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Europe - Europa League

Bayer Leverkusen

09 May 2024 15:00

Roma

Prediction :

Bayer Leverkusen wins the match

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Bayer Leverkusen vs Roma Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League

Prediction published on 09/05/2024, 06:08 by Ian John in Europa League Predictions

Thursday night sees the second leg of the Europa League semi-final between Bayer Leverkusen and AS Roma. Xabi Alonso's Leverkusen lead 2-0 from the first leg in Rome and are the hot favorites to continue their incredible 48-game unbeaten run across the entire season. Midfielders Florian Wirtz and Robert Andrich scored the goals in the Stadio Olimpico. Daniele De Rossi's Roma side are very much the underdogs heading into this second leg at the BayArena, but the AS Roma legend will be hoping to coax a battling performance from his side. However, it is going to take a monumental effort from the visitors, combined with a collapse by the home team that has not happened all season, if Roma are to get back into this tie. The winner will head to the Dublin Arena in the Irish capital to face either Marseille or Benfica in the final later in May.

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The Best Betting Odds for Bayer Leverkusen v Roma Match

1	X	2
101	6.5	1.11
1.8	2.75	5
1.48	4.5	5.8
1.58	4.36	5.25
1.58	4.36	5.25
1.5	4.44	6.05
1.55	4.6	5.6
1.54	4.5	6.5
1.67	3.6	5
226	9.5	1.07
1.47	4.33	6.5
1.58	4.45	5.5

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What is the prediction for the football match between Bayer Leverkusen and Roma?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/05/2024 between Bayer Leverkusen and Roma in Europa League :

The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.18% for a win of Bayer Leverkusen against Roma with odds of 226 at Unibet.
The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayer Leverkusen vs Roma is 31.24% with odds of 9.5 at Unibet.
Our prediction model gives a 16.58% chance ⭐ for a win of Roma vs Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 6.5 at Vbet.

Bayer Leverkusen - Roma Prediction and Best Odds:

Bayer Leverkusen Roma Prediction	Probability	Odds
Bayer Leverkusen wins	52.18%	226 at Unibet
Over 2.5 goals	52.9%	2.1 at Betway
Both Team To Score	45.83%
Half-time / Full-time : Bayer Leverkusen/Bayer Leverkusen	23.16%	67 at Unibet

Bayer Leverkusen vs Roma Form

Bayer Leverkusen and Roma Last Matches

Bayer Leverkusen Last matches

All Home Away

W D D D W W

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals

67% BTTS

2.67 Goals scored

0.83 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

5 May 2024 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt

1 : 5

Bayer Leverkusen

2 May 2024 - Europa League

Roma

0 : 2

Bayer Leverkusen

27 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

2 : 2

Stuttgart

21 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

1 : 1

Bayer Leverkusen

18 Apr 2024 - Europa League

West Ham

1 : 1

Bayer Leverkusen

14 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

5 : 0

Werder Bremen

W W W W W D

Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals

50% BTTS

3 Goals scored

0.83 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

27 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

2 : 2

Stuttgart

14 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

5 : 0

Werder Bremen

11 Apr 2024 - Europa League

Bayer Leverkusen

2 : 0

West Ham

3 Apr 2024 - DFB Pokal

Bayer Leverkusen

4 : 0

Fortuna Dusseldorf

30 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

2 : 1

Hoffenheim

14 Mar 2024 - Europa League

Bayer Leverkusen

3 : 2

Qarabag FK

W W D D W W

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals

67% BTTS

2.17 Goals scored

0.83 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

5 May 2024 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt

1 : 5

Bayer Leverkusen

2 May 2024 - Europa League

Roma

0 : 2

Bayer Leverkusen

21 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

1 : 1

Bayer Leverkusen

18 Apr 2024 - Europa League

West Ham

1 : 1

Bayer Leverkusen

6 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin

0 : 1

Bayer Leverkusen

17 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg

2 : 3

Bayer Leverkusen

Roma Last matches

All Home Away

W W L D L D

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals

83% BTTS

1.33 Goals scored

1.67 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

5 May 2024 - Serie A

Roma

1 : 1

Juventus

2 May 2024 - Europa League

Roma

0 : 2

Bayer Leverkusen

28 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Napoli

2 : 2

Roma

22 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Roma

1 : 3

Bologna

18 Apr 2024 - Europa League

Roma

2 : 1

AC Milan

14 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Udinese

1 : 2

Roma

W W W L L D

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals

50% BTTS

1 Goals scored

1.17 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

5 May 2024 - Serie A

Roma

1 : 1

Juventus

2 May 2024 - Europa League

Roma

0 : 2

Bayer Leverkusen

22 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Roma

1 : 3

Bologna

18 Apr 2024 - Europa League

Roma

2 : 1

AC Milan

6 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Roma

1 : 0

Lazio

17 Mar 2024 - Serie A

Roma

1 : 0

Sassuolo

D L D W W D

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals

50% BTTS

1.17 Goals scored

1 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

28 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Napoli

2 : 2

Roma

14 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Udinese

1 : 2

Roma

11 Apr 2024 - Europa League

AC Milan

0 : 1

Roma

1 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Lecce

0 : 0

Roma

14 Mar 2024 - Europa League

Brighton

1 : 0

Roma

10 Mar 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina

2 : 2

Roma

Bayer Leverkusen vs Roma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Bayer Leverkusen

33 %

Draw

33 %

Roma

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals

BTTS

0.67

Goals scored (Team 1)

0.33

Goals scored (Team 2)

Over 2.5

100%

Under 2.5

2 May 2024 - Europa League

Roma

0 : 2

Bayer Leverkusen

18 May 2023 - Europa League

Bayer Leverkusen

0 : 0

Roma

11 May 2023 - Europa League

Roma

1 : 0

Bayer Leverkusen

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Bayer Leverkusen - Roma: Form Analysis

If Roma fans hoped that Bayer Leverkusen would take their foot off the accelerator pedal having already won the Bundesliga title, then those hopes were dashed at the weekend. After their 2-0 win in Rome last week, Leverkusen traveled to sixth-place Eintracht Frankfurt in the Bundesliga on Sunday and produced a scintillating performance. It resulted in a thumping 5-1 victory. In the Europa League, Leverkusen have played eleven games, winning nine, drawing two. They have scored 29 goals in those games, conceding just eight. Xabi Alonso's team are now 48 games unbeaten in all competitions this season. That leaves them just five more games (two in the Bundesliga, two in the Europa League and one in the German DFB Pokal Cup Final) from completing what would be a remarkable achievement of avoiding defeat in every single match that they participated in.

AS Roma lies sixth in Serie A, level on 60 points with Atalanta, but having played a game more than the Bergamo-based side. With Serie A likely to land a fifth Champions League spot next season, Roma will certainly have one eye on the battle in Serie A, especially given the situation in this tie following their first leg defeat. De Rossi's team have gone three games without a win. Drawing at Napoli, losing at home to Leverkusen and then drawing 1-1 with Juventus at the weekend. In the Europa League, Roma have won seven, drawn three and lost three of their 13 games played. They have scored 21 goals in those matches, conceding ten. Only one other team has lost a first-leg Europa League tie 2-0 at home and still progressed. That was Sevilla, who lost 2-0 at home to Real Betis in 2013/14, but then won 2-0 in the second leg and then beat their city rivals on penalties.

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Bayer Leverkusen against Roma Lineups: Starting 11

Bayer Leverkusen

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

M. Kovar

J. Frimpong

E. Tapsoba

J. Tah

P. Hincapie

G. Xhaka

E. Palacios

A. Adli

J. Hofmann

A. Grimaldo

A. Hlozek

S. El Shaarawy

R. Lukaku

S. Azmoun

B. Cristante

L. Paredes

L. Pellegrini

Angelino

E. N Dicka

G. Mancini

L. Spinazzola

M. Svilar

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Roma

Bayer Leverkusen & Roma Squad Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen came into this game with a clean bill of health and with no players in danger of missing the final through landing a second yellow card. The German Champions will be delighted to have Czech star Adam Hlozek back in action and in such great form after he produced a fabulous display of assists in the 5-1 thrashing of Eintracht Frankfurt at the weekend. Florian Wirtz, the young German midfielder and Spanish full back Alejandro Grimaldo have been two of Leverkusen's star performers in what has been a stellar season for the team.

There's not too many positives for AS Roma boss Daniele De Rossi heading into this game. However, one is that he should have a full-strength squad to pick from for the tie. Paulo Dybala sat out the weekend drawn against his former club Juventus through muscular fatigue, but he is expected to be fit for the game on Thursday night. Dybala has 16 goals this season, second only to Romelu Lukaku's 20, and if AS Roma are to cause a huge upset, then both these strikers are going to have to be in their best form against their unbeaten opponents.

Most goals and assists

Bayer Leverkusen

Roma

Top Goalscorer

V. Boniface (21 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

R. Lukaku (20 Goals)

Best assists

A. Grimaldo (18 Assists)

Best assists

P. Dybala (10 Assists)

Bayer Leverkusen - Roma Key Points

In 24 home games in all competitions this season, Leverkusen have won 21 and drawn three.
Roma have won just two of their six away fixtures in the Europa League this season. They have scored just five goals on the road in those games.
Bayer Leverkusen have scored 19 goals in their five home Europa League ties this season.
Roma have won just eight of their 24 away games in all competitions this season.
Leverkusen were 2-0 winners in the first leg of the tie in the Stadio Olimpico in Rome last Thursday.

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Our Bayer Leverkusen vs Roma Prediction

With a 2-0 lead from the first leg, the onus isn't on Bayer Leverkusen to go out and win this game comfortably. However, that was also the case at the weekend when they smashed five past Eintracht Frankfurt. AS Roma have no option but to try and keep it tight early on and then open up late in the game to try and get back into it. But against a team that scores so many crucial late goals, that is a risky strategy. Our prediction for Bayer Leverkusen v AS Roma is for the home team to win.

Prediction :

Bayer Leverkusen wins the match

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Bayer Leverkusen vs Roma - Other Interesting Predictions

Florian Wirtz (Bayer Leverkusen) to score at any time

Odds 3.5

For our second prediction for this game, we are going to go to the anytime goalscorer market. Leverkusen's brilliant midfielder Florian Wirtz is attracting lots of interest from European Football's top clubs and he is bang in form at present. He is also amongst the goals, having scored his first Bundesliga hat-trick recently, as well as netting in the first leg in Rome. So our second prediction is for Wirtz to score at any time in the game.

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Bayer Leverkusen vs Roma match : Frequently asked questions

An all Dutch team led by the experienced referee Danny Makkelie will take charge of the Europa League semi-final second leg tie between Bayer Leverkusen and AS Roma.

Hessel Steegstra and Jan de Vries will be the assistant referees, with Serdar Gozubuyuk the fourth official. Rob Dieperink will be on VAR duty, assisted by Pol van Boekel.

Bayer Leverkusen will host AS Roma in the Europa League semi-final second leg at the BayArena in Leverkusen on Thursday 9th May. Kick off is 8pm UK Time.

The home side lead 2-0 from the first leg.

TNT Sports will be showing both Europa League semi-final second leg ties live in the UK on their subscription channel.

If you don't have a subscription and would like a statistical update of the game in real-time, along with text commentary check out Sportytrader's Europa League Live pages for all you need to know about the match!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.