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Barcelona vs Villarreal Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
by Daniel Ngulu in LaLiga Predictions
Barcelona will hope to take charge of their season when they welcome Villarreal in their next La Liga game on Saturday. Though with a game in hand, Barcelona are eight points off the top, while Villarreal are just five above the relegation region. In recent times, Barcelona have suffered some heavy blows and Xavi will demand a response from his charges. The hosts are coming from a 4-2 away loss to Athletic Bilbao in the Copa del Rey. An earlier loss to Real Madrid in the Super Cup means Barcelona come here on a low but they’ll still be favorites. The biggest undoing for Xavi’s men has been a clear lack of defensive solidity. They have conceded more than a goal in seven of their last 11 matches. They have just one clean sheet in that 11-match run. While they have lost just twice in the league this season, they are the side with the most draws in the top four. It doesn’t also help that their defeats came against the top two sides. A loss here could even see Barcelona drop out of the top four.
Villarreal are coming into this game seeking to improve on their 1-1 draw with Mallorca last time out. The Yellow Submarine were on course to a first win in four matches, until the tide changed in the second half. Alexander Sorloth got them in the lead but they had Pepe Reina sent off before Mallorca leveled in stoppage time. Now they face a side that has beaten them in the last three meetings, at a time Villarreal are going through desperate times. The draw with Mallorca left Villarreal just four points above the relegation zone. A key concern for them will be their poor returns in defence, having conceded 42 league goals already. Only bottom placed Almeria have a worse defensive record. Four of those goals were against Barcelona, after a 4-3 defeat in the first meeting this season. Like Barcelona, Villarreal are coming from high scoring matches, punctuated by very few clean sheets. In their last 10 games for example, Villarreal have one clean sheet. Six of their last eight matches have had over 2.5 goals.
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The Best Betting Odds for Barcelona v Villarreal Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.36 | 5.75 | 8 |
|
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1.38 | 5.4 | 6.3 |
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1.38 | 5.49 | 8.05 |
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1.38 | 5.49 | 8.05 |
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1.4 | 5.45 | 6.45 |
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1.4 | 5.45 | 6.45 |
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|
1.42 | 5.6 | 6.6 |
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1.4 | 5.15 | 6.8 |
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1.38 | 6 | 6.8 |
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1.4 | 5.5 | 6 |
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1.4 | 5.4 | 6.4 |
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1.38 | 5.5 | 7.5 |
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1.35 | 5.25 | 7.5 |
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1.39 | 5.9 | 7.4 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Barcelona and Villarreal?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/01/2024 between Barcelona and Villarreal in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 62.38% for a win of Barcelona against Villarreal with odds of 1.42 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Barcelona vs Villarreal is 14.83% with odds of 6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.79% chance ⭐ for a win of Villarreal vs Barcelona with odds of 8.05 at 1xbet.
Barcelona - Villarreal Prediction and Best Odds:
Barcelona Villarreal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Barcelona wins | 62.38% | 1.42 at Stake |
Over 2.5 goals | 66.45% | 1.36 at Betsson |
Both Team To Score | 71.67% | |
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Barcelona | 27.38% | 10.5 at Unibet |
Barcelona vs Villarreal Form
Barcelona and Villarreal's standings in the LaLiga
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2
|
85 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 35 |
8
|
53 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
Barcelona and Villarreal Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
21 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
14 Jan 2024 - Super Cup
11 Jan 2024 - Super Cup
7 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2024 - Super Cup
21 Dec 2023 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
10 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
28 Nov 2023 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
21 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
14 Jan 2024 - Super Cup
7 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
4 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
13 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
7 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
2 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
20 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
17 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
20 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
9 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
6 Dec 2023 - Europa League
30 Nov 2023 - Europa League
26 Nov 2023 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
7 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
2 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
17 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
14 Dec 2023 - Europa League
3 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
Barcelona vs Villarreal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
0 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Aug 2023 - LaLiga
12 Feb 2023 - LaLiga
20 Oct 2022 - LaLiga
22 May 2022 - LaLiga
27 Nov 2021 - LaLiga
25 Apr 2021 - LaLiga
Barcelona against Villarreal Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
A. Balde
MidfielderGavi
J. Foyth
MidfielderD. Suarez
ForwardY. Pino
A. Pedraza
Most goals and assists
Barcelona - Villarreal Key Points
- Both sides have scored in Barcelona’s last four matches
- Eight of Barcelona’s last 10 matches produced over 2.5 goals
- Both sides have scored in four of Villarreal’s last five matches
- Six of Villarreal’s last eight matches had over 2.5 goals scored
- In eight of Villarreal’s last nine away matches, both teams scored
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Our Barcelona vs Villarreal Prediction
Only one team in La Liga has conceded more goals than Villarreal, but they have also returned good numbers in attack lately. This is a trend they’ll hope to extend against Barcelona, who are also not the sturdiest in defence. Barcelona have however compensated for that with a good run in attack. We expect a high scoring game here, given the stats. Our prediction for Barcelona v Villarreal is for both teams to score and over 2.5 goals.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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