Spain - Copa del Rey
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Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa del Rey
by Sridhar in Football Predictions
It’s the clash of the big titans as Barcelona host Atletico Madrid in the first leg of the Copa del Rey semi-finals. This first leg match at the Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys between the Catalans and the Rojiblancos on Tuesday comes with our prediction of over 2.5 goals.
Barcelona have the most number of titles in this competition with 31, while Atletico have won this title ten times. That Catalans picked up a 2-0 away win at Las Palmas for a fifth consecutive win in all competitions.
Coupled with results elsewhere, they have stormed to the top of the standings and will look to focus on this competition. The hosts have already dismantled two fellow La Liga sides this year in Copa del Rey – a 5-1 home win over Real Betis and a 5-0 away win at Valencia.
Atletico also had successful results in this competition, thrashing Elche 4-0 away and winning 5-0 at home against Getafe. However, their recent form needs to improve to hope for a win here.
A 3-0 away win at Valencia helped stop a two-game drawing sequence, both by a 1-1 score against Real Madrid and Celta Vigo.
Quite surprisingly, Atletico have managed to impress on the road lately, winning 11 of the last 13 trips for the Rojiblancos.
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The Best Betting Odds for Barcelona v Atletico Madrid Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.7 | 4.33 | 4.1 |
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1.7 | 4 | 4.2 |
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1.75 | 3.9 | 4.2 |
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1.77 | 4.35 | 4.55 |
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1.77 | 4.35 | 4.55 |
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1.7 | 3.9 | 4.1 |
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1.7 | 4.18 | 4.38 |
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1.7 | 4.18 | 4.38 |
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1.76 | 3.85 | 4 |
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1.7 | 4.18 | 4.38 |
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1.77 | 4.1 | 4.3 |
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1.75 | 4.2 | 4.33 |
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1.73 | 4 | 4.33 |
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1.74 | 4.2 | 4.5 |
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1.73 | 4 | 4.2 |
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1.75 | 4.1 | 4.25 |
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1.85 | 3.75 | 3.9 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Barcelona and Atletico Madrid?
Our prediction for the Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/02/2025 between Barcelona and Atletico Madrid in Copa del Rey :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.87% for a win of Barcelona against Atletico Madrid with odds of 1.85 at Betfair.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid is 16.31% with odds of 4.35 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.82% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona with odds of 4.55 at 1xbet.
Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid Form
Barcelona and Atletico Madrid Last Matches
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
17 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
9 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
6 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
2 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
2 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
26 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
15 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
21 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
9 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
6 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
12 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
1 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
1 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
25 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
12 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
15 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
4 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
0 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
17 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
23 Apr 2023 - LaLiga
8 Jan 2023 - LaLiga
6 Feb 2022 - LaLiga
Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
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M. Ter Stegen
DefenderA. Christensen
MidfielderM. Bernal
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Koke
Most goals and assists
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
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Barcelona - Atletico Madrid Key Points
- In five of their last eight matches in all competitions, Barcelona saw over 2.5 goals scored.
- Barcelona saw at least three goals scored in ten of their last 13 home matches in all competitions.
- Seven of Atletico’s last ten away matches produced three or more goals.
- The last two matches between Barcelona and Atletico produced exactly three goals each.
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Our Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
Barcelona may have managed to turn their season around, getting back to the summit of La Liga. They will have to quickly put their focus on Copa del Rey, where they can go past Atletico, a side they defeated at this stage in 2016/17. Atletico stumbled a bit in recent weeks with consecutive draws but are back in contention with a weekend win. It won’t be an easy match for either side, and a draw could be on the cards. Nevertheless, goals could flow here, and our Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid prediction is over 2.5.
Get up to £30 to bet on the Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid game
You can get yourself a £30 matched bet for the battle between Barcelona and Atletico Madrid when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins then you won't get the free bet but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Copa del Rey!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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