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Bayer Leverkusen vs Qarabag FK Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
by Devesh Jaganath in Europa League Predictions
Bayer Leverkusen will lock horns with Qarabag in the second leg of the Round of 16 in the Europa League on Thursday evening. The tie is delicately poised at 2-2, with everything still to play for. Bayer Leverkusen are enjoying an incredible 2023-24 season and are on course to dethrone perennial Bundesliga winners Bayern Munich, having opened up a ten-point gap over the Bavarians. However, their trip to Azerbaijan last week almost ended very poorly after finding themselves two goals down before the halftime whistle. Florian Wirtz and Patrik Schick saved Die Werkself’s blushes, though, netting in the 70th and final minute to salvage their side a draw. The hosts now return to BayArena, where they have been near-perfect this season. Across 20 home games in all competitions, Leverkusen are unbeaten this term, boasting a record of 18 wins and just two draws in that time. The Bundesliga leaders are unbeaten in their last three matches against this opponent and are the favourites in this one.
Meanwhile, Qarabag will be gutted with failing to hold on to their two-goal advantage from the first leg, especially having lost to this opponent in both group-stage matches earlier in the competition. They will certainly not have fond memories heading to Leverkusen either, following a 5-1 drubbing at this venue back in November. However, their bright start in last week’s contest was impressive, and they will need a similarly fast start here to put the pressure on the massively fancied hosts. The Horsemen have a stranglehold on their domestic league, currently leading the standings by a whopping 24 points. They beat Zira 3-1 at home over the weekend, extending their current unbeaten streak to five matches in all competitions. In addition, they are on an eight-match winning streak in away games in all competitions and unbeaten in their last ten. Can they become the first side to claim a victory at BayArena this season?
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The Best Betting Odds for Bayer Leverkusen v Qarabag FK Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.2 | 7 | 12 |
|
|
1.17 | 7.5 | 17 |
|
|
1.17 | 7.5 | 13 |
|
|
1.17 | 7.75 | 14 |
|
|
1.19 | 8.7 | 16.5 |
|
|
1.19 | 8.7 | 16.5 |
|
|
1.19 | 7.2 | 13.5 |
|
|
1.19 | 7.2 | 13.5 |
|
|
1.18 | 8 | 15 |
|
|
1.15 | 8.2 | 15 |
|
|
1.18 | 8 | 15 |
|
|
1.18 | 9.2 | 14 |
|
|
1.17 | 7.5 | 13 |
|
|
1.16 | 7.5 | 15 |
|
|
1.14 | 8 | 17 |
|
|
1.17 | 8 | 17 |
|
|
1.15 | 7.5 | 17 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bayer Leverkusen and Qarabag FK?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/03/2024 between Bayer Leverkusen and Qarabag FK in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.76% for a win of Bayer Leverkusen against Qarabag FK with odds of 1.2 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayer Leverkusen vs Qarabag FK is 13.85% with odds of 9.2 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.39% chance ⭐ for a win of Qarabag FK vs Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 17 at Betfred.
Bayer Leverkusen - Qarabag FK Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bayer Leverkusen Qarabag FK Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen wins | 51.76% | 1.2 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77.5% | 1.4 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 66.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bayer Leverkusen | 20.86% | 4.7 at Unibet |
Bayer Leverkusen vs Qarabag FK Form
Bayer Leverkusen and Qarabag FK Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2024 - Europa League
3 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
23 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
10 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
23 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
10 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
6 Feb 2024 - DFB Pokal
27 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
7 Jan 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2024 - Europa League
3 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
3 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
20 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
13 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Mar 2024 - Topaz Premier League
7 Mar 2024 - Europa League
3 Mar 2024 - Topaz Premier League
28 Feb 2024 - Topaz Premier League
25 Feb 2024 - Topaz Premier League
22 Feb 2024 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Mar 2024 - Topaz Premier League
7 Mar 2024 - Europa League
25 Feb 2024 - Topaz Premier League
22 Feb 2024 - Europa League
11 Feb 2024 - Topaz Premier League
8 Feb 2024 - Azerbaijan Cup
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Mar 2024 - Topaz Premier League
28 Feb 2024 - Topaz Premier League
15 Feb 2024 - Europa League
3 Feb 2024 - Topaz Premier League
30 Jan 2024 - Azerbaijan Cup
27 Jan 2024 - Topaz Premier League
Bayer Leverkusen vs Qarabag FK Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Mar 2024 - Europa League
9 Nov 2023 - Europa League
26 Oct 2023 - Europa League
Bayer Leverkusen against Qarabag FK Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Bayer Leverkusen
Qarabag FK
V. Boniface
(21 Goals)
Juninho
(5 Goals)
A. Grimaldo
(18 Assists)
Y. Benzia
(1 Assists)
, 
M. Jankovic
(1 Assists)
, 
E. Cafarquliyev
(1 Assists)
, 
A. Zoubir
(1 Assists)
,
T. Bayramov
(1 Assists)
,
Juninho
(1 Assists)
,
M. Vesovic
(1 Assists)
, Bayer Leverkusen - Qarabag FK Key Points
- Five of Bayer Leverkusen’s last seven games in all competitions have ended with over 2.5 goals
- Bayer Leverkusen have scored two or more goals in nine of their last ten home games
- Nine of Qarabag’s last ten games in all competitions have ended with over 2.5 goals
- Qarabag have scored two or more goals in each of their last 13 matches
- Three or more goals were scored in two of the three matches between these sides in this season’s Europa League
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Our Bayer Leverkusen vs Qarabag FK Prediction
While Leverkusen head into this match as the favourites and with better form, Qarabag proved last week that they deserve a shout here. Both these sides have been sensational in attack this season and we expect them to throw absolutely everything into this match. This could easily end up being a goal-fest. Therefore, our Bayer Leverkusen vs Qarabag prediction: Over 2.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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