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Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
by Kennedy Kechula in Bundesliga Predictions
The biggest football attraction in Europe this weekend will most definitely be in Munich, Germany. Two giants of German football meet in the Bundesliga as Bayern Munich plays host to Bayer Leverkusen. Who will prevail as the Bavarians welcome Die Werkself? Read on for our preview, stats and prediction of the match at the Allianz Arena.
Hosts Bayern Munich’s quest to reclaim the league title has started on a high. Across all competitions, they are unbeaten and will be looking to extend the same here. Vincent Kompany’s side faces the team that dethroned them, ending an 11-year stranglehold on the Bundesliga. Leverkusen will be seeking to go unbeaten in four matches against Bayern.
Last season, the corresponding fixture ended 2-2 but the draw is sandwiched by Bayer Leverkusen’s two wins. This match rarely ends in shared spoils so we may wait longer for a repeat of last season’s draw. Only two draws were registered in the teams’ last 16 meetings.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bayern Munich v Bayer Leverkusen Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.65 | 4.5 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.95 | 2.9 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.58 | 4.43 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.58 | 4.43 |
|
|
1.64 | 4.5 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.64 | 4.56 | 4.46 |
|
|
1.64 | 4.56 | 4.46 |
|
|
1.72 | 4.4 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.65 | 4.56 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.72 | 4.5 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.67 | 4.2 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.67 | 4.4 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.33 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.65 | 4.5 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.6 | 4.5 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.68 | 4.7 | 4.7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen?
Our prediction for the Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen match is: Over 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/09/2024 between Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.76% for a win of Bayern Munich against Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 1.95 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen is 15.19% with odds of 4.7 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.05% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich with odds of 4.8 at Betobet.
Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bayern Munich Bayer Leverkusen Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins | 54.76% | 1.95 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 76.78% | 1.85 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 55.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Bayern Munich/Bayern Munich | 28.99% | 2.6 at Ladbrokes |
Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen Form
Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
29 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 29 |
|
4
|
20 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
14 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
1 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
25 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
20 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
1 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
20 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
12 May 2024 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
14 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
25 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
14 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
28 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
23 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Aug 2024 - Super Cup
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2024 - Bundesliga
9 May 2024 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
14 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
28 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
23 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
15 Sep 2023 - Bundesliga
19 Mar 2023 - Bundesliga
30 Sep 2022 - Bundesliga
5 Mar 2022 - Bundesliga
17 Oct 2021 - Bundesliga
Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen: Form Analysis
Bayern Munich have the chance to not only widen the gap at the top but also avenge their loss to Bayer Leverkusen last season. In these teams’ most recent match, Leverkusen ran out 3-0 winners on their way to claiming their first Bundesliga title.
From a possible nine points in the last three meetings with Leverkusen, Bayern Munich managed just a point. That was in this corresponding fixture last season. That too, came in September, but found Bayern on a shaky run, unlike their current shape.
The hosts are on a good run and have put an early marker in the title race, leading Leverkusen by three points already. Bayern are coming from a 5-0 win at Werder Bremen and will be fired up for this game.
Bayer Leverkusen are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Bayern Munich.
Bayer Leverkusen’s exploits last term condemned Bayern Munich to a trophyless season, while winning a double themselves. This new season, they’ve already showed signs they may struggle to live up to those high standards.
The champions, who played the entire domestic season undefeated, have already tasted defeat. Leverkusen were beaten by Leipzig on Match Day 2 of the league after letting a two-goal lead slip.
Xabi Alonso will be more pleased at how his charges responded to it, more than why it happened. Leverkusen have gone on to win three straight matches after that defeat. The most recent of them was a 4-3 home win against Wolfsburg.
That marked the third straight time Leverkusen scored four goals in a match. However, the champions have just one clean sheet in four matches and twice in that period, they conceded three goals.
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Players list
M. Neuer
DefenderK. Laimer
D. Upamecano
K. Min-jae
A. Davies
J. Kimmich
MidfielderA. Pavlovic
J. Musiala
ForwardL. Sane
K. Coman
T. Muller
L. Hradecky
DefenderE. Tapsoba
J. Tah
P. Hincapie
J. Frimpong
J. Belocian
MidfielderG. Xhaka
R. Andrich
E. Palacios
ForwardA. Adli
N. Tella
Substitutes
S. Ulreich
DefenderE. Dier
MidfielderL. Goretzka
K. Laimer
J. Palhinha
ForwardK. Coman
T. Muller
L. Sane
M. Tel
M. Kovar
DefenderN. Mukiele
J. Belocian
A. Garcia
J. Hofmann
E. Palacios
P. Schick
N. Tella
A. Adli
Missing players
S. Boey
H. Ito
Bayern Munich & Bayer Leverkusen Squad Analysis
On the injury front, Bayern Munich will be the most affected. The Bavarians' the treatment room is currently housing Josip Stanisic, Hiroki Ito and Sacha Boey. There's, however, some good news regarding goalkeeper Manuel Neuer.
He is back in training and may be called on for this game. Still, his deputy, Sven Ulreich has done well so far. Meanwhile, Mathys Tel had a spot on the bench last time out and will be a strong contender for a starting spot.
The acquisition of Michael Olise has so far proven to be great and he is enjoying life in Munich. In the last game, he had two goals and as many assists. Along with Harry Kane, the two constitute a lethal forward line.
Manuel Neuer is said to have resumed training and could feature in this game.
At Leverkusen, the injury bug hasn’t hit, and they will come here with an almost full complement of players available. Victor Boniface has been a highlight for the team and will be key for this game.
The Nigerian recorded four goal contributions in the last two Bundesliga matches.
Most goals and assists
Bayern Munich
Bayer Leverkusen
H. Kane
(20 Goals)
V. Boniface
(7 Goals)
, 
F. Wirtz
(7 Goals)
H. Kane
(9 Assists)
F. Wirtz
(4 Assists)
, 
J. Frimpong
(4 Assists)
Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen Key Points
- Bayer Leverkusen’s last five matches produced 22 goals.
- Bayer Leverkusen scored four times in each of their last three matches.
- Three of the last six meetings between these teams had over 3.5 goals.
- Bayern Munich scored five or more goals in each of their last three matches.
- Four of Bayern Munich’s last five league matches produced over 3.5 goals.
- An average of 3.6 goals were scored in the last six meetings between these teams.
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Our Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction
Bayern Munich haven't had a great record during Oktoberfest but home fans will be looking beyond jinxed thoughts. The one thing to look out for in this game is the goals. This fixture doesn’t disappoint when it comes to entertainment.
The teams rarely hold back in attack, and as it was in previous seasons, we will be putting our money on high scores. An average of four goals were scored in the last six meetings and both sides are also on prolific runs. Our prediction for Bayern Munich v Bayer Leverkusen is for the match to end with over 3.5 goals.
Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
Two sides in good scoring runs face off here and while we expect high scores, we may not see a clean sheet. In the last 16 meetings between the two, only three clean sheets were reported.
Leverkusen come into this game with just two in 10 league matches while Bayern have four in 15 Bundesliga outings. Our second prediction is, therefore, for both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bayern Munich Bayer Leverkusen
| Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins | 2 | 1.65 | -17.5% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 4.5 | +18.4% |
| Bayer Leverkusen wins | 3.3 | 4.5 | +36.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bayern Munich is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 17.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 50.0% and is now 60.6% (10.6%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen match : Frequently asked questions
The Bayern Munich v Bayer Leverkusen match will be staged at the Allianz Arena in Munich.
The Bayern Munich v Bayer Leverkusen match will be played on Saturday 28 September starting 19:30 GMT.
There are reports that he is back in training so there’s a chance Manuel Neuer could feature in this match.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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