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Bayern Munich vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Matthew Newman in Champions League Predictions
Bayern Munich continue their quest for a 7th title as the champions of Europe with a visit from Benfica on Wednesday night. Any Champions League match is a huge occasion when Die Bayern are in action. Our prediction covers this contest with the famous As Aguias in town as 23rd takes on 13th in the league standings.
These teams have clashed 10 times in this competition in the past, dating back to the European Cup days. Their most recent meetings came in the 2021/22 season with Munich winning 5-2 at the Allianz Arena and then 4-1 at the Estadio da Luz. Benfica are yet to win any of those 10 games, three draws are the best that they have done.
Things have been very un-Bayern-like so far in Europe with just three points taken from a possible nine. Their visitors are 10 places above them in the league table after picking up two wins in their opening three games.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bayern Munich v Benfica Lisbon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.19 | 6.25 | 11 |
|
|
1.48 | 3.6 | 6.5 |
|
|
3.26 | 4.45 | 1.78 |
|
|
3.26 | 4.45 | 1.78 |
|
|
1.28 | 6.25 | 10 |
|
|
1.26 | 6.35 | 9.8 |
|
|
1.26 | 6.35 | 9.8 |
|
|
1.3 | 6.4 | 8.8 |
|
|
1.27 | 6.3 | 9.3 |
|
|
1.29 | 6.4 | 9 |
|
|
1.2 | 6.5 | 12 |
|
|
1.24 | 6.7 | 12 |
|
|
1.22 | 6.5 | 11 |
|
|
1.24 | 7.3 | 12 |
|
|
1.25 | 6.5 | 9 |
|
|
1.28 | 6.5 | 9.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bayern Munich and Benfica Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Bayern Munich vs Benfica Lisbon match is: Bayern Munich to win and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/11/2024 between Bayern Munich and Benfica Lisbon in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.79% for a win of Bayern Munich against Benfica Lisbon with odds of 3.26 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayern Munich vs Benfica Lisbon is 13.13% with odds of 7.3 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.08% chance ⭐ for a win of Benfica Lisbon vs Bayern Munich with odds of 12 at Betfair.
Bayern Munich - Benfica Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bayern Munich Benfica Lisbon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins | 59.79% | 3.26 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.02% | 1.35 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 41.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Bayern Munich/Bayern Munich | 28.12% | 1.79 at Unibet |
Bayern Munich vs Benfica Lisbon Form
Bayern Munich and Benfica Lisbon's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
12 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
|
15
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Bayern Munich and Benfica Lisbon Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Oct 2024 - DFB Pokal
27 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
19 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
6 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
19 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
28 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
1 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
20 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2024 - DFB Pokal
27 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
6 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
21 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
30 Oct 2024 - League Cup
27 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
19 Oct 2024 - Taca de Portugal
6 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2024 - League Cup
27 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
28 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
14 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
19 Oct 2024 - Taca de Portugal
6 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
23 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
30 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
Bayern Munich vs Benfica Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Nov 2021 - Champions League
20 Oct 2021 - Champions League
27 Nov 2018 - Champions League
19 Sep 2018 - Champions League
Bayern Munich - Benfica Lisbon: Form Analysis
Munich is running rampant through the Bundesliga so far this season, winning seven and drawing two of their nine games. They have scored 32 times in those games, conceding seven but it has been very different in this competition.
A 9-2 win over Dinamo Zagreb flattered them and a 0-1 loss at Aston Villa was a surprise. That was nothing compared to a 1-4 beating from Barcelona when the Catalans had just four shots on target!
They are yet to win any of their 10 meetings
Benfica began their campaign with a 2-1 success at Crvena Zvezda before an impressive 4-0 win over Atletico Madrid. They were unable to hold Feyenoord on matchday three as the Dutch team left Portugal with a 1-3 success.
So onto Germany and a game that would normally strike fear into the hearts of all visitors. As previously mentioned, Benfica have not done well here in the past, conceding five on their last visit but can they add to Munich's Champions League woes this time around?
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Bayern Munich against Benfica Lisbon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
A. Pavlesic
DefenderH. Ito
J. Stanisic
S. Boey
T. Buchmann
ForwardN. Irankunda
Bayern Munich & Benfica Lisbon Squad Analysis
Dayot Upamecano picked up a thigh issue at the end of October to cause further worry to Munich at the back. Hiroki Ito was injured back in July with Josip Stanisic joining the injured list in August. There is no return date for either.
A broken collarbone is keeping Aleksandar Pavlovic out of action but there is some good news for Bayern. Sacha Boey is nearing a return from a Meniscus tear. He will miss this game but is expected back in the next 10 days or so.
The main injury concerns are in the midfield
Benfica only has one long-term injury and that is Tiago Gouveia. He has been missing with a shoulder injury since the end of August. The team is not expecting him to make a return until their opening game of 2025.
Two players were added to the injury list in October. Gianluca Prestianni is missing with an ankle issue while Leandro Barreiro has a hamstring problem. There is no set date for either of them to return with all three injuries coming in Benfica's midfield.
Most goals and assists
Bayern Munich
Benfica Lisbon
H. Kane
(20 Goals)
K. Akturkoglu
(9 Goals)
H. Kane
(9 Assists)
K. Akturkoglu
(5 Assists)
, 
A. Di Maria
(5 Assists)
Bayern Munich - Benfica Lisbon Key Points
- Bayern Munich has conceded seven times in three Champions League games.
- Benfica has only been shut out once this season, in their opening game of the campaign back in August.
- Zagreb put two past Bayern Munich in the only match at Allianz Arena so far in the Champions League.
- Benfica has never beaten Bayern Munich.
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Our Bayern Munich vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction
Bayern Munich needs to get their Champions League campaign back on track and fast. This could be a good opportunity for them to do so. Benfica will not just roll over but Munich really ought to have too much for the Portuguese team, especially at home.
Benfica has scored seven times in three Champions League games so far and given that Munich has conceded in each of their three, that looks to be the way to go again. Our Bayern Munich vs Benfica prediction is a Munich win and both teams to score.
Bayern Munich vs Benfica Lisbon - Other Interesting Predictions
Kerem Akturkoglu to score at any time.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bayern Munich Benfica Lisbon
| Bayern Munich vs Benfica Lisbon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins | 1.25 | 1.19 | -4.8% |
| Draw | 6.25 | 6.25 | 0% |
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 9.5 | 11 | +15.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bayern Munich is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 80.0% and is now 84.0% (4.0%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
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Bayern Munich vs Benfica Lisbon match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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