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Bayern Munich vs Leipzig Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
by Joseph King in Bundesliga Predictions
Matchday 23 in the German Bundesliga sees second-place Bayern Munich hosting fifth-place RB Leipzig. The Bavarians are now considerable underdogs to win the Bundesliga title after a stretch of losses including a devastating 3-0 defeat to leaders Leverkusen two weeks ago. The defending champions now find themselves having to make up an eight point deficit with 12 matches remaining. Failure to do so would represent the first time since 2011/12 that Bayern has failed to win the league. RB Leipzig, meanwhile, will be looking to leapfrog Dortmund for a spot in the top four with a positive result on Saturday. They currently trail BVB by just a single point in the race for the Champions League spots.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bayern Munich v Leipzig Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.8 | 4.5 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.62 | 4.5 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.8 | 4 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.3 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.79 | 4.54 | 3.98 |
|
|
1.79 | 4.54 | 3.98 |
|
|
1.64 | 4.38 | 4.66 |
|
|
1.64 | 4.38 | 4.66 |
|
|
1.77 | 4.6 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.68 | 4.38 | 4.38 |
|
|
1.71 | 4.6 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.78 | 4.2 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.2 | 4.25 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.4 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.8 | 4.35 | 4 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.2 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.8 | 4.5 | 4.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bayern Munich and Leipzig?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/02/2024 between Bayern Munich and Leipzig in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.57% for a win of Bayern Munich against Leipzig with odds of 1.8 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayern Munich vs Leipzig is 23.27% with odds of 4.6 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.16% chance ⭐ for a win of Leipzig vs Bayern Munich with odds of 4.66 at Betwinner.
Bayern Munich - Leipzig Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bayern Munich Leipzig Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins | 45.57% | 1.8 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.1% | 1.42 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 49.58% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bayern Munich | 20.5% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Bayern Munich vs Leipzig Form
Bayern Munich and Leipzig's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
72 | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 49 |
|
4
|
65 | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 38 |
Bayern Munich and Leipzig Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2024 - Champions League
10 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
3 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
21 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
12 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga
29 Nov 2023 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2024 - Champions League
10 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
6 Jan 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
13 Feb 2024 - Champions League
10 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
4 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
20 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
13 Feb 2024 - Champions League
4 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
20 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
13 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
16 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
6 Jan 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga
9 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga
28 Nov 2023 - Champions League
Bayern Munich vs Leipzig Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Sep 2023 - Bundesliga
12 Aug 2023 - Super Cup
20 May 2023 - Bundesliga
20 Jan 2023 - Bundesliga
30 Jul 2022 - Super Cup
5 Feb 2022 - Bundesliga
Bayern Munich - Leipzig: Form Analysis
It’s been a disastrous run of form for Bayern Munich over the last few weeks which has plummeted the club into full-blown crisis mode. The result has been manager Thomas Tuchel announcing that he will not be returning at the end of the season. It started with a 3-0 away defeat to Leverkusen, a massive hit in the title race. They followed that up with a flat performance in the Champions League round of 16 as they lost 1-0 away from home to Lazio. Last weekend would then see the Bavarians suffer a shock 3-2 away defeat to Bochum for a result that likely decided the Bundesliga title race. Bayern are now on their worst run in years as you would have to go all the way back to 2015 for the last time they lost three consecutive games.
RB Leipzig suffered a similarly difficult run of form recently which saw them drop out of the top four in the standings. The team lost three straight in the Bundesliga in the month of January with defeats to Frankfurt, Leverkusen and Stuttgart. They’ve since been able to right the ship with seven points from their last three league fixtures, the most recent of which finished in a 2-0 home win over Monchengladbach last weekend. The result also saw Die Roten Bullen bounce back after a 1-0 home loss to Real Madrid in the Champions League round of 16. Leipzig have been much stronger at home this season where they average 2.17 points per contest, compared to an average of just 1.40 average points per away match.
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Bayern Munich against Leipzig Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
T. Buchmann
S. Boey
ForwardK. Coman
S. Gnabry
Bayern Munich & Leipzig Squad Analysis
Bayern are dealing with something of an injury crisis as they have no less than 10 players unavailable for this league matchup. Center back Dayot Upamecano was sent off in the team's latest fixutre meaning he will join on the sidelines fellow defenders Alphonso Davies, Noussair Mazraoui, Tarek Buchmann, Bouna Sarr and new signing Sacha Boey, all who are injured. Manager Thomas Tuchel will also be unable to call upon wingers Serge Gnabry and Kingsley Coman while midfielder Konrad Laimer is listed as doubtful with a calf injury.
RB Leipzig don't have near the injury problems that their opponents have as they are close to full strength ahead of this game. The only absence that manager Marco Rose will have to deal with is that of Lukas Klostermann, who is ruled out of the trip to Bavaria with a muscle injury. Xavi Simons is the one to watch in this Leipzig squad and is leading the team in average rating. Striker Lois Openda is the main goal threat with his tally of 16 strikes leading the team.
Most goals and assists
Bayern Munich
Leipzig
H. Kane
(44 Goals)
L. Openda
(28 Goals)
L. Sane
(13 Assists)
D. Raum
(12 Assists)
, 
X. Simons
(12 Assists)
Bayern Munich - Leipzig Key Points
- Three of Bayern's last four Bundesliga fixtures have resulted in both teams scoring (BTTS) and over 2.5 goals.
- The hosts see an average of 4.00 total goals per home league match while Leipzig away matches see an average of 3.60 total goals.
- Leipzig have found the net in nine of their 10 away league fixtures while conceding in eight of those 10 trips.
- The reverse fixture between these two teams finished in a high-scoring 2-2 draw.
- Leipzig have seen BTTS + over 2.5 goals in six of their 10 away Bundesliga matches.
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Our Bayern Munich vs Leipzig Prediction
Bayern Munich vs Leipzig - Other Interesting Predictions
Bayern Munich to win
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Bayern Munich vs Leipzig match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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