England - League Two
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by Ian John in Football Predictions
The Bluebirds of Barrow take on the Blues of Carlisle United in a crucial League Two match on Thursday night. This Cumbrian derby game sees both teams in the relegation mix and our prediction is that this will be a tight, nervy and edgy contest that may require a moment of inspiration or madness to decide the outcome.
Currently, Andrew Whing’s Barrow occupies the 18th spot in the League Two table with 37 points from 32 games. They are eleven points clear of the relegation spots in the table. In contrast, Mark Hughes’ Carlisle sit bottom of League Two with 23 points from 32 games and they are five points behind Tranmere Rovers who occupy 22nd in the table.
Barrow’s current form is clearly divided when they play at home or away. Away from home, they have lost all the last four. At home, they have won three of the last four. Their two most recent games are both defeats, a 3-2 loss at Cheltenham Town and then last weekend the Bluebirds were well beaten 3-0 away to Crewe Alexandra.
Carlisle have picked up more points away from home than at home this season (12 compared to 11 at home). However, Mark Hughes’ team are without a win in six, and, in their last two games, both at home, managed two 0-0 draws, firstly against Colchester United and then against Gillingham at the weekend.
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The Best Betting Odds for Barrow v Carlisle United Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.2 | 3.2 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.2 | 3 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.5 | 2.3 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.22 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.22 | 3.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Barrow and Carlisle United?
Our prediction for the Barrow vs Carlisle United match is: Barrow wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/02/2025 between Barrow and Carlisle United in League Two :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.55% for a win of Barrow against Carlisle United with odds of 2.5 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Barrow vs Carlisle United is 14.12% with odds of 3.35 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.33% chance ⭐ for a win of Carlisle United vs Barrow with odds of 3.75 at Betsson.
Barrow - Carlisle United Prediction and Best Odds:
| Barrow Carlisle United Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Barrow wins | 50.55% | 2.5 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.68% | 2.38 at Betfred |
| Both Team To Score | 41.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Barrow | 22.29% | 5.1 at Unibet |
Barrow vs Carlisle United Form
Barrow and Carlisle United's standings in the League Two
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
16
|
48 | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | -2 |
|
23
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -26 |
Barrow and Carlisle United Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - League Two
15 Feb 2025 - League Two
11 Feb 2025 - League Two
8 Feb 2025 - League Two
1 Feb 2025 - League Two
29 Jan 2025 - League Two
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Feb 2025 - League Two
8 Feb 2025 - League Two
29 Jan 2025 - League Two
25 Jan 2025 - League Two
4 Jan 2025 - League Two
1 Jan 2025 - League Two
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - League Two
15 Feb 2025 - League Two
1 Feb 2025 - League Two
18 Jan 2025 - League Two
29 Dec 2024 - League Two
26 Dec 2024 - League Two
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - League Two
15 Feb 2025 - League Two
11 Feb 2025 - League Two
8 Feb 2025 - League Two
1 Feb 2025 - League Two
28 Jan 2025 - League Two
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - League Two
15 Feb 2025 - League Two
1 Feb 2025 - League Two
18 Jan 2025 - League Two
29 Dec 2024 - League Two
26 Dec 2024 - League Two
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Feb 2025 - League Two
8 Feb 2025 - League Two
28 Jan 2025 - League Two
25 Jan 2025 - League Two
4 Jan 2025 - League Two
1 Jan 2025 - League Two
Barrow vs Carlisle United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 Aug 2024 - League Two
Players list
P. Farman
DefenderK. Cameron
N. Canavan
E. Newby
MidfielderB. Jackson
B. Whitfield
S. Foley
J. Williams
ForwardR. Gotts
A. Pressley
T. Smith
G. Breeze
DefenderT. Thomas
J. Bevan
S. Lavelle
C. Harper
A. Davies
MidfielderJ. Ellis
S. Wearne
W. Patching
J. Vela
ForwardC. Scott
Substitutes
W. Stanway
DefenderS. Barnes
MidfielderI. Fletcher
C. Mahoney
ForwardA. Pressley
E. Newby
H. Lewis
MidfielderJ. Ellis
S. Wearne
J. Vela
W. Patching
J. Hugill
J. Bevan
Most goals and assists
Barrow
Carlisle United
E. Acquah
(6 Goals)
S. Lavelle
(4 Goals)
Barrow - Carlisle United Key Points
- Barrow have won 50% of their home games this season (W8, D4, L4).
- Carlisle have lost seven of their last ten games (W1, D2).
- Barrow have won three of their last four at home scoring nine goals, conceding four.
- Carlisle have lost five of their last six away games, including all their last three.
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Our Barrow vs Carlisle United Prediction
Our prediction for the Barrow vs. Carlisle United League Two match is: Barrow wins the match.
The Cumbrian derby game is a vital one for both teams, but the data strongly suggests that this is Barrow's game to win. The Bluebirds have an excellent home record at Holker Park this season, while Carlisle United's away record is one of the poorest in the division. Historic data shows Carlisle have a good record against Barrow, but this season, the data all points to a win for the home team.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Barrow Carlisle United
| Barrow vs Carlisle United | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barrow wins | 1.8 | 2.2 | +22.2% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.2 | -8.6% |
| Carlisle United wins | 4.2 | 3.25 | -22.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Barrow is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 22.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 55.6% and is now 45.5% (-10.1%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Barrow vs. Carlisle United game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Barrow and Carlisle United? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's League Two! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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