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Europe - Champions League

Bayern Munich
17 Apr 2024 15:00
Arsenal

Prediction :

Bayern Munich To Qualify

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Bayern Munich vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League

 by Ian John | in Champions League Predictions

Two of the biggest names in European football, Bayern Munich and Arsenal clash in the second leg of their Champions League quarterfinal tie at the Allianz Arena. The tie is poised very evenly after the teams battled to a 2-2 draw in the first leg. This will be the first meeting between the two in Germany since February 2017, when Bayern posted the second of three consecutive 5-1 wins over Arsenal. The winner of this tie will go forward to face either Manchester City or Real Madrid in the semi final.

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The Best Betting Odds for Bayern Munich v Arsenal Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.07 9 201
Betfred
2.5 3.5 2.75
Ladbrokes
2.45 3.4 2.75
NetBet
2.57 3.35 2.6
1xbet
30 5.05 1.12
22bet
30 5.05 1.12
Betwinner
2.45 3.48 2.8
Stake
2.65 3.55 2.7
Melbet
2.53 3.42 2.74
Tonybet
2.55 3.55 2.75
Check all Bayern Munich vs Arsenal odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bayern Munich and Arsenal?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/04/2024 between Bayern Munich and Arsenal in Champions League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.11% for a win of Bayern Munich against Arsenal with odds of 30 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayern Munich vs Arsenal is 15.72% with odds of 9 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 39.17% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Bayern Munich with odds of 201 at Bet365.

Bayern Munich - Arsenal Prediction and Best Odds:

Bayern Munich Arsenal Prediction Probability Odds
Bayern Munich wins 45.11% 30 at 1xbet
Over 2.5 goals 62.89% 2.05 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 39.58%
Half-time: Arsenal / Full-time: Bayern Munich 16.27% 26 at Bet365

Bayern Munich vs Arsenal Form

Bayern Munich and Arsenal Last Matches

Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich Last matches
W W L L D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  0
Köln

9 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Arsenal
2 :  2
Bayern Munich

6 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
3 :  2
Bayern Munich

30 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
0 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

16 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga

Darmstadt
2 :  5
Bayern Munich

9 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
8 :  1
1 Fsv Mainz 05
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
3 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  0
Köln

30 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
0 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

9 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
8 :  1
1 Fsv Mainz 05

5 Mar 2024 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
3 :  0
Lazio

24 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  1
Leipzig

3 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  1
Mönchengladbach
L L D W L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

9 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Arsenal
2 :  2
Bayern Munich

6 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
3 :  2
Bayern Munich

16 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga

Darmstadt
2 :  5
Bayern Munich

1 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  2
Bayern Munich

18 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga

Bochum
3 :  2
Bayern Munich

14 Feb 2024 - Champions League

Lazio
1 :  0
Bayern Munich
Arsenal
Arsenal Last matches
W D W W D L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

14 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  2
Aston Villa

9 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Arsenal
2 :  2
Bayern Munich

6 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  3
Arsenal

3 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  0
Luton Town

31 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
0 :  0
Arsenal

12 Mar 2024 - Champions League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Porto
W W W W D L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  2
Aston Villa

9 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Arsenal
2 :  2
Bayern Munich

3 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  0
Luton Town

12 Mar 2024 - Champions League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Porto

9 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Brentford

24 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  1
Newcastle
W W L W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
0% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

6 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  3
Arsenal

31 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
0 :  0
Arsenal

4 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Sheffield United
0 :  6
Arsenal

21 Feb 2024 - Champions League

Porto
1 :  0
Arsenal

17 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  5
Arsenal

11 Feb 2024 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  6
Arsenal

Bayern Munich vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Bayern Munich

40 %

Draw

20 %

Arsenal

40 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

5.2
Total goals
100%
BTTS
3.2
Goals scored (Team 1)
2
Goals scored (Team 2)
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

9 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Arsenal
2 :  2
Bayern Munich

17 Jul 2019 - International Champions Cup

Arsenal
2 :  1
Bayern Munich

19 Jul 2017 - International Champions Cup

Bayern Munich
3 :  4
Arsenal

7 Mar 2017 - Champions League

Arsenal
1 :  5
Bayern Munich

15 Feb 2017 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
5 :  1
Arsenal
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Bayern Munich - Arsenal: Form Analysis

Bayern Munich come into this game on the back of a 2-0 win over Koln at the weekend. In the Champions League, they comfortably qualified as winners of Group A, finishing with 16 points out of 18, winning five and drawing one of their group games. They lost the first leg of the Round of 16, a 1-0 defeat to Lazio, but bounced back in the home leg winning 3-0 to progress 3-1 on aggregate. Harry Kane has been the man in form in front of goal for FC Hollywood, adding seven goals in nine Champions League games to his 32 in the Bundesliga this season. 

Arsenal come into this game having lost just their third game of 2024 at the weekend. The shock 2-0 home defeat to Aston Villa dented their Premier League title hopes and likely reduced their confidence for this crucial second leg. Their form away from home in Europe also has not been great. The Gunners picked up just one win in three road games in the group stage, but won enough points at home to finish top of Group B. In the Round of 16, a 1-0 away loss at Porto was followed by a 1-0 win at the Etihad and a dramatic victory on penalties. Arsenal have beaten Bayern just once in their last seven attempts and their last two visits to the Allianz Arena have resulted in 5-1 defeats.

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Bayern Munich against Arsenal Lineups: Starting 11

Bayern Munich

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
M. Neuer
6
J. Kimmich
15
E. Dier
4
M. De Ligt
40
N. Mazraoui
27
K. Laimer
8
L. Goretzka
10
L. Sane
42
J. Musiala
22
R. Guerreiro
9
H. Kane
11
G. Martinelli
29
K. Havertz
7
B. Saka
41
D. Rice
20
Jorginho
8
M. Odegaard
18
T. Tomiyasu
2
W. Saliba
6
G. Magalhaes
4
B. White
22
D. Raya

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Arsenal

Missing players

Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
Defender

T. Buchmann

S. Boey

Forward

K. Coman

S. Gnabry

Arsenal
Arsenal

Bayern Munich & Arsenal Squad Analysis

Bayern Munich come into this game with three players out through injury and one suspended. All are key personnel for the Germans. Veteran goalkeeper Manuel Neuer is out with an adductor issue, meaning Svein Ulreich will once again take over in goal. Widemen Serge Gnabry (hamstring) and Leroy Sane (muscular) both also have ailments that will keep them out of the fixture. Additionally, fleet of foot Canadian full back/wingback Alphonso Davies will be suspended for the second leg. The German side have a couple of players one yellow card away from missing a potential semi-final; Sacha Boey in defense and Leon Goretzka in midfield. England skipper Harry Kane has been the star man for FC Bayern this season, netting 39 goals in the Bundesliga and Champions League.

Arsenal boss Mikel Arteta will have an almost full-strength squad to pick from on Wednesday night. Only long-term injury absentee Jurrien Timber is ruled out for the game. The Dutch defender is making good progress from his cruciate ligament injury and could play before the season ends. Declan Rice and Kai Havertz are one booking away from a suspension. Bukayo Saka and Leandro Trossard have been two key men for the Gunners in Europe, both scoring four goals in eight games in the Champions League this season from wider positions, and both were on target in the first leg of this tie too.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Bayern Munich
CD Huachipato Arsenal
Top Goalscorer
England H. Kane (44 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England B. Saka (20 Goals)
Best assists
Germany L. Sane (13 Assists)
Best assists
England B. Saka (13 Assists)

Bayern Munich - Arsenal Key Points

  1. Bayern's win over Koln at the weekend was their 15th home win of the season in all competitions (19 games in total).
  2. After losing to Aston Villa at the weekend Arsenal have now gone two games without a win. They've won just two of their last five in all competitions.
  3. Bayern are unbeaten at home in the Champions League (3 wins, 1 draw) this season.
  4. Arsenal have one win in four games away from home in the Champions League this season
  5. Bayern have scored 58 and conceded just 15 goals at the Allianz Arena this campaign.
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Our Bayern Munich vs Arsenal Prediction

There's no doubt that Bayern Munich are the favorites in this tie. Home advantage, especially given their home form this season, is always key in these tight fixtures. Additionally, the visitors' confidence may have taken a hit after a shock home defeat at the weekend. With no away goals rule now in Europe, the tie remains delicately poised and it does look like extra time or even penalties could be needed to decide the winner. So our Bayern Munich v Arsenal prediction is for a flexible Bayern to Qualify bet.

Prediction :

Bayern Munich To Qualify

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Bayern Munich vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Predictions

Harry Kane (Bayern Munich) to Score at Any Time

Odds 2.18
Our second prediction is perhaps more predictable than our first. Harry Kane has been sensational for Bayern this season, scoring 32 goals in the Bundesliga and adding seven more in the Champions League from 9 games. He also has a fantastic scoring record against Arsenal scoring 15 goals in 17 games against the Gunners, eight of which have come from the penalty spot. So our next Bayern Munich v Arsenal prediction is for Harry Kane to score at any time.
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Bayern Munich vs Arsenal match : Frequently asked questions

Experienced Dutch referee Danny Makkelie will officiate the Bayern Munich v Arsenal Champions League Quarterfinal second leg tie on Wednesday (8pm Kick Off).

The Dutchman has refereed five times in this competition previously this season. Makkelie has handed out 20 yellow cards, but no red cards so far.

His team in Germany will consist of assistant referees Hessel Streegstra and Jan de Vries and fourth official Sander Van Der Eijk. Supporting them will be VAR official Rob Dieperink and his assistant Clay Ruperti. All are officials from the Netherlands.

Customers in the UK can watch the Bayern Munich v Arsenal Champions League quarterfinal 2nd Leg live on TNT Sport. The company will also be streaming the game to customers via it's streaming service online.

Alternatively, you can tune in to the SportyTrader Live Score pages for the Champions League to follow all the action from the Allianz Arena via live, real-time updates. 

The teams have met 13 times in the Champions League over the years. Bayern have won 7 of those games, Arsenal winning three with three draws.

Arsenal have won just once in Munich, a 2-0 win back in the 2013 season. Bayern have had the better of the fixture in more recent encounters. Prior to the 2-2 draw between the teams last week, the last three times the teams had played had resulted in successive 5-1 victories for the German side. Two at home, one away from home. 

In the 13 games between the two, Bayern have scored 29 goals to Arsenal's 15. 

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Bayern Munich vs Arsenal Prediction
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