Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Liga Portugal Predictions
Benfica will be hoping to open a five-point gap at the Primeira Liga summit when they host Arouca this Sunday. Heading into this matchday 29 encounter, Benfica are separated from Arouca by 39 points and 11 places. We have a prediction for the match below.
Benfica benefitted from Sporting Lisbon’s slip last time out to go top of the league standings. As Sporting played out a 1-1 draw with Braga, Benfica thrashed Porto 4-1 and opened a two-point buffer.
The target now is to keep adding to that gap as much as possible before their final day matchup with second-placed Sporting. With 13 wins in 14 home league games, Arouca shouldn’t be a team to worry Benfica.
In each of the last 12 meetings between these teams, Arouca lost. Their hopes of bagging three points in this game are almost nil even as they have everything to play for here.
The visitors are just six points above the relegation region and will want to move as far away as possible in the remaining six matches. Arouca’s survival quest has suffered a number of setbacks in recent times.
They are coming from a 2-1 home loss to Famalicao. That was their third defeat in the last five league matches, and they have just one win in the last eight.
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The Best Betting Odds for Benfica Lisbon v Arouca Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.14 | 7.5 | 17 |
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1.13 | 8 | 15 |
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1.18 | 7.5 | 13 |
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1.1 | 7.5 | 16 |
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1.13 | 8.2 | 21 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Benfica Lisbon and Arouca?
Our prediction for the Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca match is: Benfica to win and over 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/04/2025 between Benfica Lisbon and Arouca in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 60.02% for a win of Benfica Lisbon against Arouca with odds of 1.18 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca is 19.02% with odds of 8.5 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.95% chance ⭐ for a win of Arouca vs Benfica Lisbon with odds of 21 at 1xbet.
Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca Form
Benfica Lisbon and Arouca's standings in the Liga Portugal
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
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2
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68 | 28 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 46 |
12
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29 | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -16 |
Benfica Lisbon and Arouca Last Matches

5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2025 - Taca de Portugal
6 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
2 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
28 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
26 Feb 2025 - Taca de Portugal
22 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Feb 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2025 - Taca de Portugal
6 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
28 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
15 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal

1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
1 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
1 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
10 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
24 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
1 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
4 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
12 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
6 Jan 2024 - Liga Portugal
31 Oct 2023 - Portugal League Cup
31 Jan 2023 - Liga Portugal
5 Aug 2022 - Liga Portugal
Most goals and assists








Benfica Lisbon and Arouca Stats in Liga Portugal


Benfica Lisbon - Arouca Key Points
- Three of Benfica’s last five home league matches had over 3.5 goals.
- Half of Arouca’s last 10 away league matches had over 3.5 goals.
- In their 14 home league games this season, Benfica won 13.
- Benfica’s last five league matches produced 21 goals.
- Arouca lost three of their last five league matches.
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Our Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca Prediction
Benfica hosting Arouca is likely to be a one-sided affair. In the shape of the Primeira Liga title race, Benfica will consider this a must-win match. We’ve already seen Benfica’s dominance in this fixture, winning each one of the last 12 meetings between the teams.
Benfica’s attack is clearly one of the most lethal in the league, and the same unleashed on Arouca’s defence only points to a possible high-scoring encounter. Our prediction for Benfica v Arouca is for Benfica to win and over 3.5 goals.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Benfica Lisbon vs. Arouca game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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