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Belarus vs Bulgaria Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Ian John | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Belarus host Bulgaria in a Nations League Group C3 match at the ZTE Arena in Hungary on Thursday. The White Wings have lost all their last three at home, including the last two 4-0. This match pits them against a Bulgaria side who have found some form - The Lions are unbeaten in their last six. Let’s take a look at who our prediction favours in this crucial opening game of the competition for both teams.
Having to play their home games in Hungary hasn’t worked out well for Belarus. They have lost all the last three games at ‘home’ without scoring a goal and conceding ten in the process. That is disappointing, especially given that they performed surprisingly well in their Euro 2024 qualifying group, finishing fourth and amassing an encouraging 12 points from their ten games.
Goals continue to be a problem for Belarus with just two of their squad having scored more than two international goals in their career. This is a problem Spanish manager Carlos Alos will need to fix if they are to earn better results.
In contrast, his Bulgarian counterpart Ilian Iliev seems to have turned his side's fortunes around. After a run of four straight losses, the Bulgarian manager has overseen a run of six games unbeaten, albeit five of those finishing as a draw.
However, the quality of the opponents that they have drawn against is impressive. Serbia, Azerbaijan, Romania and Slovenia were all held away from home, and Hungary were held at home with the sole win coming against Tanzania on neutral ground.
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The Best Betting Odds for Belarus v Bulgaria Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.5 | 3.2 | 2.15 |
|
|
4.5 | 3.25 | 1.85 |
|
|
3.7 | 3.31 | 2.23 |
|
|
3.7 | 3.31 | 2.23 |
|
|
4.5 | 3.25 | 1.88 |
|
|
4.44 | 3.3 | 1.9 |
|
|
4.44 | 3.3 | 1.9 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.05 | 2.13 |
|
|
4.54 | 3.34 | 1.87 |
|
|
4.4 | 3.35 | 1.88 |
|
|
3.62 | 3.2 | 2.24 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.1 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.1 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.5 | 2.9 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.1 | 2.1 |
|
|
4.5 | 3.2 | 1.83 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Belarus and Bulgaria?
Our prediction for the Belarus vs Bulgaria match is: Bulgaria to win and Under 2.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/09/2024 between Belarus and Bulgaria in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.94% for a win of Belarus against Bulgaria with odds of 4.54 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Belarus vs Bulgaria is 40.05% with odds of 3.35 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29% chance ⭐ for a win of Bulgaria vs Belarus with odds of 2.24 at Vbet.
Belarus - Bulgaria Prediction and Best Odds:
| Belarus Bulgaria Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 40.05% | 3.35 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 58.46% | 1.99 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 40.48% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 19.81% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
Belarus vs Bulgaria Form
Belarus and Bulgaria's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
9 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -3 |
|
3
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -1 |
Belarus and Bulgaria Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - Euro
18 Nov 2023 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2023 - Euro
12 Oct 2023 - Euro
19 Jun 2023 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - Euro
15 Oct 2023 - Euro
12 Sep 2023 - Euro
9 Sep 2023 - Euro
28 Mar 2023 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - Euro
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
14 Oct 2023 - Euro
20 Jun 2023 - Euro
24 Mar 2023 - Euro
23 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - Euro
10 Sep 2023 - Euro
17 Jun 2023 - Euro
Belarus against Bulgaria Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Belarus
Bulgaria
V. Gromyko
(1 Goals)
,
S. Politevich
(1 Goals)
,
Y. Kovalev
(1 Goals)
K. Despodov
(1 Goals)
,
A. Kraev
(1 Goals)
,
V. Panayotov
(1 Goals)
K. Pechenin
(1 Assists)
,
V. Gromyko
(1 Assists)
,
E. Yablonski
(1 Assists)
A. Kolev
(1 Assists)
Belarus - Bulgaria Key Points
- Belarus has lost all of the last three home games scoring no goals and conceding 10.
- Bulgaria is unbeaten in six games, including draws at home to Hungary and away to Serbia.
- Belarus has failed to score in any of their last four games.
- Bulgaria found the net in five of the last six matches they have played.
- Bulgaria have scored one goal or fewer in all their last four matches.
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Our Belarus vs Bulgaria Prediction
Our prediction for Belarus vs. Bulgaria in the Nations League Group C3 is: Bulgaria to win and Under 2.5 Goals.
Both these teams are amongst the weaker European nations, but Bulgaria seems to be in better form, as they are unbeaten in six. Belarus has struggled at home, losing their last two home matches heavily. Goals tend to be at a premium in games involving these two teams, and the data suggests Bulgaria is more likely to get a goal. And even if it is just the one, that may be enough against the shot-shy Belarus.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Belarus Bulgaria
| Belarus vs Bulgaria | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belarus wins | 4.33 | 3.5 | -19.2% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.2 | -5.9% |
| Bulgaria wins | 1.85 | 2.15 | +16.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 29.4% and is now 31.3% (1.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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