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Europe - Champions League

Bayern Munich
05/03/2024 15:00
Lazio

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 Goals

 
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Bayern Munich vs Lazio Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League

 by Sridhar | in Champions League Predictions

With the potential of a trophyless season looming, Bayern now face Lazio as they attempt to override the one-goal deficit to ensure progression from the UEFA Champions League round of 16. This second-leg match will be played at the Allianz Arena on Tuesday, after Lazio won the first leg 1-0. It was a 69th-minute penalty from Ciro Immobile that decided the first leg. That penalty was caused by a Dayot Upamecano foul, which led to his red card. While the odds are still heavily stacked in favor of Bayern, it won't be a cakewalk, as the Bavarians need to do better than what their recent form suggests. Can Bayern Munich avoid an upset, or will Lazio ensure there's something to cheer for the traveling Italians?
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The Best Betting Odds for Bayern Munich v Lazio Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.25 6.5 10
Betfred
1.29 6 9.5
Ladbrokes
1.28 5.5 11
NetBet
1.27 6 10
1xbet
1.3 6.27 11.7
22bet
1.3 6.27 11.7
Betwinner
1.26 6.15 9.8
LSbet
1.26 6.15 9.8
Stake
1.3 6.4 9.8
Melbet
1.26 6.3 9.8
Tonybet
1.31 6 9.4
William Hill
1.27 5.5 11
Vbet
1.29 6.5 11
Betway
1.29 6 9
Unibet
1.24 6.1 10.5
Betfair
1.25 6 11
Betsson
1.28 6.3 10.5
Check all Bayern Munich vs Lazio odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bayern Munich and Lazio?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/03/2024 between Bayern Munich and Lazio in Champions League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 65.17% for a win of Bayern Munich against Lazio with odds of 1.31 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayern Munich vs Lazio is 4.77% with odds of 6.5 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 30.06% chance ⭐ for a win of Lazio vs Bayern Munich with odds of 11.7 at 1xbet.

Bayern Munich - Lazio Prediction and Best Odds:

Bayern Munich Lazio Prediction Probability Odds
Bayern Munich wins 65.17% 1.31 at Tonybet
Over 2.5 goals 67.15% 1.64 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 52.08%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bayern Munich 28.19% 4.4 at Unibet

Bayern Munich vs Lazio Form

Bayern Munich and Lazio Last Matches

Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich Last matches
W L L L W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

1 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  2
Bayern Munich

24 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  1
Leipzig

18 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga

Bochum
3 :  2
Bayern Munich

14 Feb 2024 - Champions League

Lazio
1 :  0
Bayern Munich

10 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
3 :  0
Bayern Munich

3 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  1
Mönchengladbach
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

24 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  1
Leipzig

3 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  1
Mönchengladbach

24 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
1 :  0
Union Berlin

21 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
0 :  1
Werder Bremen

12 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  0
Hoffenheim

17 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  0
Stuttgart
D W L L L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

1 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  2
Bayern Munich

18 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga

Bochum
3 :  2
Bayern Munich

14 Feb 2024 - Champions League

Lazio
1 :  0
Bayern Munich

10 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
3 :  0
Bayern Munich

27 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
2 :  3
Bayern Munich

6 Jan 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Basel 1893
1 :  1
Bayern Munich
Lazio
Lazio Last matches
W W L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Mar 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  1
AC Milan

26 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  1
Lazio

22 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Torino FC
0 :  2
Lazio

18 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  2
Bologna

14 Feb 2024 - Champions League

Lazio
1 :  0
Bayern Munich

10 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  3
Lazio
W W D W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

1 Mar 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  1
AC Milan

18 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  2
Bologna

14 Feb 2024 - Champions League

Lazio
1 :  0
Bayern Munich

28 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  0
Napoli

14 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  0
Lecce

10 Jan 2024 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
1 :  0
Roma
W L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

26 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  1
Lazio

22 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Torino FC
0 :  2
Lazio

10 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  3
Lazio

4 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
3 :  1
Lazio

19 Jan 2024 - Super Cup

Inter Milan
3 :  0
Lazio

7 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  2
Lazio

Bayern Munich vs Lazio Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Bayern Munich

67 %

Draw

0 %

Lazio

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
67%
BTTS
2
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

14 Feb 2024 - Champions League

Lazio
1 :  0
Bayern Munich

17 Mar 2021 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
2 :  1
Lazio

23 Feb 2021 - Champions League

Lazio
1 :  4
Bayern Munich
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Bayern Munich - Lazio: Form Analysis

Bayern Munich were frustrated in a 2-2 draw with Freiburg over their last match in the Bundesliga. It was a game where they led before a late goal scuppered their hopes. That leaves them ten points behind in the league title race, which is now looking like a lost cause. Any hopes of overriding the first leg deficit depend on improving their recent form, which is said by their usual standards. The Bavarians have lost three and drawn one of their last five matches, winning only once. There's hope on the horizon, though, as Bayern have won 11 of their last 13 matches at this venue, losing only once. Even in the Champions League, the Allianz Arena has been a solid venue for the hosts. Bayern are unbeaten in their last 13 Champions League matches played at home, winning ten and drawing three.

Lazio had a narrow 1-0 loss to AC Milan in their Serie A match last time out, making it three losses and just one win since winning the first leg. They have lost steam in the race for European qualification spots in Serie A, which puts more pressure on ensuring progression here. They have been impressive in this competition this year, winning three of their last four matches. All three have come with a clean sheet, so even if they repeat that feat, it would be enough to confirm progression. The challenge is to overcome their away form, which has often pulled them down this season. Lazio have lost their last two away Champions League matches, each with a two-goal margin, and a repeat of that would ensure their elimination. In all competitions, they have won just four of their last 12 away matches, losing seven.

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Bayern Munich against Lazio Lineups: Starting 11

Bayern Munich

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
M. Neuer
6
J. Kimmich
4
M. De Ligt
15
E. Dier
22
R. Guerreiro
45
A. Pavlovic
8
L. Goretzka
10
L. Sane
25
T. Muller
42
J. Musiala
9
H. Kane
20
M. Zaccagni
17
C. Immobile
7
Felipe Anderson
10
L. Alberto
5
M. Vecino
8
M. Guendouzi
3
L. Pellegrini
13
A. Romagnoli
34
M. Gila
77
A. Marusic
94
I. Provedel

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Lazio

Missing players

Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
Defender

T. Buchmann

S. Boey

Forward

K. Coman

Lazio
Lazio

Bayern Munich & Lazio Squad Analysis

Dayot Upamecano is suspended for Bayern Munich after his red card in the first leg. Defender Matthijs de Ligt returns, though, after serving a domestic ban. Others sidelined due to injuries are Noussari Mazraoui, Kingsley Coman, Bouna Sarr, and Sacha Boey. There will be anxious faces in the home dugout as they assess the fitness of Serge Gnabry and Leroy Sane closer to the match. Lazio has fewer concerns than Bayern, as far as injuries go. Nicolo Rovella and Patric are set to miss the action, as the duo is out due to injuries. Mattia Zaccagni returns to the line-up after missing the first leg.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Bayern Munich
CD Huachipato Lazio
Top Goalscorer
England H. Kane (44 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy C. Immobile (11 Goals)
Best assists
Germany L. Sane (13 Assists)
Best assists
Spain L. Alberto (8 Assists)

Bayern Munich - Lazio Key Points

  1. In six of their last seven matches in all competitions, Bayern have seen over 2.5 goals scored
  2. Bayern are unbeaten across their last 13 home Champions League matches, winning ten
  3. Nine of Bayern’s last 15 Champions League matches at home have seen at least three goals scored
  4. Lazio have won only one of their last ten away Champions League matches, losing six and drawing three
  5. Lazio have seen at least three match goals in three of their last four away Champions League matches
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Our Bayern Munich vs Lazio Prediction

There isn't an iota of doubt that both Bayern and Lazio are struggling at the moment. There isn't much in their recent form that tells us which way this match could go. Bayern are frustrated by Bundesliga opponents, while Lazio have had their own struggles in Serie A. Interestingly, Bayern has a great pedigree at home against Italian sides. That could continue here as they chase a win with something to spare. Our prediction for Bayern Munich vs Lazio is for over 2.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 Goals

 
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Bayern Munich vs Lazio - Other Interesting Predictions

Jamal Musiala anytime goal scorer

Odds 3.2
While all eyes will be on Harry Kane to lift Bayern, it could be the youngster, Jamal Musiala, who can do the star turn. He scored in Bayern's latest draw against Freiburg over the weekend and has two goals over his last three matches. Back him to find the net and improve Bayern's chances of progression.
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Bayern Munich vs Lazio match : Frequently asked questions

Bayern Munich vs Lazio UEFA Champions League match is scheduled for an 8 pm GMT kick-off on Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
This is Bayern Munich's home game and so Bayern Munich vs Lazio UEFA Champions League match is set to be played at the Allianz Arena in Munich.

Bayern Munich vs Lazio UEFA Champions League match will be broadcast live on TNT Sports 1 in the UK. It can also be streamed live online via the Discovery+ app and website.

You can also keep up to the minute with all the action on our  Champions League livescore  page.

Slavko Vincic of Slovenia is the match referee for Bayern Munich vs Lazio. He will be assisted by his countrymen Tomaž Klancnik and Andraž Kovacic. The fourth official is Matej Jug, while Nejc Kajtazovic is the VAR. Frederic Veraghaenne of Belarus will be the UEFA delegate.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Bayern Munich vs Lazio Prediction
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