Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar in Bundesliga Predictions
Bayer Leverkusen face the prospect of losing their Bundesliga crown as they host European hopefuls Augsburg in a matchday 31 fixture on Saturday at BayArena. This match between the second-placed Die Werkself and the 10th-placed Fuggerstadter comes with our prediction of being a low-scoring game with under 2.5 goals.
Leverkusen's 64 points put them eight points behind leaders Bayern Munich, while Augsburg's 43 points see them start four points outside European places.
If the defending champions drop points here, they could relinquish their crown this weekend. That looks a grim possibility, as Leverkusen were held to a 1-1 away at St Pauli last weekend.
Even at home, Leverkusen hasn't been dominant in recent fixtures. They could win just one of their last four home league matches, failing to score in those three matches that they couldn't win (D2, L1).
Augsburg have very little time to continue their push for European qualification and need to win here to stay in contention. They have one of the best defensive records (40 conceded), but with only 33 goals scored, only four clubs have scored fewer this season.
Augsburg have struggled recently with only one win across their last four league matches (D2, L1) but could be a tough cookie on the road. They are unbeaten in their last five league trips (W3, D2).
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The Best Betting Odds for Bayer Leverkusen v Augsburg Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.36 | 5 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.33 | 5 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.36 | 4.8 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.33 | 4.9 | 8.25 |
|
|
1.4 | 5.28 | 9.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bayer Leverkusen and Augsburg?
Our prediction for the Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/04/2025 between Bayer Leverkusen and Augsburg in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.9% for a win of Bayer Leverkusen against Augsburg with odds of 1.4 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg is 27.47% with odds of 5.28 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.63% chance ⭐ for a win of Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 9.5 at Betfred.
Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg Form
Bayer Leverkusen and Augsburg's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
64 | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 29 |
|
10
|
43 | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | -7 |
Bayer Leverkusen and Augsburg Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Apr 2025 - DFB Pokal
28 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Feb 2025 - DFB Pokal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Apr 2025 - DFB Pokal
16 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Feb 2025 - DFB Pokal
Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
18 May 2024 - Bundesliga
13 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
3 Feb 2023 - Bundesliga
13 Aug 2022 - Bundesliga
22 Jan 2022 - Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
J. Belocian
M. Hermoso
ForwardM. Terrier
R. Oxford
ForwardY. Kabadayi
Most goals and assists
Bayer Leverkusen
Augsburg
P. Schick
(23 Goals)
S. Essende
(10 Goals)
, 
A. Claude-Maurice
(10 Goals)
F. Wirtz
(14 Assists)
D. Giannoulis
(6 Assists)
Bayer Leverkusen and Augsburg Stats in Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen - Augsburg Key Points
- Augsburg’s Bundesliga matches average 2.43 goals per fixture and only St. Pauli have a fewer average.
- Over the last eight matches, Augsburg average 1.75 goals per fixture, which is the lowest in Bundesliga.
- Leverkusen won the reverse fixture 2-0 and including that, three of the last four H2Hs have produced under 2.5 goals.
- In five of Leverkusen’s last eight competitive matches, fewer than three goals were scored.
- Leverkusen saw two or fewer goals scored in three of their last four home league matches.
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Our Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg Prediction
This could be the weekend Bayer Leverkusen finally puts to rest its hopes of retaining the Bundesliga crown. Anything less than a win here, coupled with Bayern Munich winning their fixture at the weekend, will see them lose their crown. Interestingly, Leverkusen drew their last two league games and won just one of their four recent home Bundesliga fixtures. Augsburg's recent games have seen fewer goals, and this could be another such instance. Our Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg prediction is under 2.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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