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Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
by Daniel Ngulu in LaLiga Predictions
The final match of round 24 of the Spanish La Liga will see Barcelona play host to Rayo Vallecano. Getting to their best after struggling in midseason, Barca start the weekend in third place, three places ahead of their visitors. We have a prediction below.
Barcelona’s 4-1 smashing of Sevilla reignited their title chase, and are snapping at Real Madrid’s heels. After Real Madrid’s draw at Osasuna, Barcelona will see the opportunity to rise.
They are just three points behind Real Madrid and are now unbeaten in 11 matches, winning nine. In La Liga action at home, there has been improvement in 2025, with back to back wins, following three straight losses to wrap up 2024.
Rayo Vallecano are equally on a good run ahead of this game. They haven't been scoring as many goals as Barcelona but with slim wins, they’ve been getting the job done.
In their latest outing, they defeated Real Valladolid 1-0 at home. That was their third straight win and all came with one-goal margins. In their last nine league matches, Rayo Vallecano are unbeaten, winning five times.
In August they put up a commendable performance against Barcelona, taking a ninth minute lead only to concede twice in the second half. They’ve now lost their last two matches against Barcelona.
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The Best Betting Odds for Barcelona v Rayo Vallecano Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.22 | 7 | 12 |
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1.2 | 7 | 13 |
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1.22 | 7 | 11 |
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1.23 | 7.09 | 12.7 |
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1.23 | 7.09 | 12.7 |
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1.21 | 7.25 | 13 |
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1.17 | 7.9 | 13.5 |
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1.17 | 7.9 | 13.5 |
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1.21 | 7.8 | 12 |
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1.19 | 7.5 | 12.5 |
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1.23 | 7.6 | 12 |
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1.21 | 7.7 | 14 |
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1.22 | 7 | 10 |
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1.2 | 7.5 | 11 |
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1.14 | 7 | 12 |
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1.2 | 8 | 13 |
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1.2 | 6.5 | 13 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Barcelona and Rayo Vallecano?
Our prediction for the Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano match is: Barcelona to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/02/2025 between Barcelona and Rayo Vallecano in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.69% for a win of Barcelona against Rayo Vallecano with odds of 1.23 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano is 26.75% with odds of 8 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.57% chance ⭐ for a win of Rayo Vallecano vs Barcelona with odds of 14 at Vbet.
Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano Prediction and Best Odds:
Barcelona Rayo Vallecano Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Barcelona wins | 44.69% | 1.23 at 1xbet |
Over 2.5 goals | 60.77% | |
Both Team To Score | 72.08% | 1.83 at Betway |
Half-time / Full-time : Barcelona/Barcelona | 18.21% | 1.66 at Unibet |
Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano Form
Barcelona and Rayo Vallecano's standings in the LaLiga
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
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51 | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 40 |
6
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35 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 2 |
Barcelona and Rayo Vallecano Last Matches
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
6 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
2 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
26 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
26 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
15 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
21 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
6 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
12 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
8 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
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4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
31 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
26 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
19 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
16 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
10 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
26 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
10 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
14 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
1 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
8 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
19 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
16 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
3 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
22 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
18 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
19 May 2024 - LaLiga
25 Nov 2023 - LaLiga
26 Apr 2023 - LaLiga
13 Aug 2022 - LaLiga
24 Apr 2022 - LaLiga
Barcelona against Rayo Vallecano Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
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M. Ter Stegen
DefenderA. Christensen
MidfielderM. Bernal
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J. Montiel
U. Lopez
ForwardR. De Tomas
S. Camello
Most goals and assists
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
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Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano Key Points
- Five of Rayo Vallecano’s last 10 matches produced over 2.5 goals.
- Barcelona are unbeaten in their last four home matches, winning three.
- Four of Barcelona’s last five matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Rayo lost the last two matches against Barcelona, both producing over 2.5 goals.
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Our Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction
Barcelona have momentum on their side, having won nine times in their last 11 matches. They will carry that into this game and will be happy with their scoring form. Rayo Vallecano’s away form isn’t very strong. The team comes into this game on just two wins in their last six matches on the road.
Rayo Vallecano are also winless in the last three matches against Barcelona. The most recent two ended in defeat, each returning over 2.5 goals. Our prediction for Barcelona v Rayo Vallecano is for Barcelona to win and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Barcelona Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
Barcelona wins | 1.25 | 1.22 | -2.4% |
Draw | 6 | 7 | +16.7% |
Rayo Vallecano wins | 10 | 12 | +20.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Barcelona is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 80.0% and is now 82.0% (2.0%)
Use £30 free bets for the Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano game!
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Try your luck on this year's LaLiga! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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