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Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Devesh Jaganath in Champions League Predictions
Bavaria’s finest, Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen, will face off at the iconic Allianz Arena in the first leg of their UEFA Champions League round of 16 clash on Wednesday night. The winner of the tie between Die Roten and Die Werkself will move on to face either Feyenoord or Inter Milan in the quarter-final. Check out our match prediction below!
This match marks a historic moment for German club football as it’s the first time that these sides will meet in a major European competition. Bayern Munich won their last Champions League match against German opposition, beating Borussia Dortmund in the final of 2012-13. Leverkusen’s last such meeting was in defeat to Hamburger in the 2007-08 UEFA Cup,
The hosts are the clear favourites according to the latest bookmaker odds, but the visitors are unbeaten in their last six matches against this opponent under Xabi Alonso’s guidance. To the key stats!
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The Best Betting Odds for Bayern Munich v Bayer Leverkusen Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.75 | 3.8 | 4.5 |
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1.8 | 4 | 4.33 |
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2.05 | 2.62 | 3.9 |
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1.81 | 4.05 | 4.51 |
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1.81 | 4.05 | 4.51 |
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1.75 | 3.8 | 4.4 |
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1.76 | 3.92 | 4.36 |
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1.76 | 3.92 | 4.36 |
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1.8 | 3.9 | 4.4 |
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1.75 | 3.96 | 4.36 |
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1.78 | 3.95 | 4.5 |
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1.85 | 4.05 | 4.05 |
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1.75 | 3.8 | 4.4 |
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1.78 | 3.97 | 4.5 |
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1.8 | 3.75 | 4.2 |
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1.78 | 3.85 | 4.3 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen?
Our prediction for the Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen match is: Bayer Leverkusen +1.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/03/2025 between Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.18% for a win of Bayern Munich against Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 2.05 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen is 29.26% with odds of 4.05 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.56% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich with odds of 4.51 at 1xbet.
Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen Form
Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen Last Matches

4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Feb 2025 - Champions League
15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Feb 2025 - Champions League
7 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Feb 2025 - Champions League
7 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Feb 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
11 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga

4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Feb 2025 - DFB Pokal
2 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Feb 2025 - DFB Pokal
2 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
10 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Dec 2024 - DFB Pokal
28 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
10 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
15 Sep 2023 - Bundesliga
19 Mar 2023 - Bundesliga
Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen: Form Analysis
While Bayern Munich is the team to beat in the Bundesliga, they have been a bit off their best in this competition, managing 15 points in their eight League Phase matches (W5 D0 L3).
Having lost to Aston Villa, Barcelona and Feyenoord, the Bavarians missed out on automatic qualification to the last 16 and only just squeaked by Celtic 3-2 on aggregate in the playoff rounds.
However, after beating Stuttgart in the league over the weekend, Die Roten are now unbeaten in their last nine matches across all competitions, seven of which ended in victory.
These sides played out a 0-0 draw in the Bundesliga less than three weeks ago!
The new Champions League format showed how fine margins can have big impacts, as Bayer Leverkusen finished just one point above their upcoming opponent, but that point translated into five places in the standings.
Die Werkself’s defeats in the competition were away games against Liverpool (4-0) and Atletico Madrid (1-0), while they also dropped points on the road in a 1-1 draw with Brest.
Still, the visitors are unbeaten in their last eight matches across all competitions. They have also avoided defeat at the Allianz Arena in their last three visits.
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Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players

D. Peretz
DefenderJ. Kimmich

J. Belocian
ForwardM. Terrier
Bayern Munich & Bayer Leverkusen Squad Analysis
Harry Kane will be looking for greater success this week compared to a fortnight ago against this opponent. The England captain has seven goals in this competition, and no player has had more goal involvements than him since the start of last season (20 - five assists and 15 goals).
The Bavarians will be hopeful that Joshua Kimmich will be fully fit, having missed the weekend’s match against Stuttgart with a hamstring issue. Alphonso Davies is expected to be available despite suffering a knock in his last outing.
Patrik Schick has scored 15 goals in his last 10 league starts for Bayer Leverkusen!
Indeed, the Czech Republic international has been on a tear in the German top-flight this season, second in the race for the Kicker-Torjagerkanone, five goals behind Kane.
In this competition, Florian Wirtz is the one putting up a strong challenge to the Three Lions’ skipper with six goals and an assist, just two goal involvements short of Michael Ballack's club record in a single European season (9).
Most goals and assists







Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen Stats in Champions League


Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen Key Points
- Bayern Munich have only won one of their last four Champions League matches by two clear goals.
- Bayern Munich have not scored more than one goal in any of their last four matches against Leverkusen.
- Bayer Leverkusen are unbeaten in their last six matches against this opponent.
- Bayer Leverkusen are unbeaten in their last eight matches across all competitions.
- Bayer Leverkusen only failed to score in one of their four Champions League away games.
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Our Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction
While Bayern Munich are understandably favoured in this match, Bayer Leverkusen have proven over the last two seasons that they are not to be overlooked - they are the only team to leave the Allianz with a point in the Bundesliga this season.
Additionally, under the guidance of Xabi Alonso, Die Werkelf are unbeaten in their last six matches against Die Roten and kept clean sheets in their last two encounters. Our Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction is Bayer Leverkusen +1.
Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen - Other Interesting Predictions
Draw or Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen have never lost to Bayern Munich since Xabi Alonso took charge as manager (W3 D3 L0).
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Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen match : Frequently asked questions
The Champions League match between Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen will be played on March 5 at 20:00 GMT.
The Champions League match between Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen will take place at the Allianz Arena in Munich.
The Champions League match between Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen will be broadcast live on TNT Sports 2 in the UK and on Sky Sports Germany.
Alternatively, you can keep up to the minute with all the action using our Champions League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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