Europe - Champions League
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by Steve Ashfield in Champions League Predictions
This week sees the Champions League quarter-finals get underway. Tuesday sees Bayern Munich host Inter in the first leg of their last eight tie. Can the Bavarians get a lead to take to Italy? Here's our match prediction.
Bayern are unbeaten at home in this season's Champions League and as you will read in the form section of this preview, that is not surprising. With Harry Kane continuing to be in good scoring form, they will be hopeful of another home victory.
Just like their opponents, Inter are top of their domestic league. They finished fourth in the league phase of this competition with just one goal conceded. Recent weeks have seen them drawing more than they have been winning. Coming away from this game with the score level is unlikely to be something that will upset them. The winners of this tie will face either Borussia Dortmund or Barcelona in the last four.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bayern Munich v Inter Milan Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.95 | 3.6 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.3 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.25 | 2.45 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.65 | 3.95 |
|
|
2.04 | 3.68 | 3.73 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bayern Munich and Inter Milan?
Our prediction for the Bayern Munich vs Inter Milan match is: Bayern Munich to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/04/2025 between Bayern Munich and Inter Milan in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.06% for a win of Bayern Munich against Inter Milan with odds of 2.25 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayern Munich vs Inter Milan is 27.28% with odds of 3.7 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.66% chance ⭐ for a win of Inter Milan vs Bayern Munich with odds of 4.1 at Vbet.
Bayern Munich - Inter Milan Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bayern Munich Inter Milan Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins | 48.06% | 2.25 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 51.11% | 2.05 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 47.92% | 1.82 at Vbet |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bayern Munich | 19.39% | 5.1 at Betsson |
Bayern Munich vs Inter Milan Form
Bayern Munich and Inter Milan Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
23 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Feb 2025 - Champions League
7 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
28 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Feb 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - Serie A
2 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
30 Mar 2025 - Serie A
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
8 Mar 2025 - Serie A
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - Serie A
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
8 Mar 2025 - Serie A
25 Feb 2025 - Coppa Italia
22 Feb 2025 - Serie A
10 Feb 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - Serie A
2 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - Serie A
16 Feb 2025 - Serie A
Bayern Munich vs Inter Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Nov 2022 - Champions League
7 Sep 2022 - Champions League
Bayern Munich - Inter Milan: Form Analysis
Bayern Munich are six points clear at the top of the German Bundesliga. The weekend saw them win 3-1 at Augsburg after conceding an early goal. That extended their unbeaten run to four matches with nine goals scored.
Bayern have not lost a home Champions League game in four years.
In the Champions League this season, the Reds have won eight matches with three defeats. All their losses have come in away fixtures. At home, Bayern have won five of their six games. Their last home loss in the Champions League was to PSG in 2021.
Inter finished fourth in the league phase, eight places and four points ahead of Bayern. The Black and Blues won six of their eight games, only losing away at Bayer Leverkusen. The last 16 saw them beat Feyenoord 4-1 on aggregate.
They are top of Serie A but have drawn their last two matches. That includes giving away a 2-0 lead at Parma in their most recent match.
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Bayern Munich against Inter Milan Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Missing players
M. Neuer
DefenderT. Buchmann
H. Ito
D. Upamecano
MidfielderA. Pavlovic
A. Davies
D. Dumfries
MidfielderP. Zielinski
ForwardM. Taremi
Bayern Munich & Inter Milan Squad Analysis
Bayern haven't lost a home Champions League game since 2021 but Inter last lost one in 2022. It was Bayern who inflicted that defeat and they need to ensure that a lead is achieved to take into the second leg in Italy.
Kane is expected to be fit to play.
Harry Kane continues to be their most influential player. He has ten goals in this season's Champions League. There were some fears of him being injured against Augsburg but Bayern insist he will be fit to play. It's perhaps a good job that the game was played on Friday.
Inter must find a way of stopping him but he's not the only danger the Italians face. Leroy Sane is also in good form and scored with three goals in as many games, including two against St Pauli last week.
Bayern will be without Jamal Musiala for the rest of the season. The absence of their top playmaker is not going to help the Bundesiga side and Thomas Muller may have to play in this match.
Inter only conceded a single goal in the league phase and that included keeping clean sheets against Manchester City and Arsenal. Defender Alessandro Bastoni was recently injured against Parma but is expected to play. However, Inter will be without the suspended Kristjan Asllani in midfield.
Marcus Thuram and Lautaro Martinez are both fit and in double figures for goals scored this season, so will pose a big threat to Bayern.
Most goals and assists
Bayern Munich
Inter Milan
H. Kane
(36 Goals)
L. Martinez
(20 Goals)
M. Olise
(14 Assists)
N. Barella
(8 Assists)
,
F. Dimarco
(8 Assists)
Bayern Munich - Inter Milan Key Points
- Bayern Munich have only lost one of their last 12 home matches.
- Bayern Munich have scored 18 home goals in this season's Champions League with five wins out of six.
- Bayern Munich have not lost a home Champions League game since 2021.
- Inter have lost three of their last four games against Bayern Munich.
- Inter have gone two games without a win.
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Our Bayern Munich vs Inter Milan Prediction
With Harry Kane and Leroy Sane in good scoring form, Bayern Munich have a good chance of securing a win over Inter. The Bundesliga leaders have an impressive home record, especially in Europe and have won three of their last four matches against Inter.
The Serie A leaders finished fourth in the league phase with just one goal conceded. Six of their eight most recent away fixtures have seen them concede and a tough match awaits them here. Our main Bayern Munich v Inter prediction is Bayern Munich to win.
Bayern Munich vs Inter Milan - Other Interesting Predictions
Harry Kane to score
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bayern Munich Inter Milan
| Bayern Munich vs Inter Milan | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins | 1.73 | 1.95 | +12.7% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.6 | -4.0% |
| Inter Milan wins | 4.5 | 3.8 | -15.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bayern Munich is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 12.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 57.8% and is now 51.3% (-6.5%)
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Try your luck on this year's Champions League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Bayern Munich vs Inter Milan match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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