Europe - Champions League
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by Devesh Jaganath in Champions League Predictions
The battle of the German giants in the Champions League continues on Tuesday night when Bayer Levekusen play host to rivals Bayern Munich in the second leg of their round of 16 clash. The winner of the tie between Die Werkself and Die Roten will move on to face either Inter Milan or Feyenoord in the quarter-final. Check out our match prediction below!
Bayer Leverkusen have a mountain to climb in this match after suffering a hefty 3-0 loss at the Allianz Arena last week. However, the reigning Bundesliga champions are unbeaten in their last three matches at BayArena against this opponent under Xabi Alonso (W2 D1 L0). Prior to the Spaniard’s arrival, Leverkusen had only one of their preceding eight against Bayern at this venue.
Despite their recent record in this fixture and having home advantage, bookmakers view the visitors as the underdogs in this match. Let’s take a look at some more key stats.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Munich Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.8 | 3.6 | 2.35 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.6 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.9 | 2.5 | 2.62 |
|
|
2.87 | 3.75 | 2.47 |
|
|
2.87 | 3.75 | 2.47 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Munich?
Our prediction for the Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/03/2025 between Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Munich in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.68% for a win of Bayer Leverkusen against Bayern Munich with odds of 2.9 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich is 19.29% with odds of 3.76 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.04% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 2.62 at Ladbrokes.
Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bayer Leverkusen Bayern Munich Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen wins | 40.68% | 2.9 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.9% | 1.95 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 44.17% | |
| Half-time: Bayern Munich / Full-time: Bayer Leverkusen | 14.4% | 26 at Bet365 |
Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich Form
Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Munich Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Feb 2025 - DFB Pokal
2 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
28 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Feb 2025 - Champions League
15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
23 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Feb 2025 - Champions League
7 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Feb 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
11 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Dec 2024 - DFB Pokal
28 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
10 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
15 Sep 2023 - Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich: Form Analysis
Bayer Leverkusen are hoping to become only the fifth team in the history of the Champions League to concede three goals in the first leg of a knockout stage match and still progress to the next round.
Die Werkself were thoroughly outplayed in the first leg and were already two goals down before they were reduced to 10 men. They only registered three shots at goal, only one of which was on target.
Following that result, the hosts suffered a 2-0 home loss to Werder Bremen over the weekend, bringing an end to an 18-match unbeaten streak at BayArena (W14, D4) dating back to the end of August.
However, Bayer Leverkusen have not lost back-to-back home games since February 2023!
Meanwhile, Bayern Munich are looking to qualify to the quarter-final of the Champions League for the 35th time - only Real Madrid have reached the last eight of this competition more often (39).
Still, it is worth noting that Die Roten have lost two matches in this European campaign by three or more goals, having been beaten by Barcelona 4-1 in October and Feyenoord 5-1 in January.
Indeed, this is the first time in their European Cup/ Champions League history that the Bavarians have lost more than one match by three or more goals.
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Players list
L. Hradecky
DefenderV. Boniface
J. Tah
R. Andrich
P. Hincapie
J. Frimpong
E. Buendia
MidfielderE. Palacios
G. Xhaka
A. Adli
ForwardP. Schick
J. Urbig
DefenderD. Upamecano
K. Min-jae
J. Kimmich
MidfielderJ. Stanisic
A. Davies
J. Palhinha
J. Musiala
ForwardH. Ito
S. Gnabry
T. Muller
Substitutes
N. Lomb
M. Kovar
DefenderE. Tapsoba
MidfielderR. Andrich
E. Buendia
J. Hofmann
ForwardN. Tella
V. Boniface
A. Adli
S. Ulreich
D. Peretz
DefenderH. Ito
E. Dier
R. Guerreiro
S. Boey
J. Stanisic
J. Palhinha
L. Sane
ForwardS. Gnabry
T. Muller
G. Vidovic
Missing players
J. Belocian
ForwardM. Terrier
M. Neuer
Bayer Leverkusen & Bayern Munich Squad Analysis
Bayer Leverkusen were dealt a massive blow over the weekend, with Florian Wirtz lasting only 15 minutes after coming off the bench at halftime before returning to the locker room with an injury.
However, Die Werkself’s top scorer this season is not the only absentee here, as Nordi Mukiele was the player sent off in the first leg and will be suspended.
The absence of the French full-back may see Alonso opt for a three-at-the-back formation, with the hosts forced to go in search of three unanswered goals to level the tie.
Harry Kane took his goal tally for the season to 30 in 33 matches across all competitions with his brace in the first leg.
Kane trails Serhou Guirassy by one goal in the leading scorer standings in this competition!
Jamal Musiala has had six direct goal contributions in 11 Champions League games this term, assisting three and scoring three, including netting the second goal of the victory last week at the Allianz.
Most goals and assists
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayern Munich
P. Schick
(22 Goals)
H. Kane
(35 Goals)
F. Wirtz
(14 Assists)
H. Kane
(12 Assists)
, 
M. Olise
(12 Assists)
Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich Key Points
- Bayer Leverkusen have only kept one clean sheet in their last four games.
- Bayer Leverkusen have scored two or more goals in four of their last six home matches.
- Four of Bayern Munich’s last six Champions League games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Bayern Munich have not kept a clean sheet on the road in the Champions League this season.
- Bayern Munich have scored two or more goals in three of their last four away matches.
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Our Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich Prediction
Bayer Leverkusen have a mountain to climb this week after getting completely overrun at the Allianz, and they have to throw caution to the wind in this match if they are to have a chance of overturning this deficit.
While the visitors dominated last week, we are expecting a much more level encounter this time around, and fancy the hosts to get on the scoresheet - even if they are unable to secure qualification to the last eight. Our Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich prediction is both teams to score.
Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich - Other Interesting Predictions
Bayer Leverkusen draw no bet
Given the deficit in this match, Bayer Leverkusen have to go all out in attack in search of goals, and even if they are unable to progress, we fancy they could win the match. The hosts are also unbeaten in their last three home games against this opponent.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bayer Leverkusen Bayern Munich
| Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen wins | 2.8 | 2.8 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.6 | +5.9% |
| Bayern Munich wins | 2.4 | 2.35 | -2.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bayer Leverkusen is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 35.7% and is now 35.7% (0.0%)
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Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich match : Frequently asked questions
The Champions League match between Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Munich will be played on March 11 at 20:00 GMT.
The Champions League match between Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Munich will take place at BayArena in Leverkusen.
The Champions League match between Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Munich will be broadcast on TNT Sports in the UK and Prime Video in Germany.
Alternatively, you can keep up to the minute with all the action using our Champions League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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