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28 September 2024 - 12:30 

- Day 5

Germany - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
VS
Bayer Leverkusen

Prediction :

Over 3.5

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Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga

 by Kennedy Kechula | in Bundesliga Predictions

The biggest football attraction in Europe this weekend will most definitely be in Munich, Germany. Two giants of German football meet in the Bundesliga as Bayern Munich plays host to Bayer Leverkusen. Who will prevail as the Bavarians welcome Die Werkself? Read on for our preview, stats and prediction of the match at the Allianz Arena.

Hosts Bayern Munich’s quest to reclaim the league title has started on a high. Across all competitions, they are unbeaten and will be looking to extend the same here. Vincent Kompany’s side faces the team that dethroned them, ending an 11-year stranglehold on the Bundesliga. Leverkusen will be seeking to go unbeaten in four matches against Bayern.

Last season, the corresponding fixture ended 2-2 but the draw is sandwiched by Bayer Leverkusen’s two wins. This match rarely ends in shared spoils so we may wait longer for a repeat of last season’s draw. Only two draws were registered in the teams’ last 16 meetings.

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The Best Betting Odds for Bayern Munich v Bayer Leverkusen Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.69 4.33 4.2
Ladbrokes
1.73 4.2 4
1xbet
1.7 4.69 4.69
22bet
1.7 4.69 4.69
Betobet
1.67 4.3 4.4
Betwinner
1.65 4.48 4.44
Stake
1.72 4.4 4.3
Melbet
1.65 4.56 4.4
Tonybet
1.74 4.4 4.2
Check all Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen?

Our prediction for the Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen match is: Over 3.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/09/2024 between Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen in Bundesliga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.09% for a win of Bayern Munich against Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 1.74 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen is 14.96% with odds of 4.69 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 29.96% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich with odds of 4.69 at 1xbet.

Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen Form

Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen's standings in the Bundesliga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
12 4 4 0 0 13
2
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
9 4 3 0 1 4

Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen Last Matches

Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich Last matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
5.67
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
4.83
Goals conceded
0.83
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5
17%

21 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
0 :  5
Bayern Munich

17 Sep 2024 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
9 :  2
GNK Dinamo Zagreb

14 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
1 :  6
Bayern Munich

1 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  0
Freiburg

25 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
2 :  3
Bayern Munich

20 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Bayern Munich
4 :  0
Grasshopper Club Zurich
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen Last matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
4.5
BTTS
67%
Goals scored
3
Goals conceded
1.5
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5
17%

22 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
4 :  3
Wolfsburg

19 Sep 2024 - Champions League

Feyenoord
0 :  4
Bayer Leverkusen

14 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga

Hoffenheim
1 :  4
Bayer Leverkusen

31 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  3
Leipzig

28 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal

Carl Zeiss Jena
0 :  1
Bayer Leverkusen

23 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
2 :  3
Bayer Leverkusen

Bayern Munich against Bayer Leverkusen : Head to Head (H2H)

Bayern Munich

33 %

Draw

33 %

Bayer Leverkusen

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
3.67
BTTS
67%
Goals scored (Team 1)
2.17
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.5
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5
17%

10 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
3 :  0
Bayern Munich

15 Sep 2023 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

19 Mar 2023 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  1
Bayern Munich

30 Sep 2022 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
4 :  0
Bayer Leverkusen

5 Mar 2022 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
1 :  1
Bayer Leverkusen

17 Oct 2021 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
1 :  5
Bayern Munich
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen: Form Analysis

Bayern Munich have the chance to not only widen the gap at the top but also avenge their loss to Bayer Leverkusen last season. In these teams’ most recent match, Leverkusen ran out 3-0 winners on their way to claiming their first Bundesliga title.

From a possible nine points in the last three meetings with Leverkusen, Bayern Munich managed just a point. That was in this corresponding fixture last season. That too, came in September, but found Bayern on a shaky run, unlike their current shape.

The hosts are on a good run and have put an early marker in the title race, leading Leverkusen by three points already. Bayern are coming from a 5-0 win at Werder Bremen and will be fired up for this game.

Bayer Leverkusen are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Bayern Munich.

Bayer Leverkusen’s exploits last term condemned Bayern Munich to a trophyless season, while winning a double themselves. This new season, they’ve already showed signs they may struggle to live up to those high standards.

The champions, who played the entire domestic season undefeated, have already tasted defeat. Leverkusen were beaten by Leipzig on Match Day 2 of the league after letting a two-goal lead slip.

Xabi Alonso will be more pleased at how his charges responded to it, more than why it happened. Leverkusen have gone on to win three straight matches after that defeat. The most recent of them was a 4-3 home win against Wolfsburg.

That marked the third straight time Leverkusen scored four goals in a match. However, the champions have just one clean sheet in four matches and twice in that period, they conceded three goals.

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Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen last Lineups

Bayern Munich

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

26
S. Ulreich
27
K. Laimer
2
D. Upamecano
3
K. Min-jae
19
A. Davies
6
J. Kimmich
45
A. Pavlovic
17
M. Olise
42
J. Musiala
11
K. Coman
9
H. Kane
14
P. Schick
10
F. Wirtz
21
A. Adli
20
A. Grimaldo
24
A. Garcia
34
G. Xhaka
23
N. Mukiele
44
J. Belocian
4
J. Tah
12
E. Tapsoba
1
L. Hradecky

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Bayer Leverkusen

Missing players

Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
Defender

H. Ito

J. Stanisic

S. Boey

Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen

Bayern Munich & Bayer Leverkusen Squad Analysis

On the injury front, Bayern Munich will be the most affected. The Bavarians may call on goalkeeper Manuel Neuer for this game. Reports indicate he is back in training alongside Mathys Tel, and they may return for the match.

Meanwhile, in the treatment room there are Josip Stanisic, Hiroki Ito and Sacha Boey. The acquisition of Michael Olise has so far proven to be great and he is enjoying playing with Harry Kane.

Manuel Neuer is said to have resumed training and could feature in this game.

At Leverkusen, the injury bug hasn’t hit, and they will come here with an almost full complement of players available. Victor Boniface has been a highlight for the team and will be key for this game.

The Nigerian has recorded four goal contributions in the last two Bundesliga matches.

Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen Stats in Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
100%
Victories
75%
0%
Draw
0%
0%
Defeats
25%
4.75
Total goals per match
5.5
4
Goals scored per match
3.25
0.75
Goals conceded per match
2.25
75%
Over 2.5
100%
25%
Under 2.5
0%
50%
BTTS
100%
50%
No goals conceded
0%

Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen Key Points

  1. Bayer Leverkusen’s last five matches produced 22 goals.
  2. Bayer Leverkusen scored four times in each of their last three matches.
  3. Three of the last six meetings between these teams had over 3.5 goals.
  4. Bayern Munich scored five or more goals in each of their last three matches.
  5. Four of Bayern Munich’s last five league matches produced over 3.5 goals.
  6. An average of 3.6 goals were scored in the last six meetings between these teams.
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Our Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction

Bayern Munich haven't had a great record during Oktoberfest but home fans will be looking beyond jinxed thoughts. The one thing to look out for in this game is the goals. This fixture doesn’t disappoint when it comes to entertainment.

The teams rarely hold back in attack, and as it was in previous seasons, we will be putting our money on high scores. An average of four goals were scored in the last six meetings and both sides are also on prolific runs. Our prediction for Bayern Munich v Bayer Leverkusen is for the match to end with over 3.5 goals.

Prediction :

Over 3.5

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Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen - Other Interesting Predictions

Both teams to score

Two sides in good scoring runs face off here and while we expect high scores, we may not see a clean sheet. In the last 16 meetings between the two, only three clean sheets were reported.

Leverkusen come into this game with just two in 10 league matches while Bayern have four in 15 Bundesliga outings. Our second prediction is, therefore, for both teams to score.

2 Goals Ahead Early Payout

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Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen match : Frequently asked questions

The Bayern Munich v Bayer Leverkusen match will be staged at the Allianz Arena in Munich.

The Bayern Munich v Bayer Leverkusen match will be played on Saturday 28 September starting 19:30 GMT.

There are reports that he is back in training so there’s a chance Manuel Neuer could feature in this match.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction
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