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Barcelona vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Devesh Jaganath in Champions League Predictions
Spanish giants Barcelona will face off against German titans Bayern Munich at the Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys in round three of the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday night. These two behemoths of the game are separated only by goal difference in this competition, with the Bavarians currently in 15th place, while Blaugrana are right behind them in 16th. Check out our match prediction below.
Bayern have been the dominant force in this battle of the European heavyweights, having won each of their last six matches against this opponent while scoring an incredible 22 goals during that period. Barca have only ever lost more consecutive matches to a single opponent once in any competition, and that was against Real Madrid between 1962 and 1965 (seven in a row).
As it stands, the hosts are favourites heading into this match, but only by the slenderest of margins. Can Hansi Flick orchestrate a win over his former employers or will the Bavarians reign supreme in Catalonia? Let’s get into the key stats!
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The Best Betting Odds for Barcelona v Bayern Munich Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.63 | 3.8 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.62 | 2.8 | 2.62 |
|
|
2.66 | 3.89 | 2.51 |
|
|
2.66 | 3.89 | 2.51 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.9 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.67 | 3.86 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.67 | 3.86 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.34 | 3.95 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.3 | 4.06 | 2.69 |
|
|
2.31 | 4 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.74 | 3.93 | 2.49 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.6 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.95 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.8 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.9 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.62 | 3.7 | 2.45 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Barcelona and Bayern Munich?
Our prediction for the Barcelona vs Bayern Munich match is: Barcelona over 1.5!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/10/2024 between Barcelona and Bayern Munich in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.14% for a win of Barcelona against Bayern Munich with odds of 2.74 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Barcelona vs Bayern Munich is 11.67% with odds of 4.06 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 47.19% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayern Munich vs Barcelona with odds of 2.8 at Stake.
Barcelona - Bayern Munich Prediction and Best Odds:
| Barcelona Bayern Munich Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins | 47.19% | 2.8 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80.38% | 1.64 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 42.08% | 1.36 at William Hill |
| Half-time / Full-time: Bayern Munich/Bayern Munich | 19.08% | 4.25 at Betsson |
Barcelona vs Bayern Munich Form
Barcelona and Bayern Munich's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 |
|
17
|
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
Barcelona and Bayern Munich Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
6 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
28 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
25 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
22 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
25 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
31 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
24 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
12 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
28 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
22 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
15 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
27 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
6 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
28 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
21 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
28 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
1 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
20 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
21 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
14 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
25 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
Barcelona vs Bayern Munich Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Oct 2022 - Champions League
13 Sep 2022 - Champions League
8 Dec 2021 - Champions League
14 Sep 2021 - Champions League
14 Aug 2020 - Champions League
Barcelona - Bayern Munich: Form Analysis
Barcelona’s Champions League campaign began with a shock defeat to Monaco on matchday one, but they bounced back in fine style, beating Young Boys 5-0 in week two.
Since that victory, Blaugrana have posted back-to-back wins in La Liga, extending their current winning run to three matches, while they have only lost two of their last 12 games this term.
The hosts have been excellent at home this season, currently carrying a five-match win streak, a period during which they have smashed in 20 goals and conceded just two.
Barcelona have scored two or more goals in each of their last four matches in all competitions!
Meanwhile, after a thumping 9-2 win against Dinamo Zagreb in week one, Bayern Munich were left stunned in round two when they were beaten 1-0 by Champions League debutants Aston Villa.
That defeat is the only one the Bavarians have conceded this season in the Bundesliga or in Europe, and it ended a six-match unbeaten streak which included five wins and a draw.
Additionally, that result marked the first time Bayern failed to score a goal since February when they were beaten 1-0 by Lazio in the first leg of their round of 16 tie in this competition.
Since then, though, the visitors have scored seven goals in their last two games, including a 4-0 win over Stuttgart this past weekend.
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Barcelona against Bayern Munich Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 1 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
M. ter Stegen
DefenderA. Christensen
R. Araujo
E. Garcia
MidfielderM. Bernal
ForwardF. Torres
S. Boey
H. Ito
MidfielderA. Pavlovic
Barcelona & Bayern Munich Squad Analysis
Barcelona are dealing with a fairly severe injury crisis at present, particularly in defence, starting with the absence of Marc-Andre ter Stegen, who has been ruled out for the rest of the season.
Additionally, centre-backs Andreas Christensen (Achilles) and Ronald Araujo (hamstring) have not featured at all this season, while Eric Garcia is sidelined until the end of the month with a thigh injury.
Further upfield, Ferran Torres sustained a hamstring injury ahead of the international break and is now expected to remain on the treatment table until December.
However, Gavi returned from an 11-month absence last week and is available for this match!
Bayern Munich were dealt a significant blow in the lead-up to this match, with Aleksandar Pavlovic suffering a broken collarbone at the weekend which will see him sidelined potentially until next year.
Defensive absentees for the visitors this week include Sacha Boey (knee), Hiroki Ito (foot), Josip Stanisic (knee) and Tarek Buchmann (knock), while in attack, Jamal Musiala is out with a hip injury.
Most goals and assists
Barcelona
Bayern Munich
R. Lewandowski
(19 Goals)
H. Kane
(17 Goals)
L. Yamal
(8 Assists)
, 
Raphinha
(8 Assists)
H. Kane
(9 Assists)
Barcelona - Bayern Munich Key Points
- Barcelona have scored over 1.5 goals in eight of their last 10 matches.
- Barcelona have scored two or more goals in four of their five home matches this season.
- Barcelona have scored 13 goals in their last three games alone.
- Bayern Munich have only kept one clean sheet in their last four games.
- Bayern Munich have only kept one clean sheet in their last five away matches.
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Our Barcelona vs Bayern Munich Prediction
While Barcelona were beaten in their first match of the Champions League, they showed their attacking strength in round two when they scored five unanswered goals against Young Boys.
Since then, Blaugrana have smashed in a further eight in their last two games, while at home, they have notched up 20 in just five games this season. We fancy they could get a few more here against a Bayern side missing several key defenders. Our Barcelona vs Bayern Munich prediction: Barcelona over 1.5!
Barcelona vs Bayern Munich - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 3.5
Three of Barcelona’s last four games have ended with over 3.5 goals, while three of Bayern Munich’s last five have seen four or more goals scored.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Barcelona Bayern Munich
| Barcelona vs Bayern Munich | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona wins | 2.55 | 2.63 | +3.1% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 3.8 | +2.7% |
| Bayern Munich wins | 2.5 | 2.4 | -4.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bayern Munich is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.0% and is now 41.7% (1.7%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
Barcelona vs Bayern Munich match : Frequently asked questions
The UEFA Champions League match between Barcelona and Bayern Munich will be played on October 23 at 20:00 GMT.
The UEFA Champions League match between Barcelona and Bayern Munich will take place at Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys in Barcelona.
The UEFA Champions League match between Barcelona and Bayern Munich will be broadcast on TNT Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the UEFA Champions League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Slavko Vincic will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Tomaz Klancnik, Andraz Kovacic and Rade Obrenovic as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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