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Europe - Champions League

Bayern Munich
30 Apr 2024 15:00
Real Madrid

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League

 by Sridhar | in Champions League Predictions

In a clash of two European giants, Bayern Munich and Real Madrid meet in the first leg of the UEFA European Champions League semi-finals. The Allianz Arena in Turin will host on Tuesday. The winner of this tie will face the winner of the other semi-final between Borussia Dortmund and Paris Saint-Germain. Bayern and Madrid are the teams that have featured in the most Champions League semi-finals with 30 previous appearances, so there’s a lot of European pedigree on offer. Having edged out English opponents in the last eight to reach the semis, both teams will now look for an initial edge to get an advantage going into the second leg next week. Can the two European powerhouses deliver another exciting match?
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The Best Betting Odds for Bayern Munich v Real Madrid Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
17 1.04 26
Ladbrokes
2.2 3.6 2.9
NetBet
2.17 3.75 2.97
1xbet
2.31 3.8 2.99
22bet
2.31 3.8 2.99
Betwinner
2.31 3.58 2.94
LSbet
2.31 3.58 2.94
Stake
2.36 3.75 2.95
Melbet
2.26 3.72 2.93
Tonybet
2.37 3.8 2.8
Betfair
2.45 2.5 3.9
Betsson
2.25 3.75 3.1
William Hill
2.2 3.5 3.1
Vbet
5.5 1.4 7
Betway
21 1.02 34
Unibet
25 1.02 34
Check all Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bayern Munich and Real Madrid?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/04/2024 between Bayern Munich and Real Madrid in Champions League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.99% for a win of Bayern Munich against Real Madrid with odds of 25 at Unibet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid is 25.75% with odds of 3.8 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 37.27% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich with odds of 34 at Betway.

Bayern Munich - Real Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:

Bayern Munich Real Madrid Prediction Probability Odds
Real Madrid wins 37.27% 34 at Betway
Over 2.5 goals 51.98% 1.91 at Betway
Both Team To Score 60.42%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Real Madrid 15.25% 46 at Unibet

Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid Form

Bayern Munich and Real Madrid Last Matches

Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich Last matches
L D W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

27 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  1
Eintracht Frankfurt

20 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
1 :  5
Bayern Munich

17 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
1 :  0
Arsenal

13 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  0
Köln

9 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Arsenal
2 :  2
Bayern Munich

6 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
3 :  2
Bayern Munich
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

27 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  1
Eintracht Frankfurt

17 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
1 :  0
Arsenal

13 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  0
Köln

30 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
0 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

9 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
8 :  1
1 Fsv Mainz 05

5 Mar 2024 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
3 :  0
Lazio
L D W L D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.17 Total goals
100% BTTS
3 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

20 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
1 :  5
Bayern Munich

9 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Arsenal
2 :  2
Bayern Munich

6 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
3 :  2
Bayern Munich

16 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga

Darmstadt
2 :  5
Bayern Munich

1 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  2
Bayern Munich

18 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga

Bochum
3 :  2
Bayern Munich
Real Madrid
Real Madrid Last matches
W D W D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

26 Apr 2024 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
0 :  1
Real Madrid

21 Apr 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  2
Barcelona

17 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Manchester City
1 :  1
Real Madrid

13 Apr 2024 - LaLiga

Mallorca
0 :  1
Real Madrid

9 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Real Madrid
3 :  3
Manchester City

31 Mar 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Athletic Bilbao
W D W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Apr 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  2
Barcelona

9 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Real Madrid
3 :  3
Manchester City

31 Mar 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

10 Mar 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  0
Celta Vigo

6 Mar 2024 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  1
Leipzig

25 Feb 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Sevilla
D D W W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

26 Apr 2024 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
0 :  1
Real Madrid

17 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Manchester City
1 :  1
Real Madrid

13 Apr 2024 - LaLiga

Mallorca
0 :  1
Real Madrid

16 Mar 2024 - LaLiga

Osasuna
2 :  4
Real Madrid

2 Mar 2024 - LaLiga

Valencia
2 :  2
Real Madrid

18 Feb 2024 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Real Madrid

Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Bayern Munich

20 %

Draw

20 %

Real Madrid

60 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4
Total goals
100%
BTTS
1.8
Goals scored (Team 1)
2.2
Goals scored (Team 2)
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

20 Jul 2019 - International Champions Cup

Bayern Munich
3 :  1
Real Madrid

1 May 2018 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  2
Bayern Munich

25 Apr 2018 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
1 :  2
Real Madrid

18 Apr 2017 - Champions League

Real Madrid
4 :  2
Bayern Munich

12 Apr 2017 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
1 :  2
Real Madrid
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Bayern Munich - Real Madrid: Form Analysis

Bayern defeated Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 over the weekend to make it four wins in a row in all competitions. With the Bundesliga title already lost, it is only the Champions League progression that is high on Bayern’s agenda. Going back in time, they have eight wins out of their last 12 games in all competitions. That should give confidence to the home fans, although the lengthy list of absences is set to complicate their chances. Having topped the Group A engagements with five wins and a draw, Bayern defeated Lazio and Arsenal to qualify for this tie. Bayern have won seven of their ten Champions League matches this season, drawing two and losing only once. The biggest driving point for them has been the results at home, as Bayern have won four and drawn one of their five Champions League home fixtures.

Madrid edged out Sociedad in their last match and stayed ahead of the competition in La Liga. That was their fourth win in a row and seventh across the last eight games. Looking back at their recet fixtures, Madrid’s last loss was a 4-2 defeat to Atletico Madrid in the Copa del Rey competition. After that result, Madrid have gone unbeaten in 18 competitive matches. Madrid had a perfect start to this year’s group stages of this competition, winning all six from Group C. Los Blancos then went on to edge out Leipzig in the round of 16. Right after that, Madrid defeated Manchester City, needing penalties in the second leg. The result was part of an impressive run of seven wins over their last nine away matches in all competitions for Real Madrid.

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Bayern Munich against Real Madrid Lineups: Starting 11

Bayern Munich

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
M. Neuer
6
J. Kimmich
15
E. Dier
3
K. Min-jae
40
N. Mazraoui
27
K. Laimer
25
T. Muller
8
L. Goretzka
10
L. Sane
9
H. Kane
42
J. Musiala
7
V. Junior
5
J. Bellingham
11
Rodrygo
8
T. Kroos
18
A. Tchouameni
15
F. Valverde
23
F. Mendy
22
A. Rudiger
6
Nacho
17
L. Vazquez
13
A. Lunin

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Real Madrid

Missing players

Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
Defender

T. Buchmann

S. Boey

Forward

K. Coman

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Defender

D. Alaba

Bayern Munich & Real Madrid Squad Analysis

Bayern have a number of key players out of contention for this trip. Alphonso Davies is back from a ban and should start this match for the hosts. Matthijs De Ligt, Konrad Laimer, and Jamal Musiala have injuries and will be assessed before kickoff. Thomas Tuchel certainly has a lengthy list of injuries to contend with. Leroy Sane, Serge Gnabry, Kingsley Coman, Dayot Upamecano, and Sacha Boey are among those confirmed to miss out on this first leg match for the Bavarian club. On the other side, Madrid will be without Dani Carvajal, who is suspended for this match. Thibaut Courtois and David Alaba are dealing with long term injuries and will miss out on facing the Spanish giants ahead of this trip.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Bayern Munich
CD Huachipato Real Madrid
Top Goalscorer
England H. Kane (44 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England J. Bellingham (23 Goals)
Best assists
Germany L. Sane (13 Assists)
Best assists
England J. Bellingham (11 Assists)

Bayern Munich - Real Madrid Key Points

  1. Six of Bayern’s last nine Champions League matches have produced at least three goals
  2. In ten of their last 13 matches in all competitions, Bayern have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
  3. Bayern's defensive problems have been apparent this season as they've managed only three clean sheets in their last 17 games, conceding 25 goals during this stretch.
  4. Madrid have seen six of their 10 Champion League matches this season go over the 2.5 goals mark.
  5. Real Madrid have scored in their last 32 consecutive games across all competitions.
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Our Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid Prediction

Bayern Munich are coming off a four-game winning run in all competitions and have nothing else but the Champions League to concentrate on. It is their injury-led squad that will be under focus, though, as that negates any advantage they may have starting at home. Madrid, on the other hand, has rested many regular starters over the weekend. They have historically enjoyed the business end of this competition, and there could be a high-scoring contest on the horizon. Our prediction for Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid is for over 2.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid - Other Interesting Predictions

Harry Kane to score anytime

Odds 2.3
Harry Kane warmed up for this crucial match with a brace against Eintracht Frankfurt, helping Bayern win 2-1. He has 11 goals to his name across the last ten matches in all competitions. Kane has also netted three goals across his last three matches in the Champions League. Can he inspire Bayern to win? Back him to at least score a goal.
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Madrid to win

Odds 2.75

Bayern are playing only for the Champions League but are set to be hampered by a number of injuries here. That should give more encouragement to the visitors, who have won their last four on the road. With key players firing at the right time, Madrid will fancy their chances of winning this match. They are on a good stretch of form with seven wins in their last eight matches. They also have a good history against Bayern, winning six of their last seven matchups against the Bavarian giants.

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Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid match : Frequently asked questions

The Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid UEFA Champions League match is scheduled for an 8 p.m. UK time kick-off on Tuesday, April 30, 2024.
This is Bayern Munich’s home game, and so the Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid UEFA Champions League match is set to be played at the Allianz Arena in Munchen, Germany.

The Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid UEFA Champions League match first leg will be broadcast live on TNT Sports 1. For the subscribers, the match is also available to be streamed live on the Discovery+ app or website.

Check out our UEFA Champions League Livescore page!

Clément Turpin is the referee for the Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid UEFA Champions League match. Nicolas Danos and Benjamin Pages will be his assistants. Sandro Schärer is the fourth referee. Jérôme Brisard will be the VAR, while Roberto Rosetti will be the referee observer.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid Prediction
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