Europe - UEFA Nations League
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Belgium vs France Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Devesh Jaganath in UEFA Nations League Predictions
We are in for an absolute treat on Monday evening in the UEFA Nations League, with European powerhouses Belgium and France set to face off at Stade Roi Baudouin in Brussels. De Rode Duivels are in third place in League A Group 2, while Les Bleus are second, behind group leaders Italy. Check out our match prediction below.
When these two met at the Groupama Stadium last month, France secured a 2-0 victory thanks to goals by Paris Saint-Germain attacking duo Randal Kolo Muani and Ousmane Dembele. That result also extended Les Bleus’ current win streak against Belgium to four matches in a row dating back to June 2015.
Despite having the home advantage, Belgium are showing up as the underdogs in this match according to the bookies, but can they defy the odds and halt their winless streak against the mighty French? Let’s get into the key stats at play in this intriguing matchup.
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The Best Betting Odds for Belgium v France Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3 | 3.3 | 2.38 |
|
|
3.1 | 2.4 | 2.6 |
|
|
3.19 | 3.38 | 2.37 |
|
|
3.19 | 3.38 | 2.37 |
|
|
3 | 3.3 | 2.35 |
|
|
3.02 | 3.46 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.02 | 3.46 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.95 | 3.45 | 2.44 |
|
|
2.97 | 3.48 | 2.33 |
|
|
2.95 | 3.5 | 2.43 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.34 | 2.42 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.25 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.15 | 3.2 | 2.35 |
|
|
3 | 3.2 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.4 | 2.35 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Belgium and France?
Our prediction for the Belgium vs France match is: France Draw No Bet!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/10/2024 between Belgium and France in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.1% for a win of Belgium against France with odds of 3.19 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Belgium vs France is 22.34% with odds of 3.5 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.56% chance ⭐ for a win of France vs Belgium with odds of 2.6 at Ladbrokes.
Belgium - France Prediction and Best Odds:
| Belgium France Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| France wins | 39.56% | 2.6 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 53.76% | 1.98 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 32.29% | 1.8 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: France/France | 13.37% | 4 at Bet365 |
Belgium vs France Form
Belgium and France's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
|
3
|
4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 |
Belgium and France Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1 Jul 2024 - Euro
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
22 Jun 2024 - Euro
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
22 Jun 2024 - Euro
17 Jun 2024 - Euro
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - Euro
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1 Jul 2024 - Euro
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jul 2024 - Euro
5 Jul 2024 - Euro
1 Jul 2024 - Euro
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1 Jul 2024 - Euro
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jul 2024 - Euro
5 Jul 2024 - Euro
21 Jun 2024 - Euro
17 Jun 2024 - Euro
21 Nov 2023 - Euro
Belgium vs France Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1 Jul 2024 - Euro
7 Oct 2021 - UEFA Nations League
10 Jul 2018 - World Cup
Belgium - France: Form Analysis
Perennial underachievers Belgium kept their hopes of winning this group alive last week when they came from two goals down to salvage a point against Italy at Stadio Olimpico.
That result took them to four points in the standings, following a 3-1 victory over Israel in their opening match of the competition and that loss to their upcoming opponents back on matchday two.
Despite losing to France last month, though, the Red Devils will gain some confidence for this match from their home record, which shows five consecutive victories heading into this one.
Belgium are unbeaten in their last eight matches on home soil and kept clean sheets in five of those games!
Meanwhile, after losing their Nations League opener to Italy 3-1, France seem to have found their rhythm again, ratting off back-to-back wins in weeks two and three. They now trail Gli Azzurri by just a single point.
Following the 2-0 win over this opponent last month, Les Bleus put in a commanding performance against Israel last week and came away with a 4-1 victory, with four different players getting on the scoresheet.
That result also extended their away record to three games unbeaten, while they have only suffered defeat once in their last six outings. The sole defeat in that time was to Germany in a friendly back in September last year.
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Belgium against France Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Belgium & France Squad Analysis
Many French fans would have been concerned about their side's attacking threat after Kylian Mbappe pulled out of the squad in the lead-up to this international break.
However, Randal Kolo Muani has proven to be a worthy replacement, having scored against Belgium last month and providing the assist for the opening goal last week against Israel.
Matteo Guendouzi made an almost immediate impact coming off the bench on Thursday, scoring the side’s third goal before setting up the fourth. Owing to that performance, the Lazio midfielder will definitely be in contention for a starting role this week.
Bradley Barcola is France’s top-scorer in this competition with two goals in three games!
In the absence of Romelu Lukaku, Lois Openda has started all three matches for Belgium in this competition but has only managed one goal contribution, setting up Youri Tielemans in the first match.
After Openda had another fairly quiet outing against Italy, Domenico Tedesco may consider shaking things up in attack, which could lead to Cyril Ngonge making the starting 11 this week.
Most goals and assists
Belgium
France
K. De Bruyne
(2 Goals)
R. Kolo Muani
(3 Goals)
L. Openda
(1 Assists)
,
J. Doku
(1 Assists)
,
L. Trossard
(1 Assists)
,
W. Faes
(1 Assists)
,
T. Castagne
(1 Assists)
L. Digne
(3 Assists)
Belgium - France Key Points
- Belgium have only won one of their last five games in all competitions.
- Belgium failed to score in three of their last five matches.
- Belgium have failed to keep a clean sheet in this competition.
- France are on a four-match winning streak against this opponent.
- France are unbeaten in their last three away games.
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Our Belgium vs France Prediction
While Belgium managed to earn a point against Italy last week, it should be noted that they were blown away in the first half. They only managed to get back into the match after Gli Azzurri were reduced to 10 men when Lorenzo Pellegrini was sent for an early shower just before the halftime whistle.
That result, combined with the underwhelming performance they put on when facing France last month, leads us to believe that Les Bleus is the team to beat in this one. However, with favourable odds on offer, we have the luxury of opting for the safety of our money back on the draw result as our primary wager. Our Belgium vs France prediction: France Draw No Bet!
Belgium vs France - Other Interesting Predictions
France win
France have won each of the last five matches against this opponent dating back almost a full decade. Additionally, Belgium have only managed a single victory in their last five matches in all competitions.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Belgium France
| Belgium vs France | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium wins | 2.7 | 3 | +11.1% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.3 | 0% |
| France wins | 2.55 | 2.38 | -6.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- France is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 39.2% and is now 42.0% (2.8%)
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Belgium vs France match : Frequently asked questions
The UEFA Nations League match between Belgium and France will be played on October 14 at 19:45 GMT.
The UEFA Nations League match between Belgium and France will take place at Stade Roi Baudouin in Brussels.
The UEFA Nations League match between Belgium and France will be broadcast on ITV in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the UEFA Nations League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Irfan Peljto will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Senad Ibrisimbegovic, Davor Beljo and Luka Bilbija as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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