Colchoneros have a positive record against Portuguese opponents in Europe having won three of their last four games. However, they were beaten by Porto 2-1 in their most recent matchup in November 2022.
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Benfica Lisbon against Atletico Madrid Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Benfica Lisbon & Atletico Madrid Squad Analysis
Benfica will have to make do without two players for this matchday two fixture with Tiago Gouveia and Renato Sanches both ruled out for the foreseeable future with a shoulder and hamstring injury respectively.
Kerem Akturkoglu has been enjoying a purple patch in front of goal lately, scoring three times in the Eagles' last four matches. He will almost certainly keep his place on the right-hand side of the attack alongside Vangelis Pavlidis.
Marcos Llorente was sent off against Real Madrid last weekend but should feature in this match before starting his league ban!
Diego Simeone does have a few notable injury absentees to contend with here, including former Chelsea left-back Cesar Azpilicueta, who is slated to remain sidelined until the next international break.
Joining the 35-year-old defender on the sidelines in midweek will be Borja Garces (cruciate ligament tear) and Pablo Barrios (muscle), both of whom are expected to return to action later this month.
Most goals and assists
Benfica Lisbon
Atletico Madrid
K. Akturkoglu
(9 Goals)
A. Griezmann
(11 Goals)
K. Akturkoglu
(5 Assists)
, 
A. Di Maria
(5 Assists)
A. Griezmann
(6 Assists)
, 
M. Llorente
(6 Assists)
Benfica Lisbon - Atletico Madrid Key Points
- Four of Benfica’s last five matches have ended with both teams scoring.
- Benfica have scored two or more goals in in each of their last four games.
- Three of Atletico Madrid’s last four matches have ended with both teams scoring.
- Atletico Madrid have only failed to score in one of their nine matches in all competitions this season.
- Both teams scored in the two previous matches between these sides.
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Our Benfica Lisbon vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
After an unexpected opening week loss in the Primeira Liga, Benfica quickly found their rhythm and enter this match off the back of four consecutive wins. During that time they scored an impressive 14 goals but managed just one clean sheet.
Atletico Madrid, on the other hand, are unbeaten after nine games across all competitions and are yet to be shut out on the road. Given these stats, we feel that both these sides will find the net in this one. Our Benfica vs Atletico Madrid prediction: Both teams to score!
Benfica Lisbon vs Atletico Madrid - Other Interesting Predictions
Atletico Madrid Draw No Bet
Atletico Madrid have won three of their last four matches against Portuguese opponents. Additionally, Los Colchoneros are yet to suffer defeat after nine games in all competitions this season.
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
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Benfica Lisbon vs Atletico Madrid match : Frequently asked questions
The Champions League match between Benfica and Atletico Madrid will be played on October 2 at 20:00 GMT.
The Champions League match between Benfica and Atletico Madrid will take place at Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica in Lisbon.
UK viewers can watch the Champions League match between Benfica and Atletico Madrid live on TNT Sports and discovery+.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the Champions League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Serdar Gozubuyuk will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Erwin Zeinstra, Johan Balder and Richard Martens as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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