Europe - Champions League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Steve Ashfield in Champions League Predictions
Barcelona are in a strong position heading into this Champions League last 16 second leg. The La Liga side won the away first leg against Benfica and now host the Portuguese side. Can Barca reach the quarter-finals? Read our match prediction.
A 61st minute goal by Raphinha secured a lead for Barcelona. If they can hold onto their lead in this second leg, they will face either Lille or Borussia Dortmund in the quarter-finals. That will be their second successive last eight appearance in this competition. Possible semi-final opponents look like being Bayern Munich or Inter with big guns such as Liverpool and Real Madrid in the opposite half of the draw.
Benfica have a huge task ahead of them but as you will read in the form guide of this preview, their away form in the Champions League this season has had several highs. Not since 2015 though have they won an away match in this competition in Spain.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Barcelona v Benfica Lisbon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.45 | 5.25 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.4 | 5.5 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.61 | 3.3 | 5 |
|
|
1.46 | 5.34 | 6.36 |
|
|
1.46 | 5.34 | 6.36 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
What is the prediction for the football match between Barcelona and Benfica Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Barcelona vs Benfica Lisbon match is: Barcelona half time/full time.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/03/2025 between Barcelona and Benfica Lisbon in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.55% for a win of Barcelona against Benfica Lisbon with odds of 1.61 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Barcelona vs Benfica Lisbon is 15.97% with odds of 5.6 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.48% chance ⭐ for a win of Benfica Lisbon vs Barcelona with odds of 6.8 at Tonybet.
Barcelona - Benfica Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Barcelona Benfica Lisbon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Barcelona wins | 50.55% | 1.61 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.65% | |
| Both Team To Score | 42.71% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Barcelona | 22.8% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Barcelona vs Benfica Lisbon Form
Barcelona and Benfica Lisbon Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
25 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
17 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
9 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
25 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
17 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
2 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
26 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
9 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
6 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
26 Feb 2025 - Taca de Portugal
22 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Feb 2025 - Champions League
15 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
26 Feb 2025 - Taca de Portugal
22 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Feb 2025 - Champions League
8 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
12 Feb 2025 - Champions League
2 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
14 Jan 2025 - Taca de Portugal
Barcelona vs Benfica Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
25 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
23 Nov 2021 - Champions League
29 Sep 2021 - Champions League
Barcelona - Benfica Lisbon: Form Analysis
Barcelona come into this match unbeaten in their last 16 games and seven at home. They are top of La Liga but didn't play at the weekend. Their scheduled home game against Osasuna was postponed due to the death of their club doctor.
Barca finished second in the league phase with six of their eight games won and only one loss. That defeat came in their first match away at Monaco. Since then, seven out of eight have been won, the other being a 2-2 home draw with Atalanta.
Barcelona have gone goal crazy at home.
Five of their last seven home fixtures have been won. The goals have been flowing with 24 scored. 14 have been scored by them in four home Champions League games this season with at least two in each match. The two sides met in the league phase with Barca earning a 5-4 away win.
Benfica ended 13th in the league phase, six points behind Barcelona. The Eagles are second in Portugal's Primeira Liga. Their most recent game saw them beat Nacional 3-0 at home, two of the goals coming from the penalty spot.
The first leg defeat is the only loss in their last ten matches. In the Champions League, Benfica have won their last three games, two of which came away at Monaco in the league phase and knockout play-off.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Players list
W. Szczesny
DefenderJ. Kounde
R. Araujo
E. Garcia
A. Balde
MidfielderM. Casado
Pedri
Gavi
ForwardF. Lopez
F. Torres
Raphinha
A. Trubin
DefenderJ. Rego
A. Silva
N. Otamendi
MidfielderS. Dahl
F. Aursnes
L. Barreiro
A. Belotti
ForwardZ. Amdouni
V. Pavlidis
R. Sanches
Substitutes
I. Pena
D. Kochen
DefenderE. Garcia
H. Fort
G. Martin
MidfielderM. Casado
P. Torre
F. Lopez
Gavi
P. Victor
A. Fati
F. Torres
S. Soares
DefenderL. Santos
A. Bajrami
G. Oliveira
MidfielderN. Madeira Fernandes Felix
R. Sanches
L. Barreiro
G. Prestianni
A. Belotti
A. Cabral
J. Rego
Z. Amdouni
Missing players
M. Ter Stegen
MidfielderM. Bernal
Barcelona & Benfica Lisbon Squad Analysis
The weekend postponement was a tragic one for the club but does at least mean there are no fresh injury concerns for Barcelona. They will be without Pau Cubarsi for this match after he was sent off in the first leg.
Raphinha is the man in form for the Blaugrana with most bookmakers having him as the third favorite for the 2025 Ballon d'Or winner. The former Leeds player has scored 25 goals while chipping in 16 assists this season in 40 appearances across all competitions.
Raphinha and Robert Lewandowski have each notched nine goals in the 2024/25 Champions League campaign, putting them both just one goal behind Dortmund's Guirassy for the top goal scorer.
Benfica need to adopt a cautious approach.
Benfica come into this game a goal down from the first leg. After their game in the league phase that they lost 5-4 at home, they know two facts. Barcelona can make their way through their defence but Benfica have the ability to score against the Spaniards.
They will have to be patient in this game but dare not concede the first goal. The problem they have here is that the longer they can prevent that happening without scoring themselves, the more daring they must become. Leaving gaps at the back can only lead to Barca creating scoring attempts.
Most goals and assists
Barcelona
Benfica Lisbon
R. Lewandowski
(36 Goals)
V. Pavlidis
(24 Goals)
L. Yamal
(14 Assists)
V. Pavlidis
(9 Assists)
, 
K. Akturkoglu
(9 Assists)
Barcelona - Benfica Lisbon Key Points
- Barcelona are unbeaten in their last 16 matches.
- Barcelona have gone eight Champions League games without defeat.
- Barcelona have beaten Benfica twice in this season's Champions League.
- Barcelona have won three of their four home Champions League games this season with 14 goals scored.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Barcelona vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction
Barcelona have already beaten Benfica twice this season. They had a thrilling 5-4 away win in the league phase and thenn defeated them 1-0 in the first leg of this last 16 tie. Barca have been scoring goals for fun in this competition with 29 goals in their nine matches.
Benfica have it all to do to get back into this tie. They have had some good away results in this season's Champions League but clawing back a deficit in Barcelona looks beyond them. Our main Barcelona v Benfica prediction is Barcelona half time/full time.
Barcelona vs Benfica Lisbon - Other Interesting Predictions
Robert Lewandowski to score
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Barcelona Benfica Lisbon
| Barcelona vs Benfica Lisbon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona wins | 1.36 | 1.45 | +6.6% |
| Draw | 5.5 | 5.25 | -4.5% |
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 6.5 | 5.75 | -11.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Barcelona is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 73.5% and is now 69.0% (-4.6%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Barcelona vs. Benfica Lisbon game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Barcelona and Benfica Lisbon? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Champions League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Barcelona vs Benfica Lisbon match : Frequently asked questions
This is the home second leg for Barcelona against Benfica. That means the game will be played at the Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys in Barcelona.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
