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Belgium vs Italy Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Devesh Jaganath in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Belgium will be hoping to keep their UEFA Nations League quarter-final hopes alive when they take on Italy at Stade Roi Baudouin on Thursday night. De Rode Duivels are in third place in League A Group 2, while the Azzurri are leading the group standings. Check out our match prediction below.
Belgium have managed to take just four points from their first four games in this competition and currently trail second-placed France by five points. That means that if they lose this match and France beat Israel in the other match in the group, De Rode Duivels will end the group stage in the relegation play-offs.
For Italy, the equation is much simpler - avoid defeat and they will be guaranteed a spot in the quarter-final, though they will still want to keep hold of first place. The hosts are the current bookmakers’ favourite in this contest, but can they overcome the group leaders? Let’s break down the key stats and try to find out!
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The Best Betting Odds for Belgium v Italy Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.6 | 3.25 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.1 | 2.62 |
|
|
2.72 | 3.38 | 2.84 |
|
|
2.72 | 3.38 | 2.84 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.25 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.65 | 3.3 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.63 | 3.24 | 2.74 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.35 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.73 | 3.29 | 2.84 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.1 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.25 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.63 | 3.2 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.25 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.1 | 2.55 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Belgium and Italy?
Our prediction for the Belgium vs Italy match is: Both teams to score!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/11/2024 between Belgium and Italy in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.33% for a win of Belgium against Italy with odds of 2.75 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Belgium vs Italy is 17.51% with odds of 3.38 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.16% chance ⭐ for a win of Italy vs Belgium with odds of 2.9 at Unibet.
Belgium - Italy Prediction and Best Odds:
| Belgium Italy Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Italy wins | 45.16% | 2.9 at Unibet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 2.11 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 58.33% | 1.84 at Betsson |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Italy | 19.67% | 6.75 at Unibet |
Belgium vs Italy Form
Belgium and Italy's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
|
3
|
4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 |
Belgium and Italy Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1 Jul 2024 - Euro
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
22 Jun 2024 - Euro
17 Jun 2024 - Euro
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1 Jul 2024 - Euro
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
29 Jun 2024 - Euro
24 Jun 2024 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Jun 2024 - Euro
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
29 Jun 2024 - Euro
24 Jun 2024 - Euro
20 Jun 2024 - Euro
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
Belgium vs Italy Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2021 - UEFA Nations League
2 Jul 2021 - Euro
Belgium - Italy: Form Analysis
Belgium kicked off their Nations League campaign very promisingly, beating Israel 3-0 in the first round of the competition, but that remains the only victory they have managed to date.
Since that victory, De Rode Duivels lost 2-1 at home to and 2-0 away to France either side of a 2-2 draw to their upcoming opponents back in gameweek three of the competition on the road.
With those results, the hosts have now managed only one win in their last eight matches, which was against Romania in their second group-stage match at the European Championship in June.
Belgium have conceded two goals in each of their last three games and have not kept a clean sheet in five!
Meanwhile, Italy will be feeling fairly confident about their chances of progressing to the knockout round as they are one of only four teams in League A that are still unbeaten.
The draw against Belgium is the only match in which the Azzurri have dropped points in this competition, while they beat Israel home and away and overcame France 3-1 back in round one.
Notably, Italy are the joint-highest-scoring team in the Nations League this season with 11 goals, though they have failed to maintain a clean sheet in any of their four games to date.
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Belgium against Italy Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 1 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 1 - 1
Missing players
A. Vranckx
Belgium & Italy Squad Analysis
After asking to be left out of the October squad, Romelu Lukaku has been summoned by Domenico Tedesco to participate in Belgium's upcoming games against Italy and Israel.
The Red Devils’ boss has also opted to call up a few emerging talents, including 20-year-old Chelsea midfielder Romeo Lavia, as well as Club Brugge teenager Joaquin Seys.
Part of Tedesco’s reason for relying on youth is due to injuries to experienced players, such as Youri Tielemans, Thomas Meunier and Yannick Carrasco, all of whom have been left out.
Kevin De Bruyne, who only just recovered from injury, will not be part of the Belgium squad this month!
Luciano Spalletti, on the other hand, has chosen to call up three first-timers for this month’s fixtures in defensive duo Nicolo Savona and Pietro Comuzzo, as well as midfielder Nicolo Rovella.
The former two are brought into the squad to replace Riccardo Calafiori and Matteo Gabbia, both of whom are currently out of action owing to injury.
Nicolo Barella has also been included in the 23-man squad after missing out on the October fixtures, while Niccolo Pisilli and Daniel Maldini are retained after their first call-ups last month.
Most goals and assists
Belgium
Italy
K. De Bruyne
(2 Goals)
D. Frattesi
(3 Goals)
L. Openda
(1 Assists)
,
J. Doku
(1 Assists)
,
L. Trossard
(1 Assists)
,
W. Faes
(1 Assists)
,
T. Castagne
(1 Assists)
F. Dimarco
(4 Assists)
Belgium - Italy Key Points
- Three of Belgium’s four matches in this competition have ended with both teams scoring.
- Belgium have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five matches.
- All four of Italy’s matches in this competition have ended with both teams scoring.
- Italy have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last eight matches.
- Both teams have scored in five of the last six matches between these sides.
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Our Belgium vs Italy Prediction
Belgium will have to throw caution to the wind here, as only a victory will be able to keep them in the competition, though in doing so, it could leave them vulnerable in defence against this dangerous Italian attack.
Indeed, Italy are the joint-top-scorers in this season’s Nations League, but clean sheets have been rare for them and they may need to rely on outscoring their opponents once again in this match. Therefore, our Belgium vs Italy prediction: Both teams to score!
Belgium vs Italy - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5
Three of Belgium’s four matches in this competition have ended with over 2.5 goals, while all four of Italy’s games have seen three or more hit the back of the net. Additionally, neither of these sides have managed to keep a clean sheet in this season’s Nations League.
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Belgium vs Italy match : Frequently asked questions
The UEFA Nations League match between Belgium and Italy will be played on November 14 at 19:45 GMT.
The UEFA Nations League match between Belgium and Italy will take place at Stade Roi Baudouin in Brussels.
The UEFA Nations League match between Belgium and Italy will be broadcast on ITV in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the UEFA Nations League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Radu Petrescu will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Radu Ghinguleac, Mircea Mihail Grigoriu and Marcel Birsan as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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