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Europe - Champions League

Barcelona
12 Mar 2024 16:00
Napoli

Prediction :

 

Barcelona to win and Both Teams to Score

 
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Barcelona vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League

 by Ian John | in Champions League Predictions

On Tuesday night, Barcelona host Napoli in the Champions League Round of 16 second leg at the Nou Camp (8pm Kick Off). The teams shared the spoils in a 1-1 draw at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium in Naples a couple of weeks back in the first leg of the tie. Barca's Polish ace Robert Lewandowski (60') scoring for Barcelona before Victor Osimhen (75') levelled for the Neapolitans. Both teams have been unbeaten since that first leg result which sets up an intriguing second leg at the Nou Camp for a place in the quarterfinals.
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The Best Betting Odds for Barcelona v Napoli Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.75 4 4.2
Betfred
1.8 3.75 4.2
Ladbrokes
1.8 3.75 4
NetBet
1.77 3.9 4.3
1xbet
3.38 1.83 4.24
22bet
3.38 1.83 4.24
Betwinner
1.78 3.94 4.2
LSbet
1.78 3.94 4.2
Stake
1.76 4.1 4.3
Melbet
1.78 3.94 4.24
Tonybet
1.74 4.2 4.4
Betway
1.78 4 4
Unibet
1.77 3.75 4.3
Betfair
1.8 3.9 4.4
Betsson
1.82 4 4.2
William Hill
1.63 4 5
Vbet
1.82 4 4.4
Check all Barcelona vs Napoli odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Barcelona and Napoli?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/03/2024 between Barcelona and Napoli in Champions League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.77% for a win of Barcelona against Napoli with odds of 3.38 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Barcelona vs Napoli is 32.64% with odds of 4.2 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 15.59% chance ⭐ for a win of Napoli vs Barcelona with odds of 5 at William Hill.

Barcelona - Napoli Prediction and Best Odds:

Barcelona Napoli Prediction Probability Odds
Barcelona wins 51.77% 3.38 at 1xbet
Under 2.5 61.63% 2.25 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 47.92%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Barcelona 26.85% 5.25 at Unibet

Barcelona vs Napoli Form

Barcelona and Napoli Last Matches

Barcelona
Barcelona Last matches
D W D W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Mar 2024 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  0
Mallorca

3 Mar 2024 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  0
Barcelona

24 Feb 2024 - LaLiga

Barcelona
4 :  0
Getafe

21 Feb 2024 - Champions League

Napoli
1 :  1
Barcelona

17 Feb 2024 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
1 :  2
Barcelona

11 Feb 2024 - LaLiga

Barcelona
3 :  3
Granada
W L W D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Mar 2024 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  0
Mallorca

24 Feb 2024 - LaLiga

Barcelona
4 :  0
Getafe

11 Feb 2024 - LaLiga

Barcelona
3 :  3
Granada

31 Jan 2024 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  0
Osasuna

27 Jan 2024 - LaLiga

Barcelona
3 :  5
Villarreal

11 Jan 2024 - Super Cup

Barcelona
2 :  0
Osasuna
W L W W D D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

3 Mar 2024 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  0
Barcelona

21 Feb 2024 - Champions League

Napoli
1 :  1
Barcelona

17 Feb 2024 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
1 :  2
Barcelona

3 Feb 2024 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  3
Barcelona

24 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey

Athletic Bilbao
4 :  2
Barcelona

21 Jan 2024 - LaLiga

Betis
2 :  4
Barcelona
Napoli
Napoli Last matches
D D D W W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
100% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Mar 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  1
Torino FC

3 Mar 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Juventus

28 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Sassuolo
1 :  6
Napoli

25 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  1
Napoli

21 Feb 2024 - Champions League

Napoli
1 :  1
Barcelona

17 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  1
Genoa
L W D D W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Mar 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  1
Torino FC

3 Mar 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Juventus

21 Feb 2024 - Champions League

Napoli
1 :  1
Barcelona

17 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  1
Genoa

4 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Hellas Verona

22 Jan 2024 - Super Cup

Napoli
0 :  1
Inter Milan
L L D L D W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

28 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Sassuolo
1 :  6
Napoli

25 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  1
Napoli

11 Feb 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Napoli

28 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  0
Napoli

7 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Torino FC
3 :  0
Napoli

23 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  0
Napoli

Barcelona vs Napoli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Barcelona

40 %

Draw

60 %

Napoli

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.2
Total goals
100%
BTTS
2
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.2
Goals scored (Team 2)
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5

21 Feb 2024 - Champions League

Napoli
1 :  1
Barcelona

24 Feb 2022 - Europa League

Napoli
2 :  4
Barcelona

17 Feb 2022 - Europa League

Barcelona
1 :  1
Napoli

8 Aug 2020 - Champions League

Barcelona
3 :  1
Napoli

25 Feb 2020 - Champions League

Napoli
1 :  1
Barcelona
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Barcelona - Napoli: Form Analysis

Barcelona come into this game on the back of a narrow win over Mallorca in the league on Friday. Lamina Yamal scored the winner in that game and the youngster could play a big part in the game for Xavi's team on Tuesday. Since conceding to Napoli, Barcelona have not conceded in their next three games, winning two of those and scoring five goals in the process. They currently lie 2nd in La Liga with 61 points, five behind Real Madrid, who also have a game in hand. In the Champions League, Xavi's team have won four, drawn one and lost two of their seven games so far, scoring 13 goals, conceding 7. Their struggles in the Champions League have come away from home, where they have won just one of four, but they have won all three games in the competition at the Nou Camp. 

After drawing with Barcelona in the first leg in Naples, Napoli have since drawn 1-1 with Cagliari and most recently with Torino on Friday night past. In between those two draws they have had two exceptional wins, a 6-1 thrashing of Sassuolo on the road and a brilliant 2-1 win over Juventus at home. Victor Osimhen has scored five in his last five for Napoli, and Kvicha Kvaratskhelia has also been amongst the goals with four goals in his last three games. Napoli have won three, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their seven Champions League games this season, but two of their wins have come on the road, which will give them confidence heading into the second leg of this tie at the Nou Camp.

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Barcelona against Napoli Lineups: Starting 11

Barcelona

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
M. Ter Stegen
23
J. Kounde
4
R. Araujo
33
P. Cubarsi
2
J. Cancelo
16
F. Lopez
15
A. Christensen
22
I. Gundogan
27
L. Yamal
9
R. Lewandowski
11
Raphinha
77
K. Kvaratskhelia
9
V. Osimhen
21
M. Politano
8
H. Traore
68
S. Lobotka
99
F. Anguissa
6
M. Rui
5
J. Jesus
13
A. Rrahmani
22
G. Di Lorenzo
1
A. Meret

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Napoli

Missing players

Barcelona
Barcelona
Defender

A. Balde

Midfielder

Gavi

F. De Jong

Napoli
Napoli

Barcelona & Napoli Squad Analysis

Barcelona do not have any players suspended for the game with Napoli, but they do have a lengthy injury list to contend with. Youngster midfielders Gavi, Pedri and Frenkie de Jong are all out of the game, while Alejandro Balde will not be back until next season at the earliest. Left back Marcos Alonso is another who will be absent through a back injury. Raphinha was also a doubt after he was forced off in Friday's game with Mallorca with a blow to the ankle, and he was initially rated as doubtful for the game but manager Xavi stated after the game the Brazilian will be fit to play. So too could be Ferran Torres, who had hoped to be fit for the second leg, and while that could still be the case, the chances look more likely that he will start on the bench if he proves his fitness in time.

Napoli's new manager Francesco Calzona has won two and drawn two of his first four games in charge of the club after replacing Walter Mazzari a few weeks ago. The Neapolitans don't have too many injury concerns ahead of this game. Winger Cyril Ngonge could be back in contention after recovering from muscular problems, but it is 50/50 whether midfielder Jens Cajuste will be fit enough after he missed the last four games with a hamstring strain. Kvichi Kvaratskhelia has been an outstanding threat for Napoli for the last few seasons and the Georgian winger is likely to be the source of Napoli's most dangerous attacking moves in this game. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Barcelona
CD Huachipato Napoli
Top Goalscorer
Poland R. Lewandowski (22 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Nigeria V. Osimhen (17 Goals)
Best assists
Germany I. Gundogan (14 Assists)
Best assists
Italy M. Politano (8 Assists)

Barcelona - Napoli Key Points

  1. Barcelona come into this game unbeaten in their last eight games, winning five and drawing three.
  2. Both teams have scored in all Napoli's last six games in all competitions and in seven of their last eight games.
  3. The hosts have seen both teams find the net in nine of their last 14 fixtures across all competitions.
  4. Barcelona have scored the joint most goals in La Liga with 57 in 28 games this season. Napoli have the 5th best tally in Serie A with 43 goals in 28 games.
  5. The teams have met five times previously with Barcelona posting a 2-3-0 record. 100% of games between them have seen both teams score.
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Our Barcelona vs Napoli Prediction

Both of these teams are packed with quality and there is no doubt that their lengthy injury list hurts Barcelona's chances here. Napoli do have the players to take advantage of that but in Europe this season they have not looked as strong a team as they have the last couple of years. Barcelona had the better of the first leg in Naples and on home soil and with their record at the Nou Camp it is hard not to back them to win here. Our prediction for Barcelona v Napoli is for Barcelona to win and both teams to score.

Prediction :

 

Barcelona to win and Both Teams to Score

 
Exclusive Offer
$150 offered for betting!

Barcelona vs Napoli - Other Interesting Predictions

Robert Lewandowski (Barcelona) to score at any time

Odds 2.38
With 12 goals in La Liga this season, and just two in the Champions League, it is fair to say that Robert Lewandowski's goal output has dried up since his time at Bayern Munich. However, he did score in Naples in the first leg and he is the third highest goalscorer in Champions League history. These are the games that his experience could prove vital for a young Barcelona side and I feel Lewandowski is a great second bet option as an any time goalscorer in this match up. 
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Barcelona vs Napoli match : Frequently asked questions

The Champions League Round of 16 first leg tie between Napoli and Barcelona was played on Wednesday 21st February at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium in Naples. 

After a goalless first half, Barcelona took the lead on the hour mark when Polish striker Robert Lewandowski drilled a low shot past Meret and into the bottom corner of the net. The lead only lasted 15 minutes however as on his return to action for the team after playing in the African Cup of Nations, Victor Osimhen turning his marker and sending the keeper the wrong way with a cool finish to bring Napoli level. 

In the end, Barcelona will feel a little aggrieved they didn't win the game as they had the better of the chances and more shots on goal, with Napoli's equaliser coming very much against the run of play. 

In the UK, you can watch the Barcelona v Napoli Champions League Round of 16 second leg tie live on TNT Sport. 

If you do not have a TNT subscription and want to keep abreast of the action as it happens in the Nou Camp, then the Champions League Livescore page will have real-time updates of all the action, including reams of betting data to keep you bang up to date with everything that happens in the game.

The weather for Tuesday night's Champions League game between Barcelona and Napoli looks to be pleasant. Rain or thunderstorms are not forecast and the wind should be relatively light. It will be cloudy, but temperatures at kick off time should be around 13-14 degrees centigrade.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Barcelona vs Napoli Prediction
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