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Europe - UEFA Nations League

Belgium
14 Nov 2024 13:45
Italy

Prediction :

Both teams to score

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Belgium vs Italy Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

 by Devesh Jaganath in UEFA Nations League Predictions

Belgium will be hoping to keep their UEFA Nations League quarter-final hopes alive when they take on Italy at Stade Roi Baudouin on Thursday night. De Rode Duivels are in third place in League A Group 2, while the Azzurri are leading the group standings. Check out our match prediction below. 

Belgium have managed to take just four points from their first four games in this competition and currently trail second-placed France by five points. That means that if they lose this match and France beat Israel in the other match in the group, De Rode Duivels will end the group stage in the relegation play-offs. 

For Italy, the equation is much simpler - avoid defeat and they will be guaranteed a spot in the quarter-final, though they will still want to keep hold of first place. The hosts are the current bookmakers’ favourite in this contest, but can they overcome the group leaders? Let’s break down the key stats and try to find out!

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The Best Betting Odds for Belgium v Italy Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.63 3.3 2.7
Ladbrokes
2.5 3.2 2.62
1xbet
2.72 3.38 2.84
22bet
2.72 3.38 2.84
Betobet
2.65 3.25 2.65
Stake
2.6 3.4 2.8
Melbet
2.63 3.24 2.74
Tonybet
2.6 3.35 2.8
Betway
2.63 3.1 2.7
Unibet
2.55 3.25 2.9
Betfair
2.63 3.3 2.7
Betsson
2.55 3.35 2.75
William Hill
2.75 3.1 2.55
Vbet
2.68 3.45 2.8
Check all Belgium vs Italy odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Belgium and Italy?

Our prediction for the Belgium vs Italy match is: Both teams to score!

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/11/2024 between Belgium and Italy in UEFA Nations League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.38% for a win of Belgium against Italy with odds of 2.75 at William Hill.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Belgium vs Italy is 17.48% with odds of 3.45 at Vbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 45.14% chance ⭐ for a win of Italy vs Belgium with odds of 2.9 at Unibet.

Belgium vs Italy Form

Belgium and Italy's standings in the UEFA Nations League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Italy
Italy
10 4 3 1 0 6
3
Belgium
Belgium
4 4 1 1 2 -1

Belgium and Italy Last Matches

Belgium
Belgium Last matches
D L W L D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Belgium
1 :  2
France

10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
2 :  2
Belgium

9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

France
2 :  0
Belgium

6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Belgium
3 :  1
Israel

1 Jul 2024 - Euro

France
1 :  0
Belgium

26 Jun 2024 - Euro

Ukraine
0 :  0
Belgium
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Belgium
1 :  2
France

6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Belgium
3 :  1
Israel

22 Jun 2024 - Euro

Belgium
2 :  0
Romania

17 Jun 2024 - Euro

Belgium
0 :  1
Slovakia

8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Belgium
3 :  0
Luxembourg

5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Belgium
2 :  0
Montenegro
D D D L L D
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
2 :  2
Belgium

9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

France
2 :  0
Belgium

1 Jul 2024 - Euro

France
1 :  0
Belgium

26 Jun 2024 - Euro

Ukraine
0 :  0
Belgium

26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

England
2 :  2
Belgium

23 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Ireland
0 :  0
Belgium
Italy
Italy Last matches
D L W W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
4 :  1
Israel

10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
2 :  2
Belgium

9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Israel
1 :  2
Italy

6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

France
1 :  3
Italy

29 Jun 2024 - Euro

Switzerland
2 :  0
Italy

24 Jun 2024 - Euro

Croatia
1 :  1
Italy
W D W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
4 :  1
Israel

10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
2 :  2
Belgium

15 Jun 2024 - Euro

Italy
2 :  1
Albania

9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Italy
1 :  0
Bosnia Herzegovina

4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Italy
0 :  0
Turkey

24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Italy
2 :  0
Ecuador
W L D L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Israel
1 :  2
Italy

6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

France
1 :  3
Italy

29 Jun 2024 - Euro

Switzerland
2 :  0
Italy

24 Jun 2024 - Euro

Croatia
1 :  1
Italy

20 Jun 2024 - Euro

Spain
1 :  0
Italy

21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Venezuela
1 :  2
Italy

Belgium vs Italy Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Belgium

0 %

Draw

33 %

Italy

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
100%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored (Team 1)
2
Goals scored (Team 2)
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
2 :  2
Belgium

10 Oct 2021 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
2 :  1
Belgium

2 Jul 2021 - Euro

Belgium
1 :  2
Italy
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Belgium - Italy: Form Analysis

Belgium kicked off their Nations League campaign very promisingly, beating Israel 3-0 in the first round of the competition, but that remains the only victory they have managed to date.

Since that victory, De Rode Duivels lost 2-1 at home to and 2-0 away to France either side of a 2-2 draw to their upcoming opponents back in gameweek three of the competition on the road. 

With those results, the hosts have now managed only one win in their last eight matches, which was against Romania in their second group-stage match at the European Championship in June. 

Belgium have conceded two goals in each of their last three games and have not kept a clean sheet in five!

Meanwhile, Italy will be feeling fairly confident about their chances of progressing to the knockout round as they are one of only four teams in League A that are still unbeaten. 

The draw against Belgium is the only match in which the Azzurri have dropped points in this competition, while they beat Israel home and away and overcame France 3-1 back in round one. 

Notably, Italy are the joint-highest-scoring team in the Nations League this season with 11 goals, though they have failed to maintain a clean sheet in any of their four games to date. 

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Belgium vs Italy last Lineups

Belgium

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
K. Casteels
2
Z. Debast
4
W. Faes
3
A. Theate
21
T. Castagne
17
C. De Ketelaere
18
O. Mangala
8
Y. Tielemans
7
J. Doku
9
L. Openda
10
L. Trossard
9
M. Retegui
10
G. Raspadori
3
F. Dimarco
8
S. Tonali
7
N. Fagioli
16
D. Frattesi
20
A. Cambiaso
5
R. Calafiori
21
A. Bastoni
22
G. Di Lorenzo
13
G. Vicario

Formation : 3 - 5 - 1 - 1

Italy

Belgium & Italy Squad Analysis

After asking to be left out of the October squad, Romelu Lukaku has been summoned by Domenico Tedesco to participate in Belgium's upcoming games against Italy and Israel. 

The Red Devils’ boss has also opted to call up a few emerging talents, including 20-year-old Chelsea midfielder Romeo Lavia, as well as Club Brugge teenager Joaquin Seys. 

Part of Tedesco’s reason for relying on youth is due to injuries to experienced players, such as Youri Tielemans, Thomas Meunier and Yannick Carrasco, all of whom have been left out.

Kevin De Bruyne, who only just recovered from injury, will not be part of the Belgium squad this month!

Luciano Spalletti, on the other hand, has chosen to call up three first-timers for this month’s fixtures in defensive duo Nicolo Savona and Pietro Comuzzo, as well as midfielder Nicolo Rovella. 

The former two are brought into the squad to replace Riccardo Calafiori and Matteo Gabbia, both of whom are currently out of action owing to injury. 

Nicolo Barella has also been included in the 23-man squad after missing out on the October fixtures, while Niccolo Pisilli and Daniel Maldini are retained after their first call-ups last month.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Belgium
CD Huachipato Italy
Top Goalscorer
Belgium K. De Bruyne (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy D. Frattesi (3 Goals)
Best assists
Belgium L. Openda (1 Assists)
Belgium J. Doku (1 Assists)
Belgium L. Trossard (1 Assists)
Belgium W. Faes (1 Assists)
Belgium T. Castagne (1 Assists)
Best assists
Italy F. Dimarco (3 Assists)

Belgium and Italy Stats in UEFA Nations League

Belgium
Belgium
Italy
Italy
25%
Victories
75%
25%
Draw
25%
50%
Defeats
0%
3.25
Total goals per match
4
1.5
Goals scored per match
2.75
1.75
Goals conceded per match
1.25
75%
Over 2.5
100%
25%
Under 2.5
0%
75%
BTTS
100%
0%
No goals conceded
0%

Belgium - Italy Key Points

  1. Three of Belgium’s four matches in this competition have ended with both teams scoring.
  2. Belgium have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five matches.
  3. All four of Italy’s matches in this competition have ended with both teams scoring.
  4. Italy have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last eight matches.
  5. Both teams have scored in five of the last six matches between these sides.
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Our Belgium vs Italy Prediction

Belgium will have to throw caution to the wind here, as only a victory will be able to keep them in the competition, though in doing so, it could leave them vulnerable in defence against this dangerous Italian attack. 

Indeed, Italy are the joint-top-scorers in this season’s Nations League, but clean sheets have been rare for them and they may need to rely on outscoring their opponents once again in this match. Therefore, our Belgium vs Italy prediction: Both teams to score!

Prediction :

Both teams to score

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Belgium vs Italy - Other Interesting Predictions

Over 2.5

Odds 1.87

Three of Belgium’s four matches in this competition have ended with over 2.5 goals, while all four of Italy’s games have seen three or more hit the back of the net. Additionally, neither of these sides have managed to keep a clean sheet in this season’s Nations League. 

$200 offered for betting!

Use £30 free bets for the Belgium vs. Italy game!

bet365 welcome offer

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Try your luck on this year's UEFA Nations League! You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

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Belgium vs Italy match : Frequently asked questions

The UEFA Nations League match between Belgium and Italy will be played on November 14 at 19:45 GMT.

The UEFA Nations League match between Belgium and Italy will take place at Stade Roi Baudouin in Brussels.

The UEFA Nations League match between Belgium and Italy will be broadcast on ITV in the UK.

Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the UEFA Nations League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!

Radu Petrescu will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Radu Ghinguleac, Mircea Mihail Grigoriu and Marcel Birsan as the fourth official. 

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Belgium vs Italy Prediction
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