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Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal

Portugal - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
13/04/2025 12:00
Arouca

Prediction :

 

Benfica to win and over 3.5 goals

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Liga Portugal Predictions

Benfica will be hoping to open a five-point gap at the Primeira Liga summit when they host Arouca this Sunday. Heading into this matchday 29 encounter, Benfica are separated from Arouca by 39 points and 11 places. We have a prediction for the match below.

Benfica benefitted from Sporting Lisbon’s slip last time out to go top of the league standings. As Sporting played out a 1-1 draw with Braga, Benfica thrashed Porto 4-1 and opened a two-point buffer.

The target now is to keep adding to that gap as much as possible before their final day matchup with second-placed Sporting. With 13 wins in 14 home league games, Arouca shouldn’t be a team to worry Benfica.

In each of the last 12 meetings between these teams, Arouca lost. Their hopes of bagging three points in this game are almost nil even as they have everything to play for here.

The visitors are just six points above the relegation region and will want to move as far away as possible in the remaining six matches. Arouca’s survival quest has suffered a number of setbacks in recent times.

They are coming from a 2-1 home loss to Famalicao. That was their third defeat in the last five league matches, and they have just one win in the last eight.

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The Best Betting Odds for Benfica Lisbon v Arouca Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.14 7.5 17
Betfred
1.13 8 15
Ladbrokes
1.18 7.5 13
NetBet
1.1 7.5 16
1xbet
1.13 8.2 21
Check all Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Benfica Lisbon and Arouca?

Our prediction for the Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca match is: Benfica to win and over 3.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/04/2025 between Benfica Lisbon and Arouca in Liga Portugal :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 60.02% for a win of Benfica Lisbon against Arouca with odds of 1.18 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca is 19.02% with odds of 8.5 at Betsson.
  • Our prediction model gives a 20.95% chance ⭐ for a win of Arouca vs Benfica Lisbon with odds of 21 at 1xbet.

Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca Form

Benfica Lisbon and Arouca's standings in the Liga Portugal

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
68 28 22 2 4 46
12
Arouca
Arouca
29 28 7 8 13 -16

Benfica Lisbon and Arouca Last Matches

Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon Last matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

9 Apr 2025 - Taca de Portugal

FC Tirsense
0 :  5
Benfica Lisbon

6 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Porto
1 :  4
Benfica Lisbon

2 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  2
Farense

28 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
0 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

16 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
2 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

11 Mar 2025 - Champions League

Barcelona
3 :  1
Benfica Lisbon
D W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

2 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  2
Farense

8 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  0
Nacional Madeira

5 Mar 2025 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
0 :  1
Barcelona

26 Feb 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  0
SC Braga

22 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  0
Boavista

18 Feb 2025 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  3
Monaco
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

9 Apr 2025 - Taca de Portugal

FC Tirsense
0 :  5
Benfica Lisbon

6 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Porto
1 :  4
Benfica Lisbon

28 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
0 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

16 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
2 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

11 Mar 2025 - Champions League

Barcelona
3 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

15 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
0 :  1
Benfica Lisbon
Arouca
Arouca Last matches
D L W D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
1 :  2
Famalicao

29 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

SC Braga
2 :  1
Arouca

16 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
1 :  1
Estoril

8 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

AVS Futebol SAD
0 :  1
Arouca

1 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
0 :  2
Porto

23 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
2 :  2
Farense
W D D L D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

5 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
1 :  2
Famalicao

16 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
1 :  1
Estoril

1 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
0 :  2
Porto

23 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
2 :  2
Farense

10 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
1 :  1
Rio Ave

24 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
1 :  0
Moreirense
W D W D W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

29 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

SC Braga
2 :  1
Arouca

8 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal

AVS Futebol SAD
0 :  1
Arouca

15 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  2
Arouca

1 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
1 :  2
Arouca

18 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
2 :  2
Arouca

4 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal

Boavista
1 :  3
Arouca

Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Benfica Lisbon

100 %

Draw

0 %

Arouca

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
0%
BTTS
3.17
Goals scored (Team 1)
0
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

1 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

12 May 2024 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
5 :  0
Arouca

6 Jan 2024 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
0 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

31 Oct 2023 - Portugal League Cup

Arouca
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

31 Jan 2023 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
0 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

5 Aug 2022 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
4 :  0
Arouca
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Benfica Lisbon
CD Huachipato Arouca
Top Goalscorer
Greece V. Pavlidis (23 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Portugal H. Araujo (5 Goals) Spain Jason (5 Goals)
Best assists
Turkey K. Akturkoglu (9 Assists)
Greece V. Pavlidis (9 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil Weverson (2 Assists)

Benfica Lisbon and Arouca Stats in Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
Arouca
Arouca
79%
Victories
25%
7%
Draw
29%
14%
Defeats
46%
3.29
Total goals per match
2.5
2.46
Goals scored per match
0.96
0.82
Goals conceded per match
1.54
68%
Over 2.5
50%
32%
Under 2.5
50%
46%
BTTS
57%
46%
No goals conceded
21%

Benfica Lisbon - Arouca Key Points

  1. Three of Benfica’s last five home league matches had over 3.5 goals.
  2. Half of Arouca’s last 10 away league matches had over 3.5 goals.
  3. In their 14 home league games this season, Benfica won 13.
  4. Benfica’s last five league matches produced 21 goals.
  5. Arouca lost three of their last five league matches.
Up to $150 to bet on Benfica Lisbon - Arouca! 

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Our Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca Prediction

Benfica hosting Arouca is likely to be a one-sided affair. In the shape of the Primeira Liga title race, Benfica will consider this a must-win match. We’ve already seen Benfica’s dominance in this fixture, winning each one of the last 12 meetings between the teams.

Benfica’s attack is clearly one of the most lethal in the league, and the same unleashed on Arouca’s defence only points to a possible high-scoring encounter. Our prediction for Benfica v Arouca is for Benfica to win and over 3.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Benfica to win and over 3.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca Prediction
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