Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar in Bundesliga Predictions
Bayer Leverkusen must win against Union Berlin to stay in the Bundesliga title race as the teams meet on Saturday in a matchday 29 meeting. This match at BayArena between the second-placed Die Schwarzroten and the 13th-placed Die Eisernen comes with our prediction of both teams scoring goals.
Leverkusen’s 62 points put them six points behind leaders Bayern with six rounds left to play. Union are 11 points above the relegation zone with 33 points.
Leverkusen edged Heidenheim 1-0 away from home last weekend to make it three wins in a row. They have no option but to keep winning and hope Bayern slip somewhere.
A 3-1 win over Bochum in their last home league game was a return to form of sorts, as they lost and drew one game each before that. Regardless, seven wins from their last nine home league matches make Leverkusen a formidable unit.
Union extended their impressive recent run with a 1-0 home win against Wolfsburg last weekend, making it three wins and a draw over the last four matches.
This has seen them move farther from relegation. Union’s away form has also improved with three wins from the last four away league games, although they lost 6-0 at Dortmund in that sequence.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bayer Leverkusen v Union Berlin Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.33 | 5.25 | 8 |
|
|
1.33 | 5 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.1 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.35 | 5 | 8.25 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.57 | 9.75 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bayer Leverkusen and Union Berlin?
Our prediction for the Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/04/2025 between Bayer Leverkusen and Union Berlin in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.91% for a win of Bayer Leverkusen against Union Berlin with odds of 1.57 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin is 12.57% with odds of 5.57 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.52% chance ⭐ for a win of Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 9.75 at 1xbet.
Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bayer Leverkusen Union Berlin Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen wins | 56.91% | 1.57 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.54% | 1.89 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 40% | 2 at Unibet |
| Half-time / Full-time : Bayer Leverkusen/Bayer Leverkusen | 23.38% | 2 at Bet365 |
Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin Form
Bayer Leverkusen and Union Berlin's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
63 | 29 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 29 |
|
13
|
34 | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | -14 |
Bayer Leverkusen and Union Berlin Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Apr 2025 - DFB Pokal
28 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Feb 2025 - DFB Pokal
2 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Apr 2025 - DFB Pokal
16 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
19 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
6 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
12 Nov 2023 - Bundesliga
29 Apr 2023 - Bundesliga
6 Nov 2022 - Bundesliga
8 Jan 2022 - Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen against Union Berlin Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Missing players
J. Belocian
M. Hermoso
ForwardM. Terrier
A. Kemlein
J. Woo-yeong
Most goals and assists
Bayer Leverkusen
Union Berlin
P. Schick
(22 Goals)
B. Hollerbach
(8 Goals)
F. Wirtz
(14 Assists)
T. Rothe
(2 Assists)
, 
R. Skov
(2 Assists)
,
B. Hollerbach
(2 Assists)
, 
J. Woo-yeong
(2 Assists)
Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin Key Points
- Leverkusen failed to keep a clean sheet in four of their last five Bundesliga matches.
- In ten of their 14 home league matches this season, Leverkusen saw goals at both ends.
- That was also the case in the reverse fixture, a 2-1 win for Leverkusen.
- Three of Union’s last four league matches saw goals from both teams.
- Union failed to keep a clean sheet in nine of their last ten away league matches.
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Our Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin Prediction
Bayer Leverkusen’s slim hopes of defending their Bundesliga title depend on Bayern Munich slipping along with their own wins. Union Berlin have improved in the recent weeks, moving away from the relegation zone with some impressive wins. Their away form has also improved, thanks to an uptick in their scoring record. The reverse fixture also saw both teams score, and Union can trouble the Leverkusen defence here. That’s why our Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin prediction is both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bayer Leverkusen Union Berlin
| Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen wins | 1.29 | 1.33 | +3.1% |
| Draw | 5 | 5.25 | +5.0% |
| Union Berlin wins | 11 | 8 | -27.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bayer Leverkusen is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 77.5% and is now 75.2% (-2.3%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Bayer Leverkusen vs. Union Berlin game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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