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Belarus vs Northern Ireland Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Ian John in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Carlos Alos' Belarus host Michael O'Neill's Northern Ireland in a key Nations League Group C3 matchup in Minsk this week. Will our prediction for this match back the home side White Wings to continue their unbeaten progress, or can the Boys in Green land a key away victory?
Belarus' form coming into this game is not great, but after a 0-0 draw against Bulgaria and a 1-0 win over Luxembourg, they sit top of Group C3, level on points with Bulgaria. Behind the top two lie Northern Ireland with three points, courtesy of a 2-0 win over Luxembourg and a narrow 1-0 away defeat in their last game with Bulgaria. This game will be played behind closed doors in Hungary due to UEFA sanctions on Belarus.
Goals have been at a premium in this group with just four scored in the four games played so far. That suggests this game is going to be another very tight one, where any team that is capable of taking a chance or two that they create, may well take all three points. However, the visitors may feel they have a key advantage, having won all three of the previous fixtures between the two teams.
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The Best Betting Odds for Belarus v Northern Ireland Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5 | 3.2 | 1.8 |
|
|
4.33 | 2.25 | 2.25 |
|
|
4.89 | 3.44 | 1.92 |
|
|
4.89 | 3.44 | 1.92 |
|
|
4.7 | 3.2 | 1.86 |
|
|
4.76 | 3.12 | 1.92 |
|
|
4.76 | 3.12 | 1.92 |
|
|
5 | 3.15 | 1.78 |
|
|
4.7 | 3.3 | 1.86 |
|
|
4.5 | 3.2 | 1.89 |
|
|
4.75 | 3.1 | 1.85 |
|
|
5 | 3.25 | 1.8 |
|
|
4 | 3.2 | 1.95 |
|
|
5.2 | 3.19 | 1.89 |
|
|
4.5 | 3 | 1.95 |
|
|
5 | 3.25 | 1.85 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Belarus and Northern Ireland?
Our prediction for the Belarus vs Northern Ireland match is: Northern Ireland to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/10/2024 between Belarus and Northern Ireland in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.61% for a win of Belarus against Northern Ireland with odds of 5.2 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Belarus vs Northern Ireland is 22.89% with odds of 3.44 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.5% chance ⭐ for a win of Northern Ireland vs Belarus with odds of 2.25 at Ladbrokes.
Belarus - Northern Ireland Prediction and Best Odds:
| Belarus Northern Ireland Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Northern Ireland wins | 44.5% | 2.25 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 71.43% | 1.88 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 12.5% | 2.5 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Northern Ireland | 19.81% | 4.6 at Unibet |
Belarus vs Northern Ireland Form
Belarus and Northern Ireland's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
|
3
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -1 |
Belarus and Northern Ireland Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2023 - Euro
12 Oct 2023 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - Euro
15 Oct 2023 - Euro
12 Sep 2023 - Euro
9 Sep 2023 - Euro
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
20 Nov 2023 - Euro
17 Oct 2023 - Euro
14 Oct 2023 - Euro
19 Jun 2023 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2023 - Euro
10 Sep 2023 - Euro
Belarus vs Northern Ireland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
11 Jun 2019 - Euro
Belarus - Northern Ireland: Form Analysis
Belarus most recent form sounds decent. A 0-0 draw with Bulgaria at home, followed by a 1-0 win away to Luxembourg is respectable, especially for a team that has been heavily beaten in a number of games previously including 4-0 losses by Israel and Russia back in June .
The home side have won just five of their last 25 matches in all competitions, including friends, and all those wins have been by a single goal, four by a 1-0 scoreline and one match a 2-1 victory. The teams they have beaten are not particularly strong; Andorra, Kosovo (twice), Syria and Luxembourg.
Additionally, in three games against Northern Ireland, Belarus have scored just once, while conceding six and losing all three matches (3-0 and 2-1 away from home and 1-0 in their most recent fixture in 2019 in Minsk).
Northern Ireland's one win and one loss in the Nations League sees them third in the group. However, their recent form under Michael O'Neill is much improved with some excellent wins over Denmark and Scotland and a draw on the road in Romania in recent times.
The big issue for Northern Ireland has been scoring goals, as they have certainly tightened up defensively in recent times, one big defeat away to Spain apart. However, if they can negate Belarus' attack and find a goal, that may well be enough for them to secure a vital three points.
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Belarus against Northern Ireland Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Belarus & Northern Ireland Squad Analysis
A lack of goals in the Belarus squad is clearly evident for this fixture. Their top scorer is midfielder Max Ebong, who has five goals in 40 caps for his country. After Ebong, only one other player in the squad has managed more than two goals for Belarus.
Having tried many goalkeepers recently, Pavel Pavlyuchenko seems to be the first choice now, while veteran Alyaksandr Martynovich will anchor the back line. Alongside Ebong in midfield, Yevgeny Yablonsky will likely provide most of the Belarusian attacking flair.
Northern Ireland will be without goalkeeper Bailey Peacock-Farrell and central defender Daniel Ballard, who missed out with shoulder and ankle injuries. That could hand a chance to Bolton goalkeeper Luke Southwood to win a second cap or Mansfield Town's Christy Pym to win a first.
Veteran defender Paddy McNair will anchor a likely back four with support down both flanks from full-backs Jamal Lewis and Conor Bradley. Ciaron Brown or Trai Hume could land Ballard's usual spot as McNair's central defensive partner for this game.
The Irish will likely rely on striker Dion Charles of Bolton and Exeter City's Josh Magennis for goals. However, manager O'Neill has hinted that he will be willing to play inexperienced players in this game, which could see St Mirren's Caolan Boyd-Munce or Stevenage's Jamie Reid given a chance.
Most goals and assists
Belarus
Northern Ireland
V. Gromyko
(1 Goals)
,
S. Politevich
(1 Goals)
,
Y. Kovalev
(1 Goals)
I. Price
(4 Goals)
K. Pechenin
(1 Assists)
,
V. Gromyko
(1 Assists)
,
E. Yablonskiy
(1 Assists)
S. Charles
(3 Assists)
Belarus - Northern Ireland Key Points
- Northern Ireland have lost just two of their last seven (away to Spain and Bulgaria).
- Belarus have won one of their last six, drawing two, losing three.
- Northern Ireland have beaten Scotland, Denmark, Andorra and Luxembourg in their last eight games.
- Belarus have scored just one goal in their last six, conceding ten.
- Northern Ireland have a 100% record against Belarus winning all three games between the two teams.
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Our Belarus vs Northern Ireland Prediction
Our prediction for the Belarus vs. Northern Ireland Nations League Group C3 match is: Northern Ireland to win.
Belarus may be unbeaten in this group, but they struggled to a 0-0 draw against 10-man Bulgaria and then beat Luxembourg. Their recent form is generally very poor and in contrast to Northern Ireland, who have picked up good results against good teams of late, does not bear comparison. The visitors will be looking to bounce back from defeat in Bulgaria last time out and they have the quality to win here.
Belarus vs Northern Ireland - Other Interesting Predictions
Northern Ireland to win and Both Teams to Score - No.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Belarus Northern Ireland
| Belarus vs Northern Ireland | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belarus wins | 3.9 | 5 | +28.2% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.2 | -1.5% |
| Northern Ireland wins | 2 | 1.8 | -10.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Northern Ireland is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 50.0% and is now 55.6% (5.6%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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