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Bayer Leverkusen vs Leipzig Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
by Daniel Ngulu in Bundesliga Predictions
Bayer Leverkusen’s title defence will meet the first real threat in the second week of Bundesliga action. The champions are set to host RB Leipzig on Saturday, with both teams on three points from opening wins. Ahead of this Saturday match at BayArena in Leverkusen, we have the prediction.
Xabi Alonso’s Leverkusen narrowly missed a European title to cap their impressive season in 2023/24. The domestic double winners have already bagged silverware this season after beating Stuttgart on post-match penalties in their Super Cup duel which ended 2-2 in normal time.
After three away matches to start off their season, Leverkusen will be able to play in front of their home fans. Not so many will fancy a Leipzig win here especially after losing in their last two visits to BayArena. However, after two wins in their opening two matches, the visitors will be keen to replicate their 2022 heroics when they won 1-0 at this same venue.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bayer Leverkusen v Leipzig Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
126 | 7 | 1.1 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.8 | 3.7 |
|
|
119 | 7 | 1.1 |
|
|
119 | 7 | 1.1 |
|
|
1.64 | 4.4 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.63 | 4.44 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.63 | 4.44 | 4.7 |
|
|
100 | 9.5 | 1.05 |
|
|
1.78 | 4.1 | 4.06 |
|
|
1.77 | 4.3 | 4.1 |
|
|
126 | 7.5 | 1.13 |
|
|
4.5 | 3.4 | 1.91 |
|
|
1.79 | 4.2 | 3.9 |
|
|
501 | 9 | 1.06 |
|
|
1.65 | 4.35 | 5 |
|
|
1.75 | 4 | 4.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bayer Leverkusen and Leipzig?
Our prediction for the Bayer Leverkusen vs Leipzig match is: Bayer Leverkusen to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/08/2024 between Bayer Leverkusen and Leipzig in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.15% for a win of Bayer Leverkusen against Leipzig with odds of 501 at Betfair.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayer Leverkusen vs Leipzig is 36.31% with odds of 9.5 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.54% chance ⭐ for a win of Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 5 at Betsson.
Bayer Leverkusen - Leipzig Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bayer Leverkusen Leipzig Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 36.31% | 9.5 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.51% | 2.75 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score | 73.75% | |
| Half-time: Bayer Leverkusen / Full-time: Draw | 15.75% | 26 at Betfair |
Bayer Leverkusen vs Leipzig Form
Bayer Leverkusen and Leipzig's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
21 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 10 |
|
4
|
17 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 5 |
Bayer Leverkusen and Leipzig Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
23 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Aug 2024 - Super Cup
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Super Cup
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2024 - Bundesliga
9 May 2024 - Europa League
27 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
14 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
23 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2024 - DFB Pokal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2024 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2024 - Bundesliga
27 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
13 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2024 - Bundesliga
3 May 2024 - Bundesliga
20 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
6 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen vs Leipzig Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
19 Aug 2023 - Bundesliga
23 Apr 2023 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2022 - Bundesliga
17 Apr 2022 - Bundesliga
28 Nov 2021 - Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen - Leipzig: Form Analysis
Bayer Leverkusen won their first Bundesliga title in style. They didn’t just put an end to Bayern Munich’s dominance, but also clinched the league undefeated. They would go on to cap it off with winning the DFB Pokal to complete a domestic double.
The team is still unbeaten on German soil since losing to Bochum in May 2023. This season, they’ve kicked off on a high, following their Super Cup win, while a late goal against Borussia Monchengladbach in the league opener earned them three points.
Right ahead of this game, they saw off Carl Zeiss Jena 1-0 in the DFB Pokal’s opening round. With a 43-game undefeated run in domestic action, Leverkusen are clear favorites for three points here. They have three straight wins against Leipzig, two of them being at home.
Leverkusen are off to a flying start already and will be favorites here.
As Leverkusen scored a late winner to see off Monchengladbach, Leipzig labored past a hard-fighting Bochum. It took Antonio Nusa four minutes into his Bundesliga debut to salvage Die Roten Bullen. His goal delivered a 1-0 win at home, giving them a boost as they pack their bags for a tough away game.
With the win, Leipzig are undefeated in 12 league matches, just the perfect warmup for their meetup with Leverkusen. Only the champions have a longer unbeaten streak in Bundesliga (35). One area that Leipzig hold a massive threat is in their attack. The visitors only failed to score at Mainz in all their away league matches last season.
However, they managed only two clean sheets on the road in the league.
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Bayer Leverkusen against Leipzig Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Bayer Leverkusen & Leipzig Squad Analysis
The champions still have the core of their team that won the double last season. Defender Jonathan Tah continues to be linked with a move away but he played the full game at Monchengladbach. He will still be called upon here.
Nordi Mukiele has joined from PSG on loan and might be in line for his debut. The game, however, comes too soon for defender Exequiel Palacios who is nursing a knee injury.
After resting a number of players for the DFB Pokal game, Alonso is expected to restore his full-strength squad.
Bayer Leverkusen managed to hold onto their top players from last season.
Leipzig look set to operate with a thinner squad going into this game. Xaver Schlager will not be playing in the near furture after damaging his ACL a few months back. Assan Ouedraogo is also out with a knee problem while Chad Bitshiabu is not yet back from a hamstring injury.
There will be no place in the squad for Willi Orban who was sent off in the opening game.
Most goals and assists
Bayer Leverkusen
Leipzig
V. Boniface
(7 Goals)
, 
F. Wirtz
(7 Goals)
B. Sesko
(7 Goals)
J. Frimpong
(4 Assists)
B. Sesko
(3 Assists)
, 
L. Openda
(3 Assists)
Bayer Leverkusen - Leipzig Key Points
- Bayer Leverkusen won each of their last three matches against Leipzig.
- The last five matches between these teams had 15 goals scored.
- Six goals were scored in Leipzig’s two matches so far this season.
- Bayer Leverkusen have four straight wins in the Bundesliga.
- An average of 3.3 goals have been scored in Bayer Leverkusen’s matches this season.
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Our Bayer Leverkusen vs Leipzig Prediction
Bayer Leverkusen’s fine domestic run continues. After winning the Super Cup, they bagged three points in the first week of Bundesliga and advanced to the second round of the DFB Pokal. They have three straight wins against Leipzig ahead of this game and are favorites to make it four.
A characteristic of their matches is that they rarely return low scores. It has been the same case in matches against Leipzig. The visitors are also doing well in attack, which promises multiple goals here. Our prediction for Bayer Leverkusen v Leipzig is for Bayer Leverkusen to win and over 2.5 goals.
Bayer Leverkusen vs Leipzig - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
While Bayer Leverkusen have been dominant in Germany over the past one year, they haven't kept clean sheets consistently. Here they face another good attacking side in Leipzig. The visitors only failed to score once in 18 league matches. Our second prediction for this game is for both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bayer Leverkusen Leipzig
| Bayer Leverkusen vs Leipzig | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen wins | 1.91 | 126 | +6,496.9% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 7 | +86.7% |
| Leipzig wins | 3.75 | 1.1 | -70.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 86.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 26.7% and is now 14.3% (-12.4%)
Bayer Leverkusen vs Leipzig match : Frequently asked questions
The Bayer Leverkusen v Leipzig game will be played on Saturday 31August starting 5.30pm GMT.
The Bayer Leverkusen v Leipzig game will be staged at the BayArena in Leverkusen.
Sky Sports Football will air the Bayer Leverkusen v Leipzig game. You can also follow its live scores through the Bundesliga Livescore page on SportyTrader.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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